Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT'S AWISH 3 2 2nk 11   11 12 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 8.00 6.90  
HITCH CITY 6 6 53 21   21 22 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 112 3.50 27% 2.70 2.10 P
QUEEN AIR 8 1 3½ 31   43 3 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 12.00 14% 6.30 40.10 S
OUT MY DEAR 1 7 4 5   53 44 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 19% 4.20 2.70  
PROPER ETIQUETTE 2 4 1nk 4   32 54 (gorham robe)CORREA L 117 5.00 6.40  
PRICEY APPEAL 4 3 6 6   65 6 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 121 10.00 17.60  
ONLY ONE BOSS LADY 7 5 8 8   8 7 (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 17% 4.90 2.90  
ST PATTY'S SONG 5 8 74 7   7 8 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 20.30  
 
TDN-2   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLBEAT 2 6 31 31   3.2 1¼ (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 7.00  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 5 1 11 2nk   1nk 2¼ (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 19.80 P
SILVER G T O 6 2 21 1nk   2nk 3 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 53% 0.90 1.40 S
ALL STAR JUSTICE 4 4 65 6   4 44 (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 6% 15.90 10.40  
CUMBER 1 5 5 5   6 5 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 7.10  
THE COOKIE MAN 3 3 42 4   5 6 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 17% 4.90 1.30  
 
TDN-3   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:144 1:413   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERFUL PHIL 2 1 11 11 1 1 1¼ (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 3.50 18% 4.40 1.50 W
VENTURE ON 1 2 31 42 4 4 2¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 2.50 52% 0.90 3.80  
PRECIOUS JULES 7 6 6 5 2 2 3¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 3.00 S
MARVIN'S EXPRESS 6 4 4 31 3 3 4 (tooley jennif)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 3.70  
VOLUME OF TRUST 5 5 52 6 67 5 5 (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 14.30  
DASH OF FIRE 4 7 7 7 79 611½ 618¾ (faulkner ro)CORREA L 115 6.00 23.30  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 3 3 21 21 5 715 724¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 16.50  
SCR  GOING PRIMETIME               (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 2.50    
 
TDN-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXONERATED PREZ 2 4 4 31   1nk 12 (genovese l)RIVERA R 121 2.50 3.20  
GOTIGER SPECIAL 3 5 6 6   3 22 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 119 3.50 4.60 P
REINSURE 1 3 2nk 11   2nk 3 (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 51% 1.00 0.80 S
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY 6 1 1nk 21   43 4 (alamo a)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00 39.80  
MINE'S DIALED IN 4 6 5 5   5 512¼ (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 17% 5.00 6.60  
CAPTAIN CHOLO 5 2 3.2 43   6 619¾ (erwin andrew)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 7.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.