Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET ARLENE   (baker james)JOHNSON M 121 12.00 4.37  
CONTESSINA   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 26% 2.80 2.03 P
BIRD HUNTER   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8.25  
SWEET VALERIA   (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 114 15.00 10.28  
STUPENDOUS   (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.86  
GIN N SIN   (roberson dennis)COURT K 121 3.50 2.66  
START CLASS   (medley joseph)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 47.17  
SCR  MARINA'S GOLD   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
 
CD-2   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'LL NEVER KNOW   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 11% 8.30 3.36 W
FRIGID LADY   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 58% 0.70 0.67 P
UNIFIED DECISION   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 10.64  
MARSANNE   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 7.31  
CAPTIVE STAR   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 10.81  
MY LADY LUNA   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 9.44  
SCR  BARGAIN HUNTER   (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TAMARA'S WAY   (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   09/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 31% 2.30 1.22 W
MR CREED   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 32% 2.20 2.36 P
YONO   (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 6.30 S
KISS PRINCIPAL   (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 10.00 7.73  
MOON DOG   (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.91  
MEGA CHARLIE   (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.50 8.92  
 
CD-4   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD LUCK   (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 48% 1.10 2.40 W
OLAZABAL   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 30.77  
ONCE UPON A DREAM   (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.31 S
BREAD WINNER   (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 4.19  
EASY BIG BOY   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 19% 4.30 3.29  
TREPAT   (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.50 5% 17.70 17.00  
12  DIXIE FURY   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 24.78  
11  COLLECTORATE   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 23.22  
TIZRIDE   (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 28.36  
TALKSCHEAP   (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.04  
LOONY   (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 20.00 35.66  
10  RANSAM PAYNTER   (morse l)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 39.92  
SCR  HILL OF TARA   (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50    
 
CD-5   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAWNLAND   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 26% 2.80 3.66 W
I CROSS MY HEART   (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 3.82 P
MOHAYLADY   (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 6.00 17.59 S
CANT BE TOUCHED   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 46% 1.20 2.23  
HIGH SPEED   (forster grant)GILLIGAN JACK 120 5.00 5.43  
FEELING HAPPY   (baker james)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 2.68  
 
CD-6   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR DINKUM   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.74 W
REDEMPTION TIME   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 12.91  
TOWN BRANCH   (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 8.98 S
MAASAI WARRIOR   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 50% 1.00 1.13  
RAMPATIOUS   (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 52.34  
MINT   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 9% 9.70 17.33  
CHIRON   (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 12.74  
10  BOURBON ON FIRE   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 6.02  
ABSOLUTE COURAGE   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 15% 5.90 4.51  
SCR  MO HAPPY   (thompson bo)STERRITT KENDAL 117 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.08 W
KLASSY BRIDGETTE   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 18.21  
WITS AND WAGERS   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 15.57  
POSITANO SUNSET   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 9.97  
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 9.69  
11  FEE   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 38% 1.60 5.11  
SAENZ   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 21% 3.80 2.96  
SAVE YOUR TEARS   (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 31.02  
10  SHE'S MAGIC   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 39.89  
WINDY BAY   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 16.87  
GRACEFUL UNION   (devaux che)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 29.41  
PAINT ME PERFECT   (margolis stephe)LANERIE J 119 20.00 31.21  
SCR  INDY AGAIN   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  INTO LOVE   (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  STAR POSE   (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD EXPRESS   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 14% 6.40 3.22 W
10  MOUNT ATHOS   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 53% 0.90 0.85 P
BELFAST BOY   (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 10.91  
RED LABEL   (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 12.00 11.34  
ALEBRIJE   (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 32.92  
EL FRANCO   (norris mike)COURT K 121 20.00 43.92  
PURE PANIC   (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 6% 15.90 15.94  
SHACKLEFORD STRONG   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 6.54  
LUCKY PROMISE   (vance d)LANERIE J 121 20.00 34.80  
SCR  HOT PASTRAMI   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOROTHEA   (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 6.68  
10  BELLA RUNNER   (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00 11.80 P
11  ICE ORCHID   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 20% 4.00 2.37 S
DUPLICITOUS   (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 14.50  
IMPLOSION   (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 21.48  
14  AUNT NAUGHTY   (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 9.27  
DAME JOVIALE   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 11.37  
TAKE CARE   (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.35  
ROC'S PRINCESS   (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 23.50  
STANLEY MARKET   (morse l)COURT K 118 15.00 26.65  
12  ROCKIE CAUSEWAY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 21.09  
SCR  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  OUTLINING   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  RESPECTFUL   (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  RING ME DARLING   (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HIGGINSON   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 1.79  
CALL ME FAST   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6.52  
YORK TAVERN   (devaux c)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 7.54 S
SHIPMAN   (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 52% 0.90 3.07  
ELECTROMAGNETIC   (pletcher )LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 9.24  
RESERVE CURRENCY   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 5.23  
EAGLE FEATHER   (rodriguez ge)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 68.87  
10  MAJESTIC FLAG   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 19.26  
WORKINFROMHOME   (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00 8% 11.20 64.86  
BOCO   (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 43.77  
SCR  LYSANDER   (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.