Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   09/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTHONY'S GIRL Sep06 Jul19 Jul06 Jun27 Jun07 (faulkner rod)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
SCR  KENNEDIE SKY Sep07 Jul18 Jun28 Mar10 Feb23 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 8.00 31% 2.20    
TIZ THIRSTY Aug24 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07   (canegata jam)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
SUNDRENCHED Sep06 Aug08 Jul06 Jun20 Jun01 (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
PUBLICIST Sep07 Aug24 Jun20 Jun01 May21 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 37% 1.70    
DARING (IRE) Aug24 Aug08 Jun28 May21 May09 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
VELVET SAMI Aug24 Aug08 Jul06 Jun21 Jun01 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WOLF EYES Sep06 Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 Feb22 (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00    
SCR  MOTHERWELL Aug24 Aug08 Jul06 Jun22 Jun13 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50    
 
TDN-2   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED CAUSE Aug30 Aug19 Jul07 Jun21 Jun03 (inir)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
LINO'S KID Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 May17 Apr28 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 61% 0.60    
AFLEET O ME Aug22 Jul21 Jul14 May21   (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
EL CONDOR CAZA Sep05 Jul14 Jun30     (zielinski)PILARES P 123 6.00    
INTO GOLD Sep05 Jul14 Jun21     (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS Sep05 Aug01 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.00 9% 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY U Aug22 Aug03 Jun11 May26 Apr27 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
1A  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Sep12 Aug18 Aug03 Jul18 Jun28 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
AJWIBAH Aug29         (erdel john)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
IMPERIAL BREW Aug29 Aug18 Jul19 May31 May17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
PROFESSIONAL Sep01 Jul27 Jun27 Jun06 May23 (rini anthony)VELEZ J 123 6.00    
ZALINSKY Jul12 Jun27 May25     (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
KLAATU Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jun13 May16 (sondej)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 12.00 17% 4.80    
BULLION Jun16 May31 May17 Apr28 Apr09 (castillo jabdiel)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
TDN-4   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY GIULIANA         (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
1A  JUMP INTO SANITY         (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 118 2.50    
LADYBUGGIN         (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 118 3.00    
SCR  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS         (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
FUNNY CHIC         (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS EM         (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 118 5.00    
CATCHMENOW         (vernino raymon)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 3.50    
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Aug23 Jul14       (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTALLY OBSESSED Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  DIVA POWER Apr28 Jan26       (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50    
PASSIONFORTREASURE Sep07 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun06 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
LADY VALENTINA Aug16 Jul05 May25 May15 May01 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
COURTLY Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 6.00    
HANNAH DANCES Aug15 Jul22 Jan29     (ferraro )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
QUEEN ARELLA Jul22 May09       (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-6   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUSH GORGEOUS Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 Jun16 (rettele ric)CORREA L 119 4.50 7% 13.60    
LOVINGTIZ Apr24 Apr15       (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
GOLDEN HAMMER Aug13 Jul04 Jun19 Jun03 May21 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 49% 1.10    
WILD BLUE BIRD         (fiesman robe)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
JANES HOPE Aug22 Apr09 Mar26     (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
IMA SURE BET Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun16 May24 (genovese richar)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
INDY LITES Aug06 Jul20 Jul04 May26 May12 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLEY'S GEM Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 May31 May17 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
BAREBACK FUN Aug16 Aug03 Jan31     (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 12% 7.60    
TUFFIAN Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SCATERRA         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
SCR  HASTY LADY Aug16 Aug03 Apr01 Mar13   (vernino raymon)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00    
BLUSHING BETTY Aug16 Aug03 May30 Feb16 Jan26 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 May31 May09 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-8   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARANTINA Sep08 Aug30 Aug14 Jul26 Jul06 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
BLUE SAGE (IRE) Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
AFERDITA Aug31 Aug10 Jul04 May11 Apr15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
CAJUN DELIGHT Sep08 Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 Jun23 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
AYKIZ Jul03 May20 May02 Apr15 Mar14 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
CEVICHE Sep08 Aug30 Aug14 Jul26 Jul06 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.