Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:133 1:41   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLF EYES 7 1 7 7 52 2nk 1 (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 4.40  
PUBLICIST 4 3 21 2½ 1½ 1nk 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 37% 1.70 1.20 P
TIZ THIRSTY 2 2 33 33 31 31 3 (canegata jam)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 11.80  
VELVET SAMI 6 7 67 65 7 4 4 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
DARING (IRE) 5 6 5 5 6 7 55 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 3.70  
SUNDRENCHED 3 5 11 1½ 2½ 53 6 (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
ANTHONY'S GIRL 1 4 4 4 42 6 7 (faulkner rod)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 4.60  
SCR  KENNEDIE SKY               (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MOTHERWELL               (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50    
 
TDN-2   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 1 5 32 5   32 1 (inir)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 10.70  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 6 2 5 3   22 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 9% 10.00 1.40 P
INTO GOLD 5 1 12 1   12 3 (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50 5.10 S
EL CONDOR CAZA 4 3 4 43   5 411¼ (zielinski)PILARES P 123 6.00 21.80  
AFLEET O ME 3 6 6 6   45 511¼ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 7.00  
LINO'S KID 2 4 22 2   6 616¼ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 61% 0.60 1.40  
 
TDN-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY U 4 1 1 12   13 1¾ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 31% 2.30 0.70 W
1A  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 8 3 3 3   3 2¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 0.70 P
PROFESSIONAL 3 4 2 22   23 3 (rini anthony)VELEZ J 123 6.00 4.60  
ZALINSKY 5 8 8 6   4 4 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 6.70  
BULLION 7 2 4 5   5 58 (castillo jabdiel)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 2.50 21% 3.70 5.90  
AJWIBAH 1 7 56 7   7 610 (erdel john)RIVERA R 123 8.00 17.00  
IMPERIAL BREW 2 6 6 4   6 711¼ (rivera nest)CORREA L 123 5.00 8.00  
KLAATU 6 5 7 813¾   817¼ 835 (sondej)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 12.00 17% 4.80 33.90  
 
TDN-4   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY GIULIANA 5 3 1½ 1   1 1 (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 2.50 56% 0.80 1.90 W
CATCHMENOW 4 7 610 36   3 2 (vernino raymon)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 3.50 3.70  
1A  JUMP INTO SANITY 7 1 46 5   4 3 (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 2.50 1.90 S
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 6 2 2½ 2   2 4 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
LADYBUGGIN 1 4 34 4   57 511¾ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 118 3.00 1.30  
FUNNY CHIC 2 5 58 616½   617 627¼ (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
PRINCESS EM 3 6 710 717½   718½ 731½ (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 118 5.00 11.70  
SCR  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS               (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASSIONFORTREASURE 1 4 3 4¾   13 1 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 47% 1.10 1.20 W
COURTLY 3 3 4 3½   23 2 (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00 5.60 P
HANNAH DANCES 4 6 6 6   35 3 (ferraro an)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 6.80  
TOTALLY OBSESSED 6 5 5 5   56 47 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 3.50 30% 2.30 7.70  
LADY VALENTINA 2 2 2nk 1nk   46 512¼ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 8.00  
QUEEN ARELLA 5 1 1nk 2nk   6 615¼ (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 2.60  
SCR  DIVA POWER               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50    
 
TDN-6   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:004     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN HAMMER 2 3 1 1   14 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 49% 1.10 0.40 W
INDY LITES 6 1 2 2   24 2 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 3.10 P
IMA SURE BET 5 2 5 34   3 3 (genovese richar)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 18% 4.50 6.90 S
LOVINGTIZ 1 5 42 44   4 4 (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00 11.10  
JANES HOPE 4 4 32 5   510½ 512½ (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 17.50  
WILD BLUE BIRD 3 6 617½ 620½   618½ 618 (fiesman robe)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 5% 19.00 36.60  
SCR  HUSH GORGEOUS               (rettele ric)CORREA L 119 4.50 7% 13.60    
 
TDN-7   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHING BETTY 5 3 31 2   2½ 1 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 43% 1.30 0.70 W
BAREBACK FUN 2 1 11 1   1½ 2 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 12% 7.60 4.40 P
SHELLEY'S GEM 1 2 4 3   3 3 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 13.00 S
TUFFIAN 3 5 5 5   4 4 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 8.00 16.80  
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 6 6 6 6   57 59 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 22% 3.60 2.10  
SCATERRA 4 4 21 4   6 615¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 33.10  
SCR  HASTY LADY               (vernino raymon)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFERDITA 3 4 22 21   1 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 1.00  
CAJUN DELIGHT 4 5 33 32   3 2 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 52% 0.90 2.20 P
QUARANTINA 1 3 5 6   56 3 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 21.50  
CEVICHE 6 2 43 43   4 4 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 9.40  
AYKIZ 5 1 12 11   2 5 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 5.60  
BLUE SAGE (IRE) 2 6 6 55   6 611½ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 16% 5.10 6.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.