Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 4 6 6 6   21 1hd (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 32% 2.20 1.60 W
ACTSPECTATION 2 4 1nk 1½   11 2hd (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 123 4.50 9.90  
BULLION 1 5 3.2 5   5 3 (castillo jab)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 13% 6.60 10.90 S
VERIFIED 6 1 4 41   3 4 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 17% 4.90 2.10  
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 3 7 5 31   4 5 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00 12.10  
GOLDEN READY 7 2 2nk 2½   6 68 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 118 6.00 8% 11.00 5.70  
TAMANRASSETT 5 3 7 713¾   7100 7100 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 7.50  
 
TDN-2   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 4 3 4 4   31 1¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 21% 3.80 0.70 W
INTO GOLD 6 1 3½ 32   2nk 2¾ (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50 5.50 P
LINO'S KID 2 2 2½ 22   1nk 3 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 3.50 34% 1.90 3.60 S
EL CONDOR CAZA 3 6 55 5   5 4 (zielinski)PILARES P 123 5.00 15.70  
JOHNSBUCKEYEBADBOY 5 5 6 610½   6 510½ (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 18% 4.50 14.90  
FAST AS FAST CAN B 1 4 1½ 12   4 611½ (guidry terrance)DIAZ R 119 15.00 5.90  
 
TDN-3   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE KEVIN 3 4 56 43   11 14 (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 5% 19.00 2.80 W
PRETTY STORMY 4 3 4 3   21 24 (murillo rodrig)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 7.00 P
MR LIGHTNING BOY 5 1 22 22   31 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.90 S
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY 2 5 3 5   5 4 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 10.90  
VALIANT THOR 6 2 12 12   42 5 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00 7.70  
WISE KHOZAN 1 6 68 6   6 611¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 15.00 6.90  
SCR  CAT'S CURIOSITY               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE               (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 4.50    
 
TDN-4   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORBIT BOUND 6 10 83 43   2 13 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 40% 1.50 1.10 W
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 7 4 10 8   5 23 (flick julia)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
WHAT'S SO FUNNY 2 9 5 3   4 34 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 6.20  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 8 2 4¾ 1   1 4 (radosevich s)BAEZ M 110 12.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
PLAYFUL SUMMER 5 8 3½ 5   6 510¾ (flores christi)KEISER CHELSEY 115 12.00 36.50  
BAROLA 4 6 2nk 2   3 610¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 7.50  
POOLSIDE COCKTAILS 3 7 7 6   7 715½ (dacosta jas)CORREA L 121 4.50 27% 2.70 2.80  
10  GOLDEN HAMMER 9 1 6 7   810¾ 818 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 14.20  
W H LITTLE MISS GO 1 5 1nk 9   913¼ 923¾ (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00 68.20  
1A  VALIANT SPARK 10 3 93 10   1014¼ 1024 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 4.50 2.80  
SCR  CONDUTTORE               (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00    
 
TDN-5   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 6 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.00 W
EXPRESS FASHION 1 6 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (gorham robe)CORREA L 118 3.50 16% 5.30 6.90 P
NEAR PERFECT 5 3 4 4   3 3 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 8.00 6.20 S
RONNI'S WIND 2 5 5 5   5 43 (ballard frank)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 5.00 3.60  
SECRETS UNTOLD 4 7 7 31   4 5 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.00 10.30  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 7 1 31 6   6 6 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 12% 7.30 16.50  
KAT TRAX 3 4 6 7   7 710 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 7.80  
 
TDN-6   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMADEVIL 1 3 1½ 1   1 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 126 1.60 47% 1.10 0.05 W
TIVIS 5 5 5 43   35 2 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 120 6.00 14% 5.90 18.60 P
BOX STEP 2 2 2½ 2   2 36 (yoder lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00 23.20  
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 3 4 3½ 32   5 4 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 12.00 41.80  
CALI DREAM 4 7 6 53   4 510 (johnson gar)CORREA L 118 12.00 70.80  
TWERK 6 6 7 64   610 611½ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00 42.40  
WINE ME UP BABY 7 1 4¾ 7   710½ 711½ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 3.50 11% 7.90 5.30  
SCR  FLATTER HER AGAIN               (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 114 10.00    
SCR  LIONISTIC               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.50    
 
TDN-7   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH CUPPER 8 2 3 3   22 1 (brown glenro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 15% 5.70 1.70 W
10  HEIDI'S BACK 9 1 1 1   12 2 (suarez)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00 10.50 P
EASTER PRIDE 3 5 8 7   4 3 (shanyfelt k)DIAZ R 123 8.00 12.40  
CRYPTONIC CATWALK 7 7 68 5   3 4 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50 9.60  
DEB'S ALL OUT 5 9 913¾ 810¾   7 5 (radcliff donald )LOPEZ ALBERT 123 12.00 10.70  
WAR MOON 1 6 46 46   6 6 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 57.40  
LOLA LOUISE 2 4 56 6   8 710½ (ott l)HOLLINGSWORTH L 123 20.00 91.90  
HOOS TAKING CHARGE 6 3 2 2   5 815¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 13% 6.80 1.10  
PERSEVERING HONOR 4 8 79 912¼   912¾ 917 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 9% 10.40 45.10  
SCR  AVA'S DESTINY               (chapman jam)CORREA L 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  DANCING GRACE               (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00    
SCR  MY PINK BABY BIRD               (vickers richard )DIAZ I 123 20.00    
 
TDN-8   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KY HOT BROWN 6 1 3.2 1½   2nk 1¼ (wilson jr)GONZALEZ A 115 12.00 20.60  
ALEBRIJE 4 7 5 5   4 2¼ (lopez elias)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 8.00 2.60  
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 2 8 8 86   32 3¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 25.60  
10  KILTOOM 9 2 4 2½   1nk 4¾ (cain crysta)CORREA L 123 4.50 6% 14.40 2.20  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 7 3 7 75   6 5 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 8% 11.50 5.60  
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 1 5 2nk 3½   5 6 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 115 3.50 24% 3.20 4.10  
A LITTLE WILD 5 6 6 63   7 7 (ortiz joh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 24% 3.10 5.10  
ON HIS TOES 8 9 910¾ 9   9 810¾ (londono j)AVILES YAN 110 20.00 42.90  
MASTER 3 4 1nk 41   8 916¼ (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 31.30  
SCR  RELEASED               (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.