Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING RICHIE Sep29 Aug10 Jul21 Jun11 Mar07 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  ISTILLGOTIT Sep22 Sep12 Jul18 Jun22 Jun13 (puhl kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
3  GEH SCHNELL Oct05 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
4  KLAATU Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jun13 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 6% 17.00    
5  SAY HEY KID Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul19 Jul04 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 6% 16.50    
6  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Sep26 Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Aug06 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 6.00    
7  OPEN OUT Sep22 Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-2   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASATIME Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 ★    
2  TOY TIGER Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 Apr30 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 110 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  VALIANT SPARK Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 (dacosta j)CORREA L 115 12.00    
4  HALF LEGEND Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 Jul21 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
5  ORBIT BOUND Oct06 May11 Apr26 Apr02 Mar22 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
6  AWESOME WONDER Sep26 Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Jul20 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 3.50 14% 6.20    
7  LIBERTY BELLE Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jun23 Jun09 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
 
TDN-3   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS EASY         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  DOMINUS O'S ME         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 6% 14.60    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Sep20 Aug23 Jul14     (faulkner )CORREA L 118 4.00 ★    
4  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Oct05         (langley joshu)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00    
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE Sep29 Sep05       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 15.00    
SCR  CATCHMENOW Sep20         (vernino c)VELEZ J 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  GRACIE DANCE         (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 6% 16.70    
 
TDN-4   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANTBENNY Sep27 Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 Jun29 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 28% 2.50    
2  THANKSDAD Sep20 Sep05 Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 115 8.00    
3  VOLUME OF TRUST Sep28 Sep12 Sep05 Jul20 Jul12 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 114 6.00    
4  SURROUNDER Sep12 Aug19 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 3.00 ★    
5  DAVIS HAT Sep20 Aug24 Aug03 Mar08 Feb01 (cline robert)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
6  GOING PRIMETIME Aug24 Aug08 Jul28 Jun29 May31 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 3.50 39% 1.50    
7  DASH OF FIRE Sep28 Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 117 4.00 ★    
8  AVA'S DESTINY Jan22         (chapman j)CORREA L 112 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO STRONG Sep13 Aug25 Aug09 Jul05 Mar09 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 ★    
1A  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Sep13 Jul27 Jul14 Jul01 May30 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  STARS N SPACE Sep19 Aug13       (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
3  GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug25 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 May12 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50 47% 1.20    
SCR  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Oct06 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jul13 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
5  JEBIP Sep29 Sep05       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 121 5.00 ★    
6  KINGDOM DIAMOND Sep29 Sep13 Jul21 Jun21 May30 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
7  COLOR CODED Sep12 Aug24 Aug08     (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  WILDCAT EXPRESS Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 Jul05 May30 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 115 12.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   10/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCATERRA Sep20         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
2  SHE'S CRAFTY Aug24 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
3  RENO TOUCH Sep27 Sep13       (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  AUNT BEE Oct05 Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  LADY PREACH Oct03 Sep12 Aug26 Jul21 Jul01 (wilson j)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00    
6  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Sep19 Jul04 Jun01 May18 Apr09 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 8% 10.90    
7  FLASH TOWN Aug29 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May30 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 121 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST PATTY'S SONG Sep28 Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Jul12 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
2  CITY SIGNS Sep07 Jul18 Jul01 May24 May09 (gorham ro)CORREA L 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  SASSY POWER Sep27 Aug10 Jul07 Jun07 May30 (radosevich jak)HOUGHTON D 115 15.00    
4  QUEEN AIR Sep28 Jul12 Jun14 Jun02 May18 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 114 8.00 ★    
5  LOLA LOUISE Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 20.00    
6  KISSTHECROSS Sep13 Aug22 Jul26 Jun11   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 117 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  SWEET CHELSEA Sep13 Aug22 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
8  SHEZA POP STAR Sep13 Aug10 Jul11 Jun16 May17 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 12% 7.70    
9  I GOT HOPE Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 (romero a)DIAZ I 123 5.00 8% 12.00    
 
TDN-8   10/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK LUVS NOVA Sep19 Aug02       (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
SCR  NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Sep15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun25 Apr20 (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
2  NICK CAN FIX Apr05         (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  AHIMELECH Oct04 Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 ★    
4  TEAM HUCKY Sep21 Aug13 Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 15.00    
5  JOHN'S ROCK May09 Apr11 Mar04 Feb17 Jan23 (brafford miche)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 ★    
6  OBIWAN Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun08 May24 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 8% 11.90    
7  TIME TO SHOOT Sep27 Sep08 Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.