Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYMONSTERSFORREAL Jul29         (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 ★    
2  RONNI'S STORM Sep02 Aug23 Jul29 Jul14 Jun01 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 8.00 ★    
3  MURRY SPUR Sep02 Aug16 Jul15 May25 Apr12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  TIZ A RUSH Sep07 Jul25 Jun30 Jun01   (cowan terry)REYES R 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  RECKLESS L J Sep02 Aug16 Jul29 Jul05 May25 (haehn r)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00    
6  HONOR THE D         (bates l)FELIX E 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
BTP-2   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GRASS IS BLUE Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 Jun19 May22 (pitts c)CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  GREENSFELDER         (reed r)MCKEE J 122 4.50 49% 1.00    
3  FLOYD G Sep06 Aug11 Jul27 Jul12 Jun30 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 122 3.00 7% 14.20    
4  INFINITE ZEAL Sep06         (minnock wayne )REYES R 122 3.50 ★    
5  ELEGGUA Aug12 Jun29 Jun02 Apr04 Mar05 (decker anna)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 5.00 ★    
6  ALFIO May07 Apr20       (thornbury jef)BRACHO A 122 5.00    
 
BTP-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORN POP Aug13 Jun15 May26 Apr22 Feb19 (deville j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
2  OUT WORK'N Sep06 Aug22 Jul29 Jun19 Jun02 (calv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 3.50 ★    
3  DIALED A DAME Aug22 Aug09 Jul20 Jun18   (cotto luis)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 ★    
4  A LITTLE WILD Aug28         (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 123 1.60 39% 1.60    
5  FROOME (IRE) Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 Jun04 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-4   09/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK OUT THE JAMS Sep09 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 Jun08 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.00 9% 10.40    
1A  ETELKA Sep06 Jul26 Jun22 May31 May12 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
2  CLASSY LYNN Aug17 Jul06 Apr01 Mar09 Feb24 (hester hale)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
3  MI ENLACE Sep06 Aug19 Jul20 Jun23 May27 (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00    
4  NAUGHTY NELLIE Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 Jun10 (bends p)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 ★    
5  VICTORIA'S DANCE Sep06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun28   (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  HOHOHOHO Sep06 Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (howard d)BUSH V 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
7  MOONSHINE DREAMER Aug28 Jul22 Jul07 Jun01 May19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 5.00 9% 10.20    
8  CATTALEYA RONITH Aug18 Feb11       (sands shane)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTFUL CHARGE Aug16 Jun29 May31 Apr24   (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50    
 
BTP-5   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONKY TONK MUSIC Sep07 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  VENTURE ON Aug12 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 Apr15 (gorham m)FELIX E 120 2.50 ★    
3  DANCE MOVES Sep08 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 Feb28 (haehn r)REYES R 123 8.00    
4  DAVIS HAT Aug24 Aug03 Mar08 Feb01 Jan11 (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 5.00 ★    
5  VAL'S RIPTIDE Sep07 Jul26 Jun27     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 117 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  THANKSDAD Sep05 Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 (poole m)BRACHO A 120 12.00 ★    
7  MUSIC OF MY HEART Sep08 Aug26 Aug03 Jul26   (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI ISLAND Aug17 Jul20 Jul12 Jun10 May19 (deville j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 12.00 ★    
2  YOUNEVERWALKALONE Sep09 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20   (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00    
3  HOW IT GOES Sep01 Aug19 Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 2.50 ★    
4  LEMON GO Aug25 Aug03 Jul19 Jun24 May21 (laugherty jo)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  AMERICAN SILVER         (green troy)OUZTS W 122 6.00 47% 1.10    
6  VAMOS ANTONIO Aug17 Aug02 Jul26 Jul12 Jun11 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 3.50 5% 18.80    
7  FERGUS Jan19         (hamm timothy)DE AZAEL 122 10.00    
SCR  GIRO D'ORO Sep05 Aug15 Aug02     (pincins j)MCKEE J 125 8.00    
 
BTP-7   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENAKEE Sep07 Aug17 Jul29 Jun10 May25 (alessi james)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00    
SCR  WAITING ON WILLIAM Aug30 Aug18 Aug02 Jul20 Jul08 (helmbrecht wil)REYES R 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
3  UNWANTED INPUT Sep07 Aug26 Aug17 Aug05 Jul07 (manning j)FELIX E 121 12.00 18% 4.50    
4  COMPETITIVE FIRE Sep06 Aug19 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (jordan rick)MOJICA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCESS LENNY Sep02 Aug16 Jul04 Jun27 May19 (douglass devarus)BUSH V 121 4.50    
6  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Sep06 Aug21 Aug09 Jul26 Jul15 (jackson d)MCKEE J 119 6.00    
7  EIDA'S STORM Sep06 Aug30 Aug18 Jul19 Jul06 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  HOMEROOM ANGEL Aug30 May27 May13 Mar19 Mar03 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 ★    
 
BTP-8   09/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Sep02 Jul21 Jun29 May29 May12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 6.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  FIGHTVILLE Sep13 Aug25 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 6.00    
2  THING Aug16 Jul22 Jul05 Jun23 May21 (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 8.00 ★    
3  LINK TO DESTINY         (ward wesley)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.50 6% 15.60    
4  C F V WICKED RED Aug30 Aug12 Jul19 Jul12 May23 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  ZARMAE Aug27 May28 May14 Apr30   (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 20.00    
6  GOLDEN TEXT Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 Jun29 Mar31 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 10.00    
7  TEXAS HEDGE Sep08 Aug18       (hernandez re)ROMERO GREGORY 121 10.00    
8  KICK IT CHARLIE Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 Jun22 (raines lindsey )MOJICA JR 121 20.00    
9  AUTHORITARIAN Aug09 Jul20 Jun17 May31   (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 ★    
10  EYE BLACK Aug16         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.