Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AFLEET ARLENE 3 4 11½ 11½   15 19½ (baker james)JOHNSON M 121 12.00 ★ 4.37  
7  CONTESSINA 6 2 21½ 21½   25 29½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 26% 2.80 2.03 P
6  BIRD HUNTER 5 6 66 59½   311 313¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8.25  
5  SWEET VALERIA 4 5 44 48½   411½ 415 (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 114 15.00 ★ 10.28  
3  STUPENDOUS 2 3 55 610½   615½ 519¾ (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.86  
2  GIN N SIN 1 1 32 36½   514½ 622½ (roberson dennis)COURT K 121 3.50 2.66  
8  START CLASS 7 7 77 711½   719½ 725¾ (medley joseph)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 47.17  
SCR  MARINA'S GOLD               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 ★    
 
CD-2   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 5 1 31½ 21½   1nk 1¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 11% 8.30 3.36 W
3  FRIGID LADY 1 6 65¼ 42   2nk 2¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 58% 0.70 0.67 P
5  UNIFIED DECISION 3 2 21½ 32   42¼ 32¼ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 10.64  
8  MARSANNE 6 3 11½ 11½   3.2 43 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 7.31  
4  CAPTIVE STAR 2 4 53¾ 66   68¼ 515¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 ★ 10.81  
6  MY LADY LUNA 4 5 43½ 54   57¼ 616½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 9.44  
SCR  BARGAIN HUNTER               (divito james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  TAMARA'S WAY               (demeritte)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 ★    
 
CD-3   09/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:123 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TONAL IMPACT 4 6 64¼ 63¾ 63¼ 33½ 14½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 31% 2.30 1.22 W
3  MR CREED 3 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 12 24½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 32% 2.20 2.36 P
6  YONO 6 2 31½ 32 3½ 22 34¾ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 ★ 6.30 S
1  KISS PRINCIPAL 1 4 41¾ 42¼ 42 45 46¾ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 10.00 ★ 7.73  
2  MOON DOG 2 3 53¼ 53¾ 52¼ 55 57¾ (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.91  
5  MEGA CHARLIE 5 5 1nk 1nk 2nk 612 629 (mor)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.50 ★ 8.92  
 
CD-4   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:212 :444 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GOLD LUCK 8 6 65¾ 56½   33 12 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 48% 1.10 2.40 W
5  OLAZABAL 4 5 1½ 2½   12½ 22 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 30.77  
2  ONCE UPON A DREAM 1 8 77¾ 711   67 35¼ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.31 S
8  BREAD WINNER 7 9 88¼ 914   88¾ 48½ (amoss tho)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 4.19  
6  EASY BIG BOY 5 3 2½ 34   44½ 58¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 19% 4.30 3.29  
1  TREPAT 12 4 3½ 1½   22½ 69½ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.50 5% 17.70 17.00  
12  DIXIE FURY 11 10 109¾ 813   78½ 710½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 24.78  
11  COLLECTORATE 10 1 42½ 46½   57 810¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 23.22  
3  TIZRIDE 2 11 1111¾ 1014¼   911¼ 911½ (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 28.36  
7  TALKSCHEAP 6 2 52¾ 67½   1012¼ 1017½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.04  
4  LOONY 3 12 1223¾ 1226¼   1223¼ 1122¾ (lau)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 20.00 35.66  
10  RANSAM PAYNTER 9 7 98¾ 1118¼   1118¼ 1224 (morse l)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 39.92  
SCR  HILL OF TARA               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 ★    
 
CD-5   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DAWNLAND 2 5 21½ 11   12½ 14¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 26% 2.80 3.66 W
4  I CROSS MY HEART 4 3 44½ 32   22½ 24¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 ★ 3.82 P
1  MOHAYLADY 1 4 67 69   48½ 37 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 6.00 ★ 17.59 S
3  CANT BE TOUCHED 3 1 11½ 21   33½ 47¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 46% 1.20 2.23  
6  HIGH SPEED 6 2 55 46   58½ 510¾ (forster grant)GILLIGAN JACK 120 5.00 5.43  
5  FEELING HAPPY 5 6 34 56½   611 615¼ (baker james)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 ★ 2.68  
 
CD-6   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:092 1:224   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FAIR DINKUM 7 9 73¾ 44 32½ 22 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.74 W
7  REDEMPTION TIME 6 5 31½ 54½ 44 33½ 2nk (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 12.91  
5  TOWN BRANCH 4 1 11½ 12 12 12 33 (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 ★ 8.98 S
6  MAASAI WARRIOR 5 4 85¼ 76 56½ 57 44¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 50% 1.00 1.13  
2  RAMPATIOUS 2 2 96¾ 912½ 911½ 810 55¾ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 52.34  
9  MINT 8 6 52¼ 66 89½ 710 67¾ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 9% 9.70 17.33  
3  CHIRON 3 7 42 22 22 44½ 78 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 12.74  
10  BOURBON ON FIRE 9 8 63¼ 87½ 79 69 88¾ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 6.02  
1  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 1 3 21½ 32½ 67½ 910¼ 913 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 15% 5.90 4.51  
SCR  MO HAPPY               (thompson bo)STERRITT KENDAL 117 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS 12 2 52¼ 41½   12 12¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.08 W
2  KLASSY BRIDGETTE 2 8 87¾ 88   44½ 22¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 18.21  
6  WITS AND WAGERS 6 9 910¾ 99½   77½ 36¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 15.57  
4  POSITANO SUNSET 4 3 1nk 1nk   22 47¾ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 9.97  
7  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 7 6 62¾ 54   67½ 58¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 9.69  
11  FEE 11 1 3½ 3½   34 610 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 38% 1.60 5.11  
9  SAENZ 9 4 2nk 2nk   56½ 717 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 21% 3.80 2.96  
3  SAVE YOUR TEARS 3 10 1011¼ 1013½   913 817¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 31.02  
10  SHE'S MAGIC 10 12 1216¼ 1218¼   1216 918¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 39.89  
5  WINDY BAY 5 5 42 64½   1115 1020¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 16.87  
1  GRACEFUL UNION 1 7 75¼ 75½   811½ 1122 (devaux che)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 29.41  
8  PAINT ME PERFECT 8 11 1114¾ 1113¾   1014½ 1223 (margolis stephe)LANERIE J 119 20.00 31.21  
SCR  INDY AGAIN               (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  INTO LOVE               (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  STAR POSE               (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :453 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EMERALD EXPRESS 2 7 52½ 42½   23 1nk (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 14% 6.40 3.22 W
10  MOUNT ATHOS 9 6 31½ 11   13 2nk (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 53% 0.90 0.85 P
3  BELFAST BOY 3 8 85½ 76   55½ 35¼ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 10.91  
8  RED LABEL 7 3 65 64½   35 45½ (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 12.00 11.34  
1  ALEBRIJE 1 5 42 53   77¾ 58¼ (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 32.92  
4  EL FRANCO 4 4 75 87½   810¾ 611¼ (norris mike)COURT K 121 20.00 43.92  
9  PURE PANIC 8 1 2½ 21   65¾ 712¼ (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 6% 15.90 15.94  
6  SHACKLEFORD STRONG 5 2 1½ 31   45 812¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 ★ 6.54  
7  LUCKY PROMISE 6 9 96 910   915¾ 929¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 20.00 34.80  
SCR  HOT PASTRAMI               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:102 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOROTHEA 5 10 72 82¼ 41¼ 2½ 11 (walsh brendan)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 6.68  
10  BELLA RUNNER 8 7 3.2 2nk 11 1½ 21 (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00 ★ 11.80 P
11  ICE ORCHID 9 11 116½ 115 93 74¼ 34 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 20% 4.00 2.37 S
4  DUPLICITOUS 4 1 82 71¾ 61¾ 32½ 44 (hawley wes)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 14.50  
3  IMPLOSION 3 6 104 103 82¾ 53½ 54¼ (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 21.48  
14  AUNT NAUGHTY 11 9 4¾ 41 31 42½ 66 (mcgaughey)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 9.27  
6  DAME JOVIALE 6 4 92 92½ 72¼ 63¾ 77¼ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 11.37  
2  TAKE CARE 2 3 61¾ 61¼ 103½ 107¼ 88¼ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.35  
1  ROC'S PRINCESS 1 5 51¾ 51¼ 114 117¾ 98½ (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 23.50  
7  STANLEY MARKET 7 2 2nk 1nk 51¾ 86¾ 1015¼ (morse l)COURT K 118 15.00 26.65  
12  ROCKIE CAUSEWAY 10 8 1nk 3½ 21 96¾ 1117 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 21.09  
SCR  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  OUTLINING               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  RESPECTFUL               (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  RING ME DARLING               (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:101 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HIGGINSON 10 6 62½ 64½ 45½ 33½ 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 ★ 1.79  
8  CALL ME FAST 7 8 1½ 2½ 1½ 11½ 2¾ (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6.52  
1  YORK TAVERN 1 3 73½ 53 56 44 31¼ (devaux c)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 ★ 7.54 S
3  SHIPMAN 3 9 41½ 42 2½ 21½ 42¼ (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 52% 0.90 3.07  
4  ELECTROMAGNETIC 4 2 107 108¾ 710 68 54¼ (pletcher )LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 9.24  
2  RESERVE CURRENCY 2 1 31 1½ 32 54½ 65¾ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 5.23  
7  EAGLE FEATHER 6 4 2½ 3½ 67 712 714½ (rodriguez ge)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 68.87  
10  MAJESTIC FLAG 9 5 52 74¾ 815 818 819½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 19.26  
6  WORKINFROMHOME 5 7 84½ 96¾ 917 923 930¾ (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00 8% 11.20 64.86  
9  BOCO 8 10 95½ 86¾ 1018 1025½ 1035 (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 43.77  
SCR  LYSANDER               (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.