Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WHOVILLE 7 3 3½ 2nk   12 13½ (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 37% 1.70 0.70 W
5  KENNEDIE SKY 3 5 72¾ 31   22 23½ (johnson g)CORREA L 123 4.50 17% 4.80 3.50 P
2  OPULENT WAYS 1 7 52¼ 52½   43½ 34¾ (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00 21% 3.70 5.80 S
7  CASCABRIA 5 2 62¾ 73¾   57½ 410 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 24.70  
1  CAFE MISCHIEF 6 1 1nk 1nk   33½ 511¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 0.70  
3  ISTAN ROSE 2 6 42 63½   69 614 (horrigan j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 ★ 49.20  
6  LUCKY ROAD 4 4 2nk 42   712 722½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 3.60  
SCR  SHANNON'S GIRL               (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 123 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:153     1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE 2 6 67½ 68¾ 64¾ 54¾ 1nk (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 35% 1.90 2.80 W
6  SMOOCHER 8 8 79 79¾ 53¾ 4¾ 2nk (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 8.00 2.90  
1A  HIDDEN ACCESS 6 5 52½ 31½ 3.2 1nk 32¼ (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00 ★ 2.80 S
5  ANIMO ROBERTO 7 7 810½ 813¼ 89¼ 65¾ 44¾ (inirio car)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 6.00 20.30  
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 3 3 2½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 55 (radosevic)CORREA L 118 1.80 45% 1.20 1.10  
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE 5 4 42½ 41½ 42¼ 76¼ 68 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 ★ 1.10  
4  PRIMITIVO 4 2 31 2½ 2nk 3.2 713¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 ★ 5.20  
3  MY BUDDY MICAH 1 1 1½ 51¾ 75¼ 89¼ 814¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 23.50  
 
TDN-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SO GO MY LUCEILLE 2 1 11 13   18 19¼ (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 5.90  
1  BEST OF YOU 1 6 64¼ 65   49½ 29¼ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 119 5.00 5.30  
4  SAMMY'S SISTER 3 7 77¾ 76½   39½ 310 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 116 4.50 29% 2.40 1.40 S
5  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE 4 5 53¼ 33½   28 410½ (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 6% 15.10 30.40  
8  KIST 6 3 41¼ 54½   69¾ 512¼ (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 ★ 1.50  
9  MY PINK BABY BIRD 7 4 31 23   59¾ 617 (vickers ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 63.00  
6  LOLA LOUISE 5 2 21 43½   710 719½ (ott betty)CORREA L 119 10.00 12.40  
SCR  HAPPY AS YOU GO               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  OUT MY DEAR               (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
TDN-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OLE WATASHI 4 7 74¼ 64½   4¾ 11½ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 6.00 ★ 25.80  
3  THE MAN CAN 3 1 3.2 41½   3.2 21½ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 13.80  
6  VICTORY DIVISION 5 6 51¾ 31   2nk 31½ (gorham m)RIVERA R 123 4.50 7% 13.00 10.20 S
1  BIG OHIO 1 8 86¾ 76   61¾ 41¾ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 62% 0.60 0.60  
8  CANT BUY COOL 7 4 2nk 1nk   1nk 53¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 8% 11.20 9.10  
2  JUST CHESTER 2 2 41¼ 53½   74¾ 68¾ (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00 26.50  
7  BUCKITITLEWAVE 6 3 1nk 2nk   51¾ 710 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 ★ 2.90  
9  PLATE IT UP 8 5 61¾ 86¼   811¾ 817¼ (murillo ro)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00 26.40  
SCR  GRAND STRATEGY               (reust mega)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:131 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ISTILLGOTIT 5 4 21 21 2nk 12 1½ (puhl kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 58% 0.70 0.80 W
4  SHELL FIRE 4 2 55½ 54 54 45 2½ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 ★ 3.10 P
1  WILLY'S CASTLE 1 3 11 11 1nk 22 33¼ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 ★ 11.10 S
2  CLYDE PARK 2 1 32 32 32 34½ 44½ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 ★ 7.90  
3  GOD'S WILL BE DONE 3 5 43½ 43 43 56½ 56 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00 10.20  
6  OPEN OUT 6 6 66½ 64½ 64½ 67½ 69½ (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 8% 10.80 5.60  
 
TDN-6   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:15     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 2 11½ 12 13 13½ 14¼ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 20% 4.10 0.60 W
2  STONE COLD CAT 2 4 43 33 34½ 34 24¼ (cahill stev)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 ★ 2.90 P
4  DAWN'S LIGHT 4 1 21½ 22 23 23½ 34¼ (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 24% 3.20 4.80 S
3  KETTLE KING 3 3 53½ 55 44½ 45½ 46¼ (romero jo)CORREA L 123 3.00 ★ 7.50  
1  MOBIL AT LAST 1 6 68 66½ 68 514½ 516¾ (reust m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 24.10  
6  WESTERN HOPE 6 5 32½ 43½ 56½ 615½ 627 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 13% 6.70 63.10  
 
TDN-7   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:133 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RELISH THE RIDE 7 6 41½ 42 32 11½ 15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 31% 2.20 4.30 W
2  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 2 2 21 31½ 42 32 25 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 ★ 8.70 P
3  ROMANTIC COWBOY 3 3 31 21 11 21½ 35 (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 7% 12.80 3.50 S
8  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 8 9 84¼ 84 74¾ 55 46 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 20.00 25.60  
4  BIG TRUCK 4 8 95¼ 96 85¾ 69 57½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.00 28% 2.60 1.90  
10  MOBIL SOLUTION 10 5 74¼ 63½ 52¼ 43 68¼ (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 6.00 7% 12.60 7.70  
5  MANGA MAN 5 10 107¼ 107 96¾ 711 710 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 117 12.00 27.20  
6  PAT'S KARMA 6 1 51¾ 52½ 62¾ 812 815½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 20.00 26.70  
9  SPEEDY MOBILE 9 7 62¼ 73½ 107¼ 915 921 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 20.00 19.80  
1  FIRST SONG 1 4 11 11 21 1016 1025¼ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 4.50 8.70  
 
TDN-8   09/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ODIE 6 1 12½ 12   15 14½ (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 1.80 53% 0.90 1.10 W
2  KHALFANI 2 6 69 68   57½ 24½ (pattah sh)CORREA L 119 8.00 4.90  
5  DIAMONDS ENJOY 4 4 22½ 32½   25 35¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9.50  
1  CUTLER 1 5 56 45½   46½ 45½ (jackson r)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 21% 3.70 2.00  
4  BLACK CANDY 3 2 33 22   35 57¼ (tomczak)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 ★ 20.40  
6  CENTRIST 5 3 46 55½   611½ 610¼ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 121 5.00 ★ 8.20  
SCR  SAINT GOAR               (pappada michae)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.