The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022

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LAD-1   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
:223 :454 :584     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPPER JOHN 2 3 13 1   11½ (melancon donald)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.20 41% 1.40 0.80 W
JUST PLAIN MAD 1 4 23 2   22½ (thomas lee)COTTO L 124 1.80 27% 2.60 2.20 P
MR. K W 3 5 56 5   33(zenon charles)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 8.50 S
HEARTTHROB HALO 5 1 3 3   54(duke steven)FLORES S 120 4.50 6.20  
SOUTH AL SPARKY 4 2 4 45   44 5(govea cesar)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 5% 17.80 8.60  
 
LAD-2   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:231 :473 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICED RIGHT 1 1 13 11   12 14 (lara jorge)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 10% 8.80 8.90 W
CHIEFWEAVE 6 5 3 3   22 24 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00 P
SHANKINSTINE 4 2 5 56   46 310¾ (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.00 18% 4.40 1.10 S
LIT A SHUCK 2 3 23 21   35 412 (hatcher d)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 4.60  
ROBBER 3 4 45 43   5514¼ (ward ronnie)BACA L 124 4.00 15.10  
THUNDER JAM 5 6 618½ 614   613½ 619 (meaux h)TORRES HUGO 115 4.50 13.40  
 
LAD-3   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 5:01
:231 :471 :60     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLINDEDBYTHEGEES 4 3 11 1nk   11nk (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 119 2.00 69% 0.40 1.30 W
MYGLORYBEE 1 6 3 3   22nk (hodges e)COTTO L 119 2.50 2.80 P
HABANERO TOM 2 5 21 2nk   32 3(ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 114 10.00 10.50  
CITY BOY EASTWOOD 5 1 42 42   44(turner patti)FLORES S 119 4.50 10.20  
HENNY'S TURN 7 2 5 5   55 57 (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00 2.60  
SNAKEBIT 3 4 6 64   68 612¼ (morris rowdy)BARRERA J 114 12.00 24.30  
OWEN THE ICE MAN 6 7 77 7   710½ 718¾ (hatcher d)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 15.00 27.40  
 
LAD-4   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
:224 :462 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT B 3 2 1 11   14 1(delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.40 W
RAVENS REFLECTION 2 3 2 3   24 2(hornsby tammy)VARGAS P 122 4.50 11% 8.00 2.80 P
BOATING PARTY 8 4 43 44   43(tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 3.60  
FAST VERDICT 6 7 6 65   54(nelson r)CULP BRIANNE 114 12.00 10.70  
INVINCIBILITY 7 1 3 21   355 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 5.00 10% 9.00 11.20  
KASILOF 5 8 89 75   610 6(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00 26% 2.80 9.30  
MR. SHAPOOR 1 5 55 5   712 711¾ (ashford ray)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 31.00  
PRAETORIAN 4 6 78 8   813 812½ (hewitt michael)COTTO L 122 12.00 29.20  
 
LAD-5   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
:232 :471 :60     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATES COURT 4 2 2½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (foster m)FLORES S 119 3.50 5.00  
ROCKET DOCTOR 7 1 5 5   32 2¾ (pish danny)DE CRUZ 119 10.00 9.50 P
A MILLION STARS 2 4 42 32   53(johnson b)BOREL H 119 1.80 51% 0.90 1.50 S
RUN CARLOS 5 5 32 42   42 4(ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 10.00 4.50  
PINK HIGGINS 6 6 65 6   65(dunn ray)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 9.30  
J B GRAY 1 3 1½ 2½   2½ 66 (jeansonne justin)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50 21% 3.80 3.50  
KING CHROME 3 7 714 717½   717½ 719½ (dandridge jr)MORALES ROBERTO 119 12.00 17.00  
 
LAD-6   08/13/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
:24 :472 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZYDECO MUSIC 3 5 42 2½   11 1(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 DQ↓4
MELODY ROSE 1 2 6 5   43 2(mouton patrick)VARGAS P 122 6.00 2.40  
GOLDEN SMILES 5 1 3 4   333 (schultz d)FLORES S 119 15.00 9.60  
LOVE TO LEARN 4 6 2½ 3   21 44 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 5.00 5.10 S
ROMANTIC BEAST 2 4 5 6   67 5(govea cesar)COTTO L 122 10.00 5.30  
HURRICANE TIZWAY 6 3 1½ 1½   54 611 (turner patti)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 3.70  
SCR  KATIE'S KARAT               (ramirez eduardo)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  NEW YEAR'S PARTY               (mouton patrick)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
LAD-7   08/13/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
:224 :463       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES NOMERCY 2 2 12 13   14 1(pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 2.00 50% 1.00 0.70 W
MAYWON 3 6 54 55   36 2(dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00 14.70 P
APRIORITY MAGIC 1 5 4 34   24 3(thomas lee)COTTO L 120 5.00 24% 3.20 2.40 S
PHARME'S PHINALE 4 4 6 6   510½ 413 (jacks e)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 12.60  
THE CAT CAME BACK 5 1 22 23   49 513 (jacks e)SINGH R 120 4.50 11.50  
GOLDEN HAMMER 6 3 3 44   612 615½ (hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 6.60  
SCR  CADILLAC LADY               (feilner f)FLORES S 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.