Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RENO TOUCH 4 5 42½ 31½   1nk 13¼ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.00 9% 10.10 1.60 W
1  BLUE SAGE (IRE) 2 4 1½ 11½   2nk 23¼ (skerrett jeffr)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.50 2.80 DH
4  BACKSPLASH 5 2 64 52¾   51¾ 23¼ (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 16% 5.30 5.10 P
5  SIERRA DIAMOND 6 1 52½ 62¾   31 44½ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00 16% 5.20 6.80  
2  J P'S GLADYS 1 6 31½ 21½   41½ 54¾ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 32% 2.10 3.40  
1A  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 3 7 74½ 74¼   64¼ 64¾ (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 ★ 2.80  
6  LA MUNECA 7 3 2½ 41¾   76¾ 716¼ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 123 8.00 14.70  
 
TDN-2   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AFLEET O ME 4 6 32½ 1½   11½ 1hd (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50 11% 8.30 0.80 W
3  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 3 3 43 31½   21½ 2hd (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.60 2.00 P
1  NOSEY POWER 1 5 65½ 64¾   55½ 35½ (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 6.00 ★ 21.30 S
2  JUST INSPIRED 2 4 53 41½   34 47½ (doering m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 ★ 15.60  
6  JOHNS BIG RED 6 1 2½ 51¾   65¾ 510½ (radcliff donald )LOPEZ ALBERT 119 10.00 26.70  
5  BRILLIANTBENNY 5 2 1½ 2½   44 611½ (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 54% 0.80 3.70  
 
TDN-3   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  YO BERBS 3 2 11 14   15 15½ (brown t)RIVERA R 123 2.50 ★ 1.40  
1  RULING EMPIRE 1 5 57½ 59½   45¼ 25½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★ 0.80 P
6  POWERFUL MOON 5 1 35 37½   35 39¾ (ray kevin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 14.30 S
5  DERBYS MONEYMAKER 4 4 46 47½   25 49¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 9.60  
2  POWER SONG 2 3 21 24   55¼ 517½ (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 ★ 7.80  
SCR  SHADOW TRACER               (jackson r)AVILES YAN 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
 
TDN-4   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:00     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CARRONADE 3 4 1nk 1nk   14 18¼ (kintz matthew)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 41% 1.50 0.70 W
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 4 1 2nk 2nk   24 28¼ (flores israe)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50 15% 5.80 3.30 P
2  RESERVATION 2 5 43 42½   38 317½ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 118 4.50 ★ 15.50 S
5  ENOUGH ICE 5 3 31½ 31½   49½ 418¼ (pease ha)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 23% 3.40 3.10  
1  SMUDGE THE CAT 1 2 5100 5100   5100 5100 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 5.00 ★ 7.80  
SCR  CHARTED               (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:122     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  I WANNA WIN 8 3 35 32 3.2 1nk 12½ (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 24% 3.10 3.00 W
4  BEER CHASER 3 6 56½ 54 41¾ 31½ 22½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 ★ 5.30 P
8  TIME TO SHOOT 7 7 710½ 77½ 64¼ 62¼ 33 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 6.60  
6  COMPLY (NZ) 5 8 810¾ 811½ 88¾ 84½ 43¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 37% 1.70 8.30  
3  IRISH UNITY 2 1 24 22 2nk 2nk 54 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
7  FAT DADDY 6 4 68½ 66½ 51¾ 51¾ 65 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 121 12.00 5.70  
2  SO DIALED IN 1 2 14 12 1nk 41¾ 79½ (skerrett jeff)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 114 6.00 2.70  
5  MO DONT NO 4 5 45 43½ 74¾ 74¼ 810 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 4.50 11% 8.30 9.30  
SCR  CHANNEL FURY               (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  OHIO PLAYER 9 1 21½ 11½   14 13¾ (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 5.00 5% 18.60 4.20 W
3  JIMTOWN 3 5 33 54   24 23¾ (inirio carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50 5% 18.20 5.70 P
2  SPIN DOCTOR 2 8 74¾ 64½   56½ 34¼ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 56% 0.80 1.90 S
4  TWO EAGLES 4 7 63¾ 33   34½ 45½ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 114 4.50 ★ 3.80  
7  BUCKEYE RUCKUS 7 2 43 43   45½ 56½ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 11.10  
8  CHARLEE'S MAGIC 8 3 53½ 76   89½ 69 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 12% 7.70 6.20  
5  QUALITY MAN 5 9 911¼ 99¼   910 710 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 119 12.00 20.00  
1  ONE CRAZY RIDE 1 6 86¾ 86¼   79½ 810¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 48.20  
6  THIS MAN CAN 6 4 11½ 21½   68 914½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 21.60  
 
TDN-7   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  I GOT HOPE 4 6 53 32   31 1¾ (pattah d)DIAZ I 119 5.00 50% 1.00 5.70 W
6  PENNIESANDDIMES 5 4 1nk 11   11 2¾ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 6.20  
2  LADY FORTUNE 2 5 31 21   21 3¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 11% 8.30 2.60 S
9  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM 8 2 42½ 42½   43½ 45¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 3.50 15% 5.80 3.60  
7  COSTUME JEWELRY 6 8 74¾ 63½   55½ 56 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50 2.80  
1  WELLOILEDCAT 1 7 85¼ 75   67 66¼ (casalinova t)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 49.30  
4  DEB'S ALL OUT 3 9 98¼ 85¼   77½ 78¾ (schuster robin)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 15.00 ★ 10.70  
8  SHADY BABY 7 1 2nk 52½   88 814¼ (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 59.90  
10  SASSY POWER 9 3 63¼ 96¼   912½ 923 (radosevich )CORREA L 115 6.00 13.70  
SCR  CRYPTONIC CATWALK               (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAOILIN 5 3 11 14 12½ 11½ 13½ (cash l)GONZALEZ A 114 3.00 11% 8.30 6.70 W
1  CANDLELIGHT HOURS 1 5 53 44½ 22½ 21½ 23½ (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.00 51% 1.00 0.30 P
3  TRUMPET LILLY 3 2 21 24 32½ 32½ 37¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★ 6.20 S
6  BALLROOM BLITZ 6 1 32 34½ 44½ 46½ 413 (gorham m)RIVERA R 119 3.50 ★ 7.00  
4  ESTILO ELEGANTE 4 6 42 54¾ 610 510½ 515¾ (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 35.20  
2  ANNMARIA 2 4 63½ 65¼ 59 610½ 616¾ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 8% 11.50 14.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.