Handicappers' Race Results

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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPPER JOHN 2 3 13 1   1 1½ (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.20 41% 1.40 0.80 W
JUST PLAIN MAD 1 4 23 2   2 2½ (thomas lee)COTTO L 124 1.80 27% 2.60 2.20 P
MR. K W 3 5 56 5   3 3 (zenon char)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 8.50 S
HEARTTHROB HALO 5 1 3 3   5 4 (duke steven)FLORES S 120 4.50 6.20  
SOUTH AL SPARKY 4 2 4 45   44 5 (gov)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 5% 17.80 8.60  
 
LAD-2   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICED RIGHT 1 1 13 11   12 14 (lar)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 10% 8.80 8.90 W
CHIEFWEAVE 6 5 3 3   22 24 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00 P
SHANKINSTINE 4 2 5 56   46 310¾ (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.00 18% 4.40 1.10 S
LIT A SHUCK 2 3 23 21   35 412 (hatcher nathan )LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 4.60  
ROBBER 3 4 45 43   5 514¼ (ward ronnie)BACA L 124 4.00 15.10  
THUNDER JAM 5 6 618½ 614   613½ 619 (meaux h)TORRES HUGO 115 4.50 13.40  
 
LAD-3   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:231 :471 :60     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLINDEDBYTHEGEES 4 3 11 1nk   1 1nk (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 119 2.00 69% 0.40 1.30 W
MYGLORYBEE 1 6 3 3   2 2nk (hodges e)COTTO L 119 2.50 2.80 P
HABANERO TOM 2 5 21 2nk   32 3 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 10.50  
CITY BOY EASTWOOD 5 1 42 42   4 4 (turner patti)FLORES S 119 4.50 10.20  
HENNY'S TURN 7 2 5 5   55 57 (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00 2.60  
SNAKEBIT 3 4 6 64   68 612¼ (morris rowdy)BARRERA J 114 12.00 24.30  
OWEN THE ICE MAN 6 7 77 7   710½ 718¾ (hatcher )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00 27.40  
 
LAD-4   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT B 3 2 1 11   14 1 (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40 W
RAVENS REFLECTION 2 3 2 3   24 2 (hornsby tammy)VARGAS P 122 4.50 11% 8.00 2.80 P
BOATING PARTY 8 4 43 44   4 3 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 3.60  
FAST VERDICT 6 7 6 65   5 4 (nelson r)CULP BRIANNE 114 12.00 10.70  
INVINCIBILITY 7 1 3 21   3 55 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 5.00 10% 9.00 11.20  
KASILOF 5 8 89 75   610 6 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 26% 2.80 9.30  
MR. SHAPOOR 1 5 55 5   712 711¾ (ashford ray)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 31.00  
PRAETORIAN 4 6 78 8   813 812½ (hewitt michael)COTTO L 122 12.00 29.20  
 
LAD-5   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:232 :471 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATES COURT 4 2 2½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (foster joseph)FLORES S 119 3.50 5.00  
ROCKET DOCTOR 7 1 5 5   32 2¾ (pis)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 9.50 P
A MILLION STARS 2 4 42 32   5 3 (johnson b)BOREL H 119 1.80 51% 0.90 1.50 S
RUN CARLOS 5 5 32 42   42 4 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 10.00 4.50  
PINK HIGGINS 6 6 65 6   6 5 (dunn henry)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 9.30  
J B GRAY 1 3 1½ 2½   2½ 66 (jeansonne justi)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50 21% 3.80 3.50  
KING CHROME 3 7 714 717½   717½ 719½ (dandridge cou)MORALES ROBERTO 119 12.00 17.00  
 
LAD-6   08/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZYDECO MUSIC 3 5 42 2½   11 1 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 DQ↓4
MELODY ROSE 1 2 6 5   43 2 (mouton patrick)VARGAS P 122 6.00 2.40  
GOLDEN SMILES 5 1 3 4   3 33 (schultz rober)FLORES S 119 15.00 9.60  
LOVE TO LEARN 4 6 2½ 3   21 44 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 5.10 S
ROMANTIC BEAST 2 4 5 6   67 5 (govea cesar)COTTO L 122 10.00 5.30  
HURRICANE TIZWAY 6 3 1½ 1½   54 611 (turner patti)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 3.70  
SCR  KATIE'S KARAT               (ramirez ed)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  NEW YEAR'S PARTY               (mou)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
LAD-7   08/13/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:224 :463       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES NOMERCY 2 2 12 13   14 1 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 2.00 50% 1.00 0.70 W
MAYWON 3 6 54 55   36 2 (dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 14.70 P
APRIORITY MAGIC 1 5 4 34   24 3 (thomas lee)COTTO L 120 5.00 24% 3.20 2.40 S
PHARME'S PHINALE 4 4 6 6   510½ 413 (jac)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 12.60  
THE CAT CAME BACK 5 1 22 23   49 513 (jacks e)SINGH R 120 4.50 11.50  
GOLDEN HAMMER 6 3 3 44   612 615½ (hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 6.60  
SCR  CADILLAC LADY               (feilner f)FLORES S 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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