Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL EXPRESS Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul07 Jun27 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 5% 17.20    
1A  KING RICHIE Aug10 Jul21 Jun11 Mar07 Feb16 (skerrett je)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
2  LAZARUS PROJECT Sep15 Sep05 Aug22 Aug04 Jul19 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.00 6% 15.00    
3  LAST DROP OF WINE Aug16 Jul14 Jun27 May25 Mar26 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 ★    
4  MACHISMO Jun11 May12 Mar16     (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
5  FALCONS FURY Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 May20 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 10.00    
6  MAKING ME CRAZY Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jun25 Jun16 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-2   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OL' L B Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 Jun30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 58% 0.70    
SCR  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 Jun16 May18 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEAT THE DEALER Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 Aug02 Jul13 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
4  WEST LEONARD Sep15 Aug30 Jul18 Jun30 Jun03 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 3.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  OHIO EAGLE Sep15 Sep05 Aug02 Jul22 Jun30 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  TIZ A RUSH Sep20 Sep07 Jul25 Jun30 Jun01 (cowan terry)FELICIANO R 123 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   09/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GIRL Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jun22   (hamm timot)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50 ★    
1A  BETTER HALF Aug15         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50    
2  SHESANOTHERSONG Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jul05   (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
3  CARLY'S IN ORBIT         (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jun22 (radosevich s)YARANGA Y 118 6.00 ★    
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE Sep05         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 10.00 ★    
6  EXPRESS FASHION Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Aug01   (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-4   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAROSHA Sep05 Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 Jun29 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 ★    
2  TRAITOR AMONGST US Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun25 May30 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  QUIMBY Aug30 Jul27 Jul21 Jul01 Jun01 (inirio carlos)DIAZ R 115 10.00 ★    
4  TALE OF LACEY May30 Apr26 Apr02 Mar21 Feb26 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  IMA BELIEVER Aug30 Aug17 Jul28 Jan24   (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
SCR  TURNING PAGES Aug30 Jul28 Jul11 May23 May12 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 3.50 15% 5.70    
 
TDN-5   09/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOKMASTER Aug31         (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00    
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE Aug31 Aug15       (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
3  KETTLE KISS         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 2.00 41% 1.50    
4  IN TROUBLED WATERS Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05   (faulkner )CORREA L 118 8.00 ★    
5  KAT TRAX         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  HALO EFFECT Sep12         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 ★    
7  POLLY PRISSY PANTS         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.50 22% 3.40    
 
TDN-6   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SENSE Sep08 Aug06 Jul18 Jun30 May18 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  LEXATOGA Aug17 Jul27 Jun27 Jun07 May12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
3  STAR HAWK Jun14 May18 Apr11 Mar07 Feb16 (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  SMASH Sep19 Aug24 Aug09 Jun14 May31 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 ★    
5  DYNAFORM Sep14 Aug31 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 (alamo a)PAUCAR E 119 8.00    
6  FORTUNATE FRIENDS Sep05 Aug18 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-7   09/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DYNAMITE CLOUD Aug25 Jul26 Jun28 Jun21 Jun02 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug25 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 May12 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.50    
2  JEBIP Sep05         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.50 ★    
3  KINGDOM DIAMOND Sep13 Jul21 Jun21 May30 Apr26 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
4  CRYPTO COPY Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 Jul21 Jul14 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 14% 5.90    
5  MA MOO POWER Sep15 Aug13 Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 (inirio carlos)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 ★    
6  BLUE MONARCH Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 May23 May07 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 ★    
7  SWEET JILL'S JACK Sep05 Jul20 Jun14 May11 Apr26 (campbell anthon)FELICIANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Sep20 Aug30 Aug19 Jul07 Jun21 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-8   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Sep15 Aug30 Aug17     (schuster r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00    
2  DAWN WEST Sep01 Aug03 Jul05 Jun11 May26 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
3  OFTEN ENOUGH Sep15 Jun06 May31 May10 Apr27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
4  OWN THE TOWN Sep14 Aug10 Jul27 Jul04 May31 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 54% 0.90    
5  DEER CREEK ROAD Sep15 Aug29 Jul21 Feb15 Jan11 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
6  GALTERO Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 ★    
7  OAKS HONEY Sep05 Aug02 Jun22 May31 May18 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 ★    
8  MUNQAD Sep15 Jun24 May21 May07 Apr15 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 6% 14.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.