Handicappers' Race Results

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Belterra Park
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURRY SPUR 3 4 3 2   2nk 1¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.30 W
RECKLESS L J 5 1 2 3   1nk 2¼ (haehn r)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 2.30  
RONNI'S STORM 2 3 1 1   3 34 (ramos franc)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 8.00 12.00 S
MYMONSTERSFORREAL 1 5 64 55   4 4 (greenhill jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 17.30  
TIZ A RUSH 4 6 4 44   5 5 (cowan terry)REYES R 123 3.50 17% 4.80 1.30  
HONOR THE D 6 2 53 6   6 619 (bates l)FELIX E 121 4.50 19% 4.20 11.70  
 
BTP-2   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GRASS IS BLUE 1 4 11 11   13 16 (pitts c)CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.50 20% 4.00 1.20 W
ALFIO 6 1 65 3   23 26 (thornbury jeff)BRACHO A 122 5.00 16.00  
GREENSFELDER 2 6 32 54   48 313¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 122 4.50 49% 1.00 2.80 S
FLOYD G 3 5 5 21   36 415 (sturgeon robe)PETERSON FERRIN 122 3.00 7% 14.20 3.20  
ELEGGUA 5 2 42 6   514½ 523½ (decker anna)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 5.00 39.50  
INFINITE ZEAL 4 3 21 43   617½ 636¾ (minnock g)REYES R 122 3.50 3.90  
 
BTP-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:23 :46 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LITTLE WILD 4 2 1nk 21   2nk 1¾ (ortiz alexander)MCKEE J 123 1.60 39% 1.60 0.90 W
OUT WORK'N 2 3 31 11   1nk 2¾ (calvo )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.50 3.90 P
DIALED A DAME 3 5 4 32   32 3 (cotto luis)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 1.90 S
CORN POP 1 1 2nk 4   43 4 (deville j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 4.50 26% 2.80 8.80  
FROOME (IRE) 5 4 5 53   510½ 516½ (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 13.50  
 
BTP-4   09/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
1:352         1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY NELLIE 4 3 32 3 3 32 1¾ (bends p)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 9.70  
MOONSHINE DREAMER 8 7 2½ 2½ 21 21 2¾ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 5.00 9% 10.20 1.80 P
KICK OUT THE JAMS 3 8 9 910¼ 811½ 78 3¾ (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.00 9% 10.40 2.40 S
HOHOHOHO 7 6 1½ 1½ 11 11 4 (howard d)BUSH V 121 6.00 10% 9.00 4.50  
CLASSY LYNN 1 1 5 4 4 45 5 (hester haley)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 13.00  
1A  ETELKA 5 5 8 8 5 5 6 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 121 4.00 2.40  
MI ENLACE 2 2 7 77 610½ 67 7 (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 34.70  
CATTALEYA RONITH 9 9 64 67 710½ 812 810 (sands shane)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00 16.20  
VICTORIA'S DANCE 6 4 4 56 912 917 918¼ (ramos franc)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 2.50 50% 1.00 6.00  
SCR  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE               (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONKY TONK MUSIC 1 5 21 11   1 1 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.00 29% 2.40 1.60 W
DAVIS HAT 4 7 6 6   3 2 (cline c)HALDAR J 123 5.00 14.20 P
VENTURE ON 2 2 4 43   5 3 (gorham m)FELIX E 120 2.50 1.00 S
MUSIC OF MY HEART 7 1 7 7   6 46 (krummen monica)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 21.80  
THANKSDAD 6 4 3 3   2 57 (poole m)BRACHO A 120 12.00 25.60  
VAL'S RIPTIDE 5 3 11 21   4 6 (cline c)ROSARIO L 117 4.00 44% 1.30 5.10  
DANCE MOVES 3 6 5 53   7 711½ (haehn r)REYES R 123 8.00 27.90  
 
BTP-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOW IT GOES 3 5 11 1   1 1 (helmbrecht )BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 2.50 1.80  
VAMOS ANTONIO 6 1 21 2   2 2 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 3.50 5% 18.80 3.70 P
YOUNEVERWALKALONE 2 3 32 38   36 3 (corrig)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 3.30  
FERGUS 7 2 5 511   513 420½ (hamm timothy)DE AZAEL 122 10.00 8.50  
AMERICAN SILVER 5 6 619½ 627   631 535 (green troy)OUZTS W 122 6.00 47% 1.10 10.00  
LEMON GO 4 4 4 4   413 654 (laugherty joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.50 21% 3.70 5.10  
SAMURAI ISLAND 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (deville j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 12.00 13.90  
SCR  GIRO D'ORO               (pincins j)MCKEE J 125 8.00    
 
BTP-7   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:151 1:29   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMEROOM ANGEL 7 4 42 4 31 2nk 1 (anderson l)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 0.60  
EIDA'S STORM 6 3 21 1nk 11 1nk 2 (aguirre r)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 22% 3.50 3.60 P
COMPETITIVE FIRE 3 7 75 77 6 4 3 (jordan rick)MOJICA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.50 S
PRINCESS LENNY 4 5 5 31 21 3 4 (douglass devarus)BUSH V 121 4.50 6.00  
SWEET TOOTSIE LU 5 6 6 6 7 711 514½ (jackson d)MCKEE J 119 6.00 10.40  
UNWANTED INPUT 2 2 32 5 5 57 614½ (manning j)FELIX E 121 12.00 18% 4.50 13.10  
TENAKEE 1 1 11 2nk 4 68 716¾ (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 32.00  
SCR  WAITING ON WILLIAM               (helmbrecht willi)REYES R 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
1:38         1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS HEDGE 7 9 10 7 3 1nk 1½ (hernandez rey)ROMERO GREGORY 121 10.00 5.00  
LINK TO DESTINY 3 3 6 5 65 3 2½ (ward a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.50 6% 15.60 2.70 P
GOLDEN TEXT 6 4 2nk 11 11 2nk 3 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 10.00 9.10  
AUTHORITARIAN 9 8 7 9 76 5 4 (vosler eugene )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 10.30  
C F V WICKED RED 4 5 9 10 9 6 5 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 3.50 23% 3.30 10.00  
1A  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 1 1 1nk 21 4 4 6 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 6.00 49% 1.00 18.60  
KICK IT CHARLIE 8 6 4 42 54 7 7 (raines ma)MOJICA JR 121 20.00 34.20  
10  EYE BLACK 10 7 3 32 21 8 8 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 3.40  
THING 2 2 5 6 87 9 911¼ (howard d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00 5.70  
ZARMAE 5 10 8 8 10 10 1014¼ (bahena fernando)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 20.00 15.20  
SCR  FIGHTVILLE               (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.