Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WHOVILLE 7 3 3½ 2nk   12 1 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 37% 1.70 0.70 W
KENNEDIE SKY 3 5 7 31   22 2 (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 4.50 17% 4.80 3.50 P
OPULENT WAYS 1 7 5 5   4 3 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00 21% 3.70 5.80 S
CASCABRIA 5 2 6 7   5 410 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 24.70  
CAFE MISCHIEF 6 1 1nk 1nk   3 511¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 0.70  
ISTAN ROSE 2 6 42 6   69 614 (horrigan joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 49.20  
LUCKY ROAD 4 4 2nk 42   712 722½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 3.60  
SCR  SHANNON'S GIRL               (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
 
TDN-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:153     1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ATTIRE 2 6 6 6 6 5 1nk (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 35% 1.90 2.80 W
SMOOCHER 8 8 79 7 5 4¾ 2nk (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 8.00 2.90  
1A  HIDDEN ACCESS 6 5 5 3 3.2 1nk 3 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00 2.80 S
ANIMO ROBERTO 7 7 810½ 813¼ 8 6 4 (inirio carlo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 6.00 20.30  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 3 3 2½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 55 (radosevich )CORREA L 118 1.80 45% 1.20 1.10  
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE 5 4 4 4 4 7 68 (rado)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 1.10  
PRIMITIVO 4 2 31 2½ 2nk 3.2 713¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 5.20  
MY BUDDY MICAH 1 1 1½ 5 7 8 814¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 23.50  
 
TDN-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO GO MY LUCEILLE 2 1 11 13   18 1 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 5.90  
BEST OF YOU 1 6 6 65   4 2 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 119 5.00 5.30  
SAMMY'S SISTER 3 7 7 7   3 310 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 116 4.50 29% 2.40 1.40 S
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE 4 5 5 3   28 410½ (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 6% 15.10 30.40  
KIST 6 3 4 5   6 512¼ (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 1.50  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 7 4 31 23   5 617 (vickers rich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 63.00  
LOLA LOUISE 5 2 21 4   710 719½ (ott l)CORREA L 119 10.00 12.40  
SCR  HAPPY AS YOU GO               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  OUT MY DEAR               (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
TDN-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLE WATASHI 4 7 7 6   4¾ 1 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 123 6.00 25.80  
THE MAN CAN 3 1 3.2 4   3.2 2 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 13.80  
VICTORY DIVISION 5 6 5 31   2nk 3 (gorham m)RIVERA R 123 4.50 7% 13.00 10.20 S
BIG OHIO 1 8 8 76   6 4 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 62% 0.60 0.60  
CANT BUY COOL 7 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 8% 11.20 9.10  
JUST CHESTER 2 2 4 5   7 6 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00 26.50  
BUCKITITLEWAVE 6 3 1nk 2nk   5 710 (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 2.90  
PLATE IT UP 8 5 6 8   811¾ 817¼ (murillo rodr)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00 26.40  
SCR  GRAND STRATEGY               (reust megan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:131 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISTILLGOTIT 5 4 21 21 2nk 12 1½ (puhl kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 58% 0.70 0.80 W
SHELL FIRE 4 2 5 54 54 45 2½ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 3.10 P
WILLY'S CASTLE 1 3 11 11 1nk 22 3 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 11.10 S
CLYDE PARK 2 1 32 32 32 3 4 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 7.90  
GOD'S WILL BE DONE 3 5 4 43 43 5 56 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 10.20  
OPEN OUT 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 8% 10.80 5.60  
 
TDN-6   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:15     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 2 1 12 13 1 1 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 20% 4.10 0.60 W
STONE COLD CAT 2 4 43 33 3 34 2 (cahill steven)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 2.90 P
DAWN'S LIGHT 4 1 2 22 23 2 3 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 24% 3.20 4.80 S
KETTLE KING 3 3 5 55 4 4 4 (romero jose)CORREA L 123 3.00 7.50  
MOBIL AT LAST 1 6 68 6 68 514½ 516¾ (reust meg)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 24.10  
WESTERN HOPE 6 5 3 4 5 615½ 627 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 13% 6.70 63.10  
 
TDN-7   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:133 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELISH THE RIDE 7 6 4 42 32 1 15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 31% 2.20 4.30 W
AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 2 2 21 3 42 32 25 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 8.70 P
ROMANTIC COWBOY 3 3 31 21 11 2 35 (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 7% 12.80 3.50 S
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 8 9 8 84 7 55 46 (bailey ri)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 20.00 25.60  
BIG TRUCK 4 8 9 96 8 69 5 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.00 28% 2.60 1.90  
10  MOBIL SOLUTION 10 5 7 6 5 43 6 (skerrett jeff)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 6.00 7% 12.60 7.70  
MANGA MAN 5 10 10 107 9 711 710 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 117 12.00 27.20  
PAT'S KARMA 6 1 5 5 6 812 815½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 20.00 26.70  
SPEEDY MOBILE 9 7 6 7 10 915 921 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 20.00 19.80  
FIRST SONG 1 4 11 11 21 1016 1025¼ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 4.50 8.70  
 
TDN-8   09/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODIE 6 1 1 12   15 1 (patterson kev)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.10 W
KHALFANI 2 6 69 68   5 2 (pattah shah)CORREA L 119 8.00 4.90  
DIAMONDS ENJOY 4 4 2 3   25 3 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9.50  
CUTLER 1 5 56 4   4 4 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 21% 3.70 2.00  
BLACK CANDY 3 2 33 22   35 5 (tomczak m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 20.40  
CENTRIST 5 3 46 5   611½ 610¼ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 121 5.00 8.20  
SCR  SAINT GOAR               (pappada michael )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.