Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POST CLOSE 3 3 32 3   21 1 (tracy greg)MCMAHON J 123 1.80 30% 2.30 2.20 W
HIGH CRUISE 1 4 1nk 11   11 2 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.40 43% 1.30 0.30 P
1A  MASTERLY (ARG) 4 1 2nk 21   3 3 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.00 7.80 S
RUNAWAY TRACY 2 2 4 47   44 4 (jackson dwayne)MELANCON G 120 15.00 14.20  
SCR  CYPRIANO               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.00    
SCR  NOSY BANKER               (richards corale )FUSILIER C 115 12.00    
 
EVD-2   08/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:221 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALFORMED 2 1 2½ 2nk   1 1 (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.00 32% 2.10 0.30 W
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN 1 4 1½ 1nk   2 2 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 118 3.00 19% 4.40 6.90 P
SUGAR STAR 3 5 56 5   5 310¼ (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 115 3.50 25.30 S
BRAVE OLLIE 5 3 41 3   35 411 (averett ronnie)STOKES J 115 2.50 25% 3.00 3.40  
MYDEALOFTHEDAY 4 2 31 4   45 512½ (constantine car)MCMAHON J 115 12.00 11.90  
SCR  NON BINDING               (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 10.00    
 
EVD-3   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON STORM 6 1 2 2nk   1 1 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 111 2.00 28% 2.60 1.80 W
CORN POP 2 3 3 32   3 2 (pomier chase)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 1.80 41% 1.50 1.00 P
MAJESTIC MANDATE 4 2 1 1nk   2 3 (gelner jayde)MAGNON H 115 12.00 7% 14.40 4.90 S
TAPIT TO THE LINE 1 6 6 5   45 4 (brown i)STOKES A 115 3.00 10.40  
TOO MUCH CROWN 3 5 5 69   69 5 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 6.00 24.50  
EL DURANGO 5 4 43 4   5 614¼ (griffin terry)STOKES J 120 10.00 15.00  
 
EVD-4   08/13/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:152 1:274   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYTONSATTHEPLATE 3 3 5 64 44 3 1nk (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 6.40  
ANGEL OF VERDUN 1 1 1 11 1½ 1 2nk (schwandt e)ALBERT S 115 4.50 8.00 P
ISOLATION 6 2 2 21 2½ 2 3 (faucheux ron)MELANCON G 117 6.00 3.40 S
MI LIA 2 4 3 3 33 4 4 (david b)THORNTON G 117 3.00 18% 4.60 4.00  
FOUR PRINCESSES 4 5 65 54 5 56 5 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00  
BEYOND D'ORO 5 6 43 43 6 610 614 (simon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 15.00 10% 9.00 22.80  
SCR  LIL EVA JANE               (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
 
EVD-5   08/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAHAM 'S CRUISER 1 5 4 3   2½ 1nk (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 118 8.00 7.40  
JIMMIE'S HALO 6 6 5 5   3½ 2nk (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 3.50 1.80 P
DRAFT CHOICE 3 3 2 2nk   1½ 3 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.00 25% 3.00 3.30 S
STEALING APRIORITY 2 2 3 42   41 44 (thomas lee)STOKES J 123 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70  
HOPE FOR CHANGE 4 4 7 7   5 5 (milburn kat)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00 61.40  
MR. SNOWFLAKE 5 1 1 1nk   6 614 (breaux sam)ALBERT S 118 10.00 10% 9.10 10.00  
BIG RESULTS 7 7 6 65   710 715½ (davis veronica)STOKES A 118 5.00 20.30  
SCR  MISTA VALENTINE               (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 123 15.00    
 
EVD-6   08/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:222 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCRAPPY ARTIE 2 1 12 1½   13 14 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 2.00 27% 2.80 1.30 W
SUMMER SPLASH 1 2 22 2½   23 24 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 27% 2.80 0.20 P
SCR  SUN STRIKER               (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
SCR  REAL CITY SPEED               (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  YOUNG TUSCAN               (thomas lee)BACA L 110 12.00    
SCR  DANCIN WITH ANGELS               (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 113 3.50    
 
EVD-7   08/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:162 1:303   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEEROCK 1 4 49 4 21 2nk 1½ (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.00 46% 1.20 2.70 W
GLENNEYMAX 4 7 5 3 3 4¾ 2½ (arndt theodore)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 18% 4.50 4.00 P
ST. MONICA 5 6 814½ 68 4 3½ 3 (cordero m)HERNANDEZ V 123 4.00 12.60 S
SHOOTING STICK 2 3 711½ 7 54 5 4 (west h)RUIZ GARCIA 123 20.00 9.10  
KATIE'S C 7 8 3 23 11 1nk 5 (vance w)STOKES J 118 6.00 13% 7.00 1.20  
STERLING MEMORY 3 5 611 812¾ 812½ 814¾ 630½ (meza m)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 20.00 41.60  
CAESAR'S CALPURNIA 8 2 15 13 6 611¾ 735½ (lee louis)ALBERT S 118 15.00 33.50  
LA LOLA 6 1 25 57 7 714¼ 840¼ (meaux h)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 10.00 14.10  
SCR  GALAXY AFFAIR               (latour nicholas)FUSILIER C 123 8.00    
 
EVD-8   08/13/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
See original race card.
:223 :47       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRY CHARLIE 3 2 2½ 1½   1 1 (thomas lee)STOKES J 120 1.60 46% 1.20 0.30 W
BULLETSREVENGE 6 1 3½ 3½   2 2 (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 15.00 13.90 P
GENES FEATHER 1 3 1½ 2½   3 36 (zenon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 6.00 12.50  
MALIBU MONEY 5 4 43 4   46 47 (bourgeois keith)MCMAHON J 118 1.80 17% 4.90 3.50  
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY 2 6 6 7   5 511¼ (morrell cyn)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00 68.60  
CHELSEA'S GLORY 7 8 7 6   69 613¼ (magnon jason)STOKES A 120 15.00 44.90  
BIG RUSSSS 8 5 5 5   711½ 722¾ (savoie she)ALBERT S 110 10.00 13.10  
SEISMIC STRENGTH 4 7 814¾ 814¼   827½ 837½ (cox l)HERNANDEZ V 120 20.00 17% 5.00 39.70  
SCR  CURIOUS APRIORITY               (thomas lee)BALTHAZAR JARED 115 1.60    
SCR  ISLE CALL U LATER               (west h)RUIZ GARCIA 115 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.