Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLION Sep20 Jun16 May31 May17 Apr28 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  ACTSPECTATION Sep13 Jan24       (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
3  BLAME IT ON EDDIE         (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00    
4  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Sep20 Sep12 Aug18 Aug03 Jul18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
5  TAMANRASSETT Sep19 Aug16 Jul18 Jun22 May16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 ★    
6  VERIFIED Sep01 Aug17 Jun01 May17 Apr28 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
7  GOLDEN READY Sep15 Aug29 Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 118 6.00 8% 11.00    
 
TDN-2   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST AS FAST CAN B Jun21 Jan25 Jan11     (guidry terrance)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
2  LINO'S KID Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 May17 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  EL CONDOR CAZA Sep20 Sep05 Jul14 Jun30   (zielins)PILARES P 123 5.00 ★    
4  A PRAYER FOR KIDS Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jul13 Jun21 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 1.80 21% 3.80    
5  JOHNSBUCKEYEBADBOY         (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  INTO GOLD Sep20 Sep05 Jul14 Jun21   (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISE KHOZAN Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 15.00    
2  CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 ★    
3  UNCLE KEVIN Sep19 Jul21 Jul06 Jun25 Jun16 (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRETTY STORMY Sep05 Aug22 Aug15 Aug03 Jul04 (murillo rodr)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  CAT'S CURIOSITY Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul27 Jul12 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
6  MR LIGHTNING BOY Sep06 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  VALIANT THOR Sep19 Sep07 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 May26 Apr25 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 4.50    
 
TDN-4   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (dacosta j)CORREA L 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
1A  VALIANT SPARK Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 May04 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 4.50    
SCR  CONDUTTORE Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 Jun13 May11 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00    
3  W H LITTLE MISS GO Sep21 Jul10 Jun19 May23 May10 (monday kevin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 15.00    
4  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 May19 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 8.00    
5  BAROLA Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul07 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
6  PLAYFUL SUMMER Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 Jun12 May31 (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 115 12.00    
7  ORBIT BOUND May11 Apr26 Apr02 Mar22 Feb14 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 40% 1.50    
8  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE Sep26 May06 Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 (flick julia)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRAN MAMIBELLA Sep21 Jul28 Jun11 Mar24 Feb24 (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOLDEN HAMMER Sep20 Aug13 Jul04 Jun19 Jun03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
 
TDN-5   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPRESS FASHION Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 Aug01 (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  RONNI'S WIND Sep23 Sep12       (ballard fran)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 5.00    
3  KAT TRAX Sep29         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 6.00    
4  SECRETS UNTOLD Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.00 ★    
5  NEAR PERFECT Sep15 Aug31 Jul28 Jul05   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 8.00 ★    
6  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jul28 Jul05       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Sep14 Aug31       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
TDN-6   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMADEVIL Sep08 Jul27 Jun03 May12   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
SCR  LIONISTIC Sep23 Aug26 Aug04 Jun20 May18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.50 ★    
3  BOX STEP Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jun23 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
4  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Sep21 Sep08 Aug09 Jul20 Apr09 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 12.00 ★    
5  CALI DREAM Aug13 Jul21 Jul15 Jun08 May12 (johnson g)CORREA L 118 12.00    
6  TIVIS Sep08 Aug09 Jul20 Jun03 May12 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
7  TWERK Sep21 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 Jul07 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
8  WINE ME UP BABY Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 Jul25 Jun30 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  FLATTER HER AGAIN Sep21 Sep07 Apr16 Mar26 Mar15 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 114 10.00    
 
TDN-7   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR MOON Sep21 Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 Jun13 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
2  LOLA LOUISE Sep22 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 (ott betty)HOLLINGSWORTH L 123 20.00    
SCR  MY PINK BABY BIRD Sep22 Aug31 Aug07 Apr13 Mar18 (vickers richar)DIAZ I 123 20.00    
4  EASTER PRIDE Sep21 Sep07 Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 (shanyfelt k)DIAZ R 123 8.00    
5  PERSEVERING HONOR Sep07 Aug23 Jul27     (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 9% 10.40    
6  DEB'S ALL OUT Sep27 Sep08 Aug23     (radcliff donal)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 12.00    
7  HOOS TAKING CHARGE Sep21 Aug04 Jun16 May18   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 13% 6.80    
8  CRYPTONIC CATWALK Aug10 Jul11 Jun25 Jun08 Apr11 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50    
9  HIGH CUPPER Sep21 Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 Jul20 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 15% 5.70    
10  HEIDI'S BACK Sep21 Sep08 Aug15 Aug04 Jul13 (suar)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DANCING GRACE Sep06 Jul20 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00    
SCR  AVA'S DESTINY Jan22         (chapman j)CORREA L 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-8   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Sep21 Sep01 Jul13 Jun22 Apr28 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 115 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Sep21 Aug16 Jun13 Mar18 Mar02 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
3  MASTER Sep15 Aug29 Aug18 Jun29 Jun16 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
4  ALEBRIJE Sep18 Sep01 Aug15 Jul12 Jun16 (lopez elias)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 8.00    
SCR  RELEASED Sep21 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  A LITTLE WILD Sep20 Aug28       (ortiz j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
7  KY HOT BROWN Sep13 Aug22 Aug11 Jul27 Jul12 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 12.00    
8  BAD LITTLE BEAST Sep15 Aug16 Jul13 Jun25 Jun13 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
9  ON HIS TOES Sep26 Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 (londono j)AVILES YAN 110 20.00    
10  KILTOOM Sep19 Aug24 Aug15     (cain crys)CORREA L 123 4.50 6% 14.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.