Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT MY DEAR         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  PROPER ETIQUETTE Aug24 Jul13 May16 May04   (gorham ro)CORREA L 117 5.00    
3  SCARLETT'S AWISH Aug29 Aug04 Apr13 Mar15 Feb26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
4  PRICEY APPEAL Aug23 Aug04 Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 121 10.00    
5  ST PATTY'S SONG Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Jul12 Jun27 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 119 6.00 ★    
6  HITCH CITY Sep12 Aug25 Aug08 Jul05 Jun13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 112 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  ONLY ONE BOSS LADY Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jun27 Jan05 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
8  QUEEN AIR Jul12 Jun14 Jun02 May18   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00 14% 6.30    
 
TDN-2   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBER Sep21 Aug16 Jul28 Jul14   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 ★    
2  VOLBEAT Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun24 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50    
3  THE COOKIE MAN Sep01 Aug16 Aug01 Jul14 Jul04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 17% 4.90    
4  ALL STAR JUSTICE Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 6% 15.90    
5  UNCAPTURED PULSE Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Mar18 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 ★    
6  SILVER G T O Sep06 Aug18 Jun30 Jun14 May09 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-3   09/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENTURE ON Sep20 Aug12 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  GOING PRIMETIME Aug24 Aug08 Jul28 Jun29 May31 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.50 ★    
2  POWERFUL PHIL Sep14 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun28 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Sep05 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 ★    
4  DASH OF FIRE Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 (faulkner )CORREA L 115 6.00    
5  VOLUME OF TRUST Sep12 Sep05 Jul20 Jul12 Jun28 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00    
6  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Sep12 Aug12 Jul14 Jun29   (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 ★    
7  PRECIOUS JULES Sep15 Sep08 Aug09 Jul25 Jul07 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-4   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINSURE Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05   (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  EXONERATED PREZ Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (genovese richard)RIVERA R 121 2.50 ★    
3  GOTIGER SPECIAL Aug15 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 May23 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★    
4  MINE'S DIALED IN Sep12         (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
5  CAPTAIN CHOLO Sep11 Apr04 Feb28 Jan26   (erwin andrew)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
6  CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Sep12 Aug03 Jul24 Jul13 Jun29 (alamo miguel)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHLOES ANGEL Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 ★    
2  SONGSTOPSHELF May25 May13 Apr06 Mar05 Jan14 (white james)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00 ★    
3  FRONT CIRCLE Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 Jun14 (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  NORTHERN JOURNEY Sep07 Aug04 Jun30 Jun01 May13 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 12% 7.50    
5  SWINDLE Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 Jul21 Jul05 (feliciano benn)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
6  PANAMANIAC Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 Jul14 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
TDN-6   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEWD Sep20 Aug28 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 115 4.00    
2  SURPRISED GEM May10 Apr09 Apr02 Mar22 Mar16 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50 ★    
3  TWILIGHT VISION Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Apr26 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 ★    
4  LITTLE EMPIRE Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 May31 Apr27 (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 ★    
5  PURDY PUMKIN Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul11   (dacosta j)CORREA L 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
6  MY D'VALENTINE Aug24 Jul20 Jul04 Jun11 May24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 6% 16.00    
 
TDN-7   09/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANCY'S LESLIE Aug24 Jul19 Jun22 Jan24   (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  BOX STEP Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jun23 (yoder lori)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  AUNT BEE Aug25 Aug09 Jul20 Jun25 Jun13 (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 ★    
4  DIVA POWER Apr28 Jan26       (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 ★    
5  PACIFIC COAST Aug25 Jul28 Jun29 Jun03 May04 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 6.00    
6  GONNABEGOOD Jun22 May30 May12 Apr27 Apr09 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  BLACK BUTTE Sep26 Sep14 Aug25 Aug03 Jun28 (bird dann)CORREA L 121 15.00    
 
TDN-8   09/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CHIC Sep12 Mar26 Feb18 Jan22 Jan05 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 7% 13.90    
1A  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Aug29 Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 Jun06 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
2  QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Aug25 Jun20 May26 May12 Apr13 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
3  LA ROSA Aug26 Jul20 Jul04 Jun03 May20 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 3.50 ★    
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Aug25 Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Sep13 Aug09 Jul25 Jun22 May30 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
6  MISSION GIRL Aug29 May18 Apr25 Mar16 Mar02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 10.00    
7  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Aug26 Jul25 Jun06 May10 Apr25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Jul19 Jul01 Jun06 May24 May09 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 115 12.00 14% 6.30    
9  SUSHI Q Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 May20 May10 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.