Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MACHISMO 4 5 41½ 3.2   1nk 1¼ (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 2.50 66% 0.50 0.60 W
2  LAZARUS PROJECT 1 7 52½ 4¾   4¾ 2¼ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 6% 15.00 5.40 P
1  MAGICAL EXPRESS 3 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 3½ (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 5% 17.20 5.10 S
6  MAKING ME CRAZY 7 1 75 52¾   51¼ 42¼ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50 ★ 8.50  
3  LAST DROP OF WINE 2 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 55½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 ★ 6.50  
5  FALCONS FURY 5 6 63½ 75¼   77¼ 611¾ (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 10.00 23.90  
1A  KING RICHIE 6 2 31½ 63¾   66¼ 712¼ (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00 5.10  
 
TDN-2   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' L B 1 3 11 12   13½ 16½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70 0.05 W
4  WEST LEONARD 3 2 21 22   23½ 26½ (johnson g)CORREA L 119 3.00 10% 8.70 6.60 P
3  BEAT THE DEALER 2 1 31½ 36   36 310 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 5.10  
SCR  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED               (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OHIO EAGLE               (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  TIZ A RUSH               (cowan terry)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   09/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EXPRESS FASHION 7 1 43 42   11½ 13¼ (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 2.00 33% 2.00 1.80 W
1  GO GIRL 2 3 11 1½   21½ 23¼ (hamm timot)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50 ★ 1.60 P
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 4 4 21 31   44 36 (radosevich s)YARANGA Y 118 6.00 ★ 6.20 S
1A  BETTER HALF 5 2 31 2½   33 49 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 1.60  
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE 6 5 54 65   56½ 510 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 10.00 ★ 57.80  
3  CARLY'S IN ORBIT 3 7 76¼ 55   67½ 614½ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.80 45% 1.20 2.10  
2  SHESANOTHERSONG 1 6 64¼ 75½   711½ 718¼ (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00 68.00  
 
TDN-4   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRAITOR AMONGST US 2 1 12½ 13½   12½ 12¾ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 25% 3.00 0.50 W
1  ZAROSHA 1 4 34½ 23½   22½ 22¾ (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 ★ 5.20 P
5  IMA BELIEVER 4 2 44½ 44½   33 34 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 11.20  
4  TALE OF LACEY 3 3 22½ 33½   43 45¾ (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 32% 2.10 2.10  
SCR  QUIMBY               (inirio carlos)DIAZ R 115 10.00 ★    
SCR  TURNING PAGES               (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
TDN-5   09/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KETTLE KISS 3 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 41% 1.50 2.10 W
4  IN TROUBLED WATERS 4 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (faulkner )CORREA L 118 8.00 ★ 3.00 P
5  KAT TRAX 5 4 32 32½   32 3¼ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 16% 5.20 3.50 S
7  POLLY PRISSY PANTS 7 1 42½ 43½   46 49 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50 22% 3.40 5.10  
6  HALO EFFECT 6 2 55½ 59½   510 514¼ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 ★ 4.70  
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE 2 6 66½ 611½   615 620¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 17.70  
1  BOOKMASTER 1 7 714½ 719½   718½ 723½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00 20.20  
 
TDN-6   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SENSE 1 5 24½ 26 34 32½ 11¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.60 W
4  SMASH 4 1 14½ 16 13 1nk 21¼ (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 ★ 9.60 P
3  STAR HAWK 3 4 58¼ 37 23 2nk 31¾ (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 2.50 21% 3.70 2.60 S
6  FORTUNATE FRIENDS 6 2 48 47 46½ 43½ 45½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 17% 4.90 1.70  
2  LEXATOGA 2 6 612¼ 611½ 512½ 58 57¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★ 10.10  
5  DYNAFORM 5 3 38 59½ 618½ 618 630¼ (alamo a)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 34.20  
 
TDN-7   09/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:133 1:41   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CRYPTO COPY 3 2 2nk 21 2nk 11 15¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 14% 5.90 0.80 W
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND 2 5 42¼ 53¼ 44½ 31½ 25¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00 28.00  
1A  DYNAMITE CLOUD 7 1 1nk 11 1nk 21 311 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 62% 0.60 4.00 S
6  BLUE MONARCH 5 3 63¼ 74¼ 57 56 411¼ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 ★ 4.10  
5  MA MOO POWER 4 7 74¾ 43 31½ 45 516 (inirio carlos)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 ★ 9.50  
2  JEBIP 1 6 53¼ 33 67¼ 616 638¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 ★ 6.00  
7  SWEET JILL'S JACK 6 4 32 63¼ 716¼ 731 777½ (campbell anthon)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 34.10  
SCR  GIV'EM THE BIZ               (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.50    
SCR  UNBRIDLED CAUSE               (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-8   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MUNQAD 7 2 3.2 1nk 13½ 14 11½ (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 6% 14.60 3.70 W
7  OAKS HONEY 6 7 76¾ 66 23½ 24 21½ (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 ★ 5.60 P
3  OFTEN ENOUGH 2 6 52¾ 52½ 64¾ 37½ 38¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 18% 4.50 17.20 S
6  GALTERO 5 1 2nk 2nk 33½ 47½ 49¾ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 ★ 5.90  
2  DAWN WEST 1 5 1nk 31 44½ 510½ 516¼ (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00 50.80  
5  DEER CREEK ROAD 4 3 64¾ 77 78¼ 614 618½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 53.50  
4  OWN THE TOWN 3 4 4¼ 42 54¾ 715 732 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 54% 0.90 0.60  
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM               (schuster r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.