Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFLEET ARLENE 3 4 1 1   15 1 (baker james)JOHNSON M 121 12.00 4.37  
CONTESSINA 6 2 2 2   25 2 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 26% 2.80 2.03 P
BIRD HUNTER 5 6 66 5   311 313¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8.25  
SWEET VALERIA 4 5 44 4   411½ 415 (foster eric)HOLMES GAGE 114 15.00 10.28  
STUPENDOUS 2 3 55 610½   615½ 519¾ (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.86  
GIN N SIN 1 1 32 3   514½ 622½ (roberson dennis)COURT K 121 3.50 2.66  
START CLASS 7 7 77 711½   719½ 725¾ (medley joseph)RIQUELME J 121 30.00 47.17  
SCR  MARINA'S GOLD               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
 
CD-2   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:22 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 5 1 3 2   1nk 1¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 11% 8.30 3.36 W
FRIGID LADY 1 6 6 42   2nk 2¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 58% 0.70 0.67 P
UNIFIED DECISION 3 2 2 32   4 3 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 10.64  
MARSANNE 6 3 1 1   3.2 43 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 4.00 7.31  
CAPTIVE STAR 2 4 5 66   6 515¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 10.81  
MY LADY LUNA 4 5 4 54   5 616½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 9.44  
SCR  BARGAIN HUNTER               (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TAMARA'S WAY               (demeritte l)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   09/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:123 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT 4 6 6 6 6 3 1 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 31% 2.30 1.22 W
MR CREED 3 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 12 2 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 32% 2.20 2.36 P
YONO 6 2 3 32 3½ 22 3 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 6.30 S
KISS PRINCIPAL 1 4 4 4 42 45 4 (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 118 10.00 7.73  
MOON DOG 2 3 5 5 5 55 5 (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.91  
MEGA CHARLIE 5 5 1nk 1nk 2nk 612 629 (morse)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.50 8.92  
 
CD-4   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:212 :444 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD LUCK 8 6 6 5   33 12 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 48% 1.10 2.40 W
OLAZABAL 4 5 1½ 2½   1 22 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 30.77  
ONCE UPON A DREAM 1 8 7 711   67 3 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.31 S
BREAD WINNER 7 9 8 914   8 4 (amoss thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 4.19  
EASY BIG BOY 5 3 2½ 34   4 5 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 19% 4.30 3.29  
TREPAT 12 4 3½ 1½   2 6 (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 3.50 5% 17.70 17.00  
12  DIXIE FURY 11 10 10 813   7 710½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 24.78  
11  COLLECTORATE 10 1 4 4   57 810¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 23.22  
TIZRIDE 2 11 1111¾ 1014¼   911¼ 911½ (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00 28.36  
TALKSCHEAP 6 2 5 6   1012¼ 1017½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.04  
LOONY 3 12 1223¾ 1226¼   1223¼ 1122¾ (lauer)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 20.00 35.66  
10  RANSAM PAYNTER 9 7 9 1118¼   1118¼ 1224 (morse l)DIAZ RENE 114 12.00 39.92  
SCR  HILL OF TARA               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50    
 
CD-5   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAWNLAND 2 5 2 11   1 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 26% 2.80 3.66 W
I CROSS MY HEART 4 3 4 32   2 2 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 3.82 P
MOHAYLADY 1 4 67 69   4 37 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 6.00 17.59 S
CANT BE TOUCHED 3 1 1 21   3 4 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.00 46% 1.20 2.23  
HIGH SPEED 6 2 55 46   5 510¾ (forster t)GILLIGAN JACK 120 5.00 5.43  
FEELING HAPPY 5 6 34 5   611 615¼ (baker james)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 2.68  
 
CD-6   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:092 1:224   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAIR DINKUM 7 9 7 44 3 22 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.74 W
REDEMPTION TIME 6 5 3 5 44 3 2nk (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 12.91  
TOWN BRANCH 4 1 1 12 12 12 33 (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00 8.98 S
MAASAI WARRIOR 5 4 8 76 5 57 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 50% 1.00 1.13  
RAMPATIOUS 2 2 9 912½ 911½ 810 5 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 52.34  
MINT 8 6 5 66 8 710 6 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 9% 9.70 17.33  
CHIRON 3 7 42 22 22 4 78 (combs bentley)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 12.74  
10  BOURBON ON FIRE 9 8 6 8 79 69 8 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 6.00 6.02  
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 1 3 2 3 6 910¼ 913 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 15% 5.90 4.51  
SCR  MO HAPPY               (thompson boyd)STERRITT KENDAL 117 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS 12 2 5 4   12 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.08 W
KLASSY BRIDGETTE 2 8 8 88   4 2 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 18.21  
WITS AND WAGERS 6 9 910¾ 9   7 3 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 15.57  
POSITANO SUNSET 4 3 1nk 1nk   22 4 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 9.97  
SOUPER EXPLOSIVE 7 6 6 54   6 5 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 9.69  
11  FEE 11 1 3½ 3½   34 610 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 38% 1.60 5.11  
SAENZ 9 4 2nk 2nk   5 717 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 21% 3.80 2.96  
SAVE YOUR TEARS 3 10 1011¼ 1013½   913 817¼ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 31.02  
10  SHE'S MAGIC 10 12 1216¼ 1218¼   1216 918¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 39.89  
WINDY BAY 5 5 42 6   1115 1020¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 16.87  
GRACEFUL UNION 1 7 7 7   811½ 1122 (devaux cheri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 29.41  
PAINT ME PERFECT 8 11 1114¾ 1113¾   1014½ 1223 (margolis stephen )LANERIE J 119 20.00 31.21  
SCR  INDY AGAIN               (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
SCR  INTO LOVE               (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  STAR POSE               (lukas wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :453 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD EXPRESS 2 7 5 4   23 1nk (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 14% 6.40 3.22 W
10  MOUNT ATHOS 9 6 3 11   13 2nk (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.40 53% 0.90 0.85 P
BELFAST BOY 3 8 8 76   5 3 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 10.91  
RED LABEL 7 3 65 6   35 4 (demeritte la)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 12.00 11.34  
ALEBRIJE 1 5 42 53   7 5 (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 32.92  
EL FRANCO 4 4 75 8   810¾ 611¼ (norris mike)COURT K 121 20.00 43.92  
PURE PANIC 8 1 2½ 21   6 712¼ (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 113 12.00 6% 15.90 15.94  
SHACKLEFORD STRONG 5 2 1½ 31   45 812¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 6.54  
LUCKY PROMISE 6 9 96 910   915¾ 929¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 20.00 34.80  
SCR  HOT PASTRAMI               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:102 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOROTHEA 5 10 72 8 4 2½ 11 (walsh p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 6.68  
10  BELLA RUNNER 8 7 3.2 2nk 11 1½ 21 (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00 11.80 P
11  ICE ORCHID 9 11 11 115 93 7 34 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 20% 4.00 2.37 S
DUPLICITOUS 4 1 82 7 6 3 44 (hawley wesle)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 14.50  
IMPLOSION 3 6 104 103 8 5 5 (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 21.48  
14  AUNT NAUGHTY 11 9 4¾ 41 31 4 66 (mcgaughey c)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 9.27  
DAME JOVIALE 6 4 92 9 7 6 7 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 11.37  
TAKE CARE 2 3 6 6 10 10 8 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 28% 2.60 2.35  
ROC'S PRINCESS 1 5 5 5 114 11 9 (gowan william)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 23.50  
STANLEY MARKET 7 2 2nk 1nk 5 8 1015¼ (morse l)COURT K 118 15.00 26.65  
12  ROCKIE CAUSEWAY 10 8 1nk 3½ 21 9 1117 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 21.09  
SCR  NOSILVERSPOONSHERE               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  OUTLINING               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
SCR  RESPECTFUL               (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  RING ME DARLING               (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:101 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HIGGINSON 10 6 6 6 4 3 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 1.79  
CALL ME FAST 7 8 1½ 2½ 1½ 1 2¾ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 6.52  
YORK TAVERN 1 3 7 53 56 44 3 (devaux che)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 7.54 S
SHIPMAN 3 9 4 42 2½ 2 4 (green troy)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 52% 0.90 3.07  
ELECTROMAGNETIC 4 2 107 10 710 68 5 (pletcher to)LEPAROUX R 120 10.00 9.24  
RESERVE CURRENCY 2 1 31 1½ 32 5 6 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 5.23  
EAGLE FEATHER 6 4 2½ 3½ 67 712 714½ (rodriguez gera)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 68.87  
10  MAJESTIC FLAG 9 5 52 7 815 818 819½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 19.26  
WORKINFROMHOME 5 7 8 9 917 923 930¾ (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00 8% 11.20 64.86  
BOCO 8 10 9 8 1018 1025½ 1035 (hamilton troy)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 43.77  
SCR  LYSANDER               (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.