Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:132     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISTILLGOTIT 2 1 1 1 13 12 1 (puhl kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 35% 1.90 2.10 W
GEH SCHNELL 3 6 59 56 23 22 2 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 18.20  
OPEN OUT 7 7 713 712 5 34 3 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 10.10 S
SAY HEY KID 5 5 611 610 7 48 4 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 6% 16.50 6.50  
KING RICHIE 1 3 2 2 33 59 512¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 2.50 32% 2.10 1.00  
KLAATU 4 2 3 3 6 612 616½ (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 6% 17.00 28.70  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 6 4 45 44 4 713 720¼ (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 6.00 8.50  
 
TDN-2   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BELLE 7 2 31 2½   1nk 1 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 13% 6.90 1.70 W
AWESOME WONDER 6 1 1½ 1½   2nk 2 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50 14% 6.20 7.30 P
ORBIT BOUND 5 3 6 33   3 3 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 15% 5.50 1.50 S
VALIANT SPARK 3 5 5 7   6 410¾ (dacosta jas)CORREA L 115 12.00 34.00  
HALF LEGEND 4 4 76 6   7 510¾ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 24.70  
TOY TIGER 2 6 41 56   48 611½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 110 3.00 27% 2.70 3.00  
PASATIME 1 7 2½ 45   5 716¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 42.80  
 
TDN-3   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS EASY 1 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.00 33% 2.00 0.70 W
DOMINUS O'S ME 2 6 66 69   5 2½ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 6% 14.60 3.20 P
GRACIE DANCE 6 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 3 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 6% 16.70 7.70 S
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 4 5 42 31   31 4 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00 5.00  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 3 32 4   41 5 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 4.00 9.20  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 2 5 55   6 615¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 15.00 49.30  
SCR  CATCHMENOW               (vernino c)VELEZ J 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-4   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:003     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURROUNDER 4 4 2nk 11   14 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00 2.50  
VOLUME OF TRUST 3 7 42 5   56 2 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 1.30  
DASH OF FIRE 7 2 6 4   24 3 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 12.70 S
BRILLIANTBENNY 1 6 31 3   3 49 (skerrett jeffr)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 28% 2.50 60.70  
THANKSDAD 2 3 1nk 21   4 5 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 115 8.00 19.90  
GOING PRIMETIME 6 8 7 710   714½ 615 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.50 39% 1.50 4.20  
DAVIS HAT 5 5 5 6   611 715¼ (cline c)HALDAR J 119 5.00 8.80  
AVA'S DESTINY 8 1 8 812   816½ 821¾ (chapman jam)CORREA L 112 10.00 11.90  
 
TDN-5   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:22 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 4 23 2   11 1 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50 47% 1.20 3.70 W
1A  ELLIOT THE DRAGON 6 3 47 4   43 2 (ibarra m)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.50 26% 2.90 0.90  
WILDCAT EXPRESS 8 1 13 1   21 3 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 115 12.00 2.40 S
JEBIP 3 7 712½ 715   7 46 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 121 5.00 14.30  
OHIO STRONG 4 5 33 3   33 5 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 0.90  
KINGDOM DIAMOND 5 6 5 5   57 6 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 32.00  
COLOR CODED 7 2 6 610½   6 715¾ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
STARS N SPACE 1 8 819½ 822½   814¾ 819½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 33.50  
SCR  A PRAYER FOR KIDS               (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 3 4 21 22   2nk 1 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.00 19% 4.30 1.30 W
LADY PREACH 4 3 11 12   1nk 2 (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00 3.10  
FLASH TOWN 6 1 4 43   33 3 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 121 4.50 3.20 S
GOOD ALTERNATIVE 5 2 3 33   45 4 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 8% 10.90 14.00  
SHE'S CRAFTY 2 6 6 610½   611 5 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.00 17% 4.80 3.20  
SCATERRA 1 5 5 5   510 616¾ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 42.90  
SCR  AUNT BEE               (cash l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
TDN-7   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY SIGNS 2 8 8 65   2nk 1 (gorham robe)CORREA L 117 2.50 19% 4.30 3.00 W
I GOT HOPE 9 1 7 44   4 2 (romero a)DIAZ I 123 5.00 8% 12.00 4.10 P
QUEEN AIR 4 3 2 2   1nk 32 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 3.60 S
ST PATTY'S SONG 1 6 6 77   7 4 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 11.90  
SHEZA POP STAR 8 4 53 5   5 5 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 12% 7.70 5.90  
SASSY POWER 3 7 43 34   6 69 (radosevich jake )HOUGHTON D 115 15.00 56.80  
KISSTHECROSS 6 5 1 1   3.2 710¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 117 3.00 37% 1.70 2.30  
SWEET CHELSEA 7 9 912¾ 912   8 811½ (genovese richard)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 81.30  
LOLA LOUISE 5 2 32 88   911¼ 920¾ (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 20.00 72.00  
 
TDN-8   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SHOOT 7 2 4 2nk   1½ 1¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 20% 4.10 2.20 W
OBIWAN 6 1 11 1nk   2½ 2¾ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 8% 11.90 6.10 P
AHIMELECH 3 6 5 3.2   32 3 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 0.90 S
NICK CAN FIX 1 5 6 7   6 4 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 47% 1.10 10.10  
JACK LUVS NOVA 2 7 7 5   54 5 (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 8.90  
TEAM HUCKY 4 4 21 4   44 6 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 15.00 48.80  
JOHN'S ROCK 5 3 3 6   76 79 (brafford michell)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 17.50  
SCR  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY               (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.