Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAFE MISCHIEF         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00    
1A  WHOVILLE Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  OPULENT WAYS Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  ISTAN ROSE Aug15 Jul25 Jun02 May16   (horrigan joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 ★    
SCR  SHANNON'S GIRL Sep13 Aug15 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 123 2.50 ★    
5  KENNEDIE SKY Sep07 Jul18 Jun28 Mar10 Feb23 (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  LUCKY ROAD         (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
7  CASCABRIA Aug17 Aug03 Mar09 Mar02 Jan05 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE Aug02 Jul11       (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
1A  HIDDEN ACCESS Aug25         (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.00 ★    
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (radosevich )CORREA L 118 1.80 45% 1.20    
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 Jul11   (rado)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 ★    
3  MY BUDDY MICAH         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00    
4  PRIMITIVO Sep05 Aug02 Jul11     (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 ★    
5  ANIMO ROBERTO Sep05         (inirio carlo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
6  SMOOCHER         (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 8.00    
 
TDN-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST OF YOU Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul15 Jun21 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
2  SO GO MY LUCEILLE Jul20 Jul05       (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
SCR  OUT MY DEAR         (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  SAMMY'S SISTER Sep07 Aug22 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 (jackson r)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50 29% 2.40    
5  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Aug23 Jul21 Jul06 Jun01 May18 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 6% 15.10    
6  LOLA LOUISE Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 Jun25 (ott l)CORREA L 119 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY AS YOU GO Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 Apr27 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
8  KIST Aug08 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 May24 (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 ★    
9  MY PINK BABY BIRD Aug31 Aug07 Apr13 Mar18 Feb28 (vickers rich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG OHIO         (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  JUST CHESTER Sep07         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
3  THE MAN CAN Sep07 May23 May07 Apr27 Apr04 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
4  OLE WATASHI Sep07 Aug23 May24 Apr16 Feb15 (trevino g)BIRT BRAXON 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  GRAND STRATEGY Aug23 Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 (reust megan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
6  VICTORY DIVISION Aug23 Jun02 May12 Mar22 Jan26 (gorham m)RIVERA R 123 4.50 7% 13.00    
7  BUCKITITLEWAVE Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 ★    
8  CANT BUY COOL Aug23 Jul21 Jul06     (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 8% 11.20    
9  PLATE IT UP Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul14 (murillo rodr)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLY'S CASTLE Sep12 Aug25 Jan14     (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 ★    
2  CLYDE PARK Sep13 Aug29 Aug18 Aug08 Jul27 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.00 ★    
3  GOD'S WILL BE DONE Sep12 Aug31 Aug18 Jul14 Jun20 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 8.00    
4  SHELL FIRE Jun20 Jun11 May31 May12 May03 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 ★    
5  ISTILLGOTIT Sep12 Jul18 Jun22 Jun13 May21 (puhl kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  OPEN OUT Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 8% 10.80    
 
TDN-6   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL AT LAST Aug08 Jun20 Jun06 May07 Apr12 (reust meg)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
2  STONE COLD CAT Sep01 Aug16 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 (cahill steven)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 ★    
3  KETTLE KING Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Feb28 (romero jose)CORREA L 123 3.00 ★    
4  DAWN'S LIGHT         (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD Jul15 Jun03 May23 Jan05   (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  WESTERN HOPE Sep05 Aug23 Aug15 Aug08 Jul12 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-7   09/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST SONG Aug30 Aug10 Jul22 Jun25 May24 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 4.50    
2  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Jun25 May07       (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 5.00 ★    
3  ROMANTIC COWBOY Aug02 Jul06 May21 May02   (mcdonald james)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 7% 12.80    
4  BIG TRUCK Aug31 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 May12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  MANGA MAN Sep06 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 May02 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 117 12.00    
6  PAT'S KARMA Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jun25 Jun06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 117 20.00    
7  RELISH THE RIDE Sep06 Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 31% 2.20    
8  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Aug31 Aug13 Jul27 Jul14 Jun25 (bailey ri)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 20.00    
9  SPEEDY MOBILE Sep01 Aug02 Jul14 Jun30 Jun14 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
10  MOBIL SOLUTION Sep07 Jul22 Jun25 May07   (skerrett jeff)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 6.00 7% 12.60    
 
TDN-8   09/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUTLER Sep05 Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 Jun16 (jackson r)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  KHALFANI Sep12 Aug18 Jul07 Jun16 Jun06 (pattah shah)CORREA L 119 8.00    
SCR  SAINT GOAR Aug31 Jul21 Apr18 Mar24 Mar08 (pappada michael )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★    
4  BLACK CANDY Sep13 Jul03 Jun24 Jun07 May19 (tomczak mark)CCAMAQUE M 119 15.00 ★    
5  DIAMONDS ENJOY Aug18 Aug01 Jul14 Jun16 May16 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
6  CENTRIST Aug22 Aug02 Jun30 May31 May16 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 121 5.00 ★    
7  ODIE Sep01 Jul03 Jun08 May16 Apr22 (patterson kev)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.