Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 3.50    
1A  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Aug25 Jul26 Jun22 Mar21 Jan31 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 ★    
2  J P'S GLADYS Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Mar26 Feb23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  RENO TOUCH Sep13         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 3.00 9% 10.10    
4  BACKSPLASH Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
5  SIERRA DIAMOND Sep07 Aug15 Jul05 Jun02 May07 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  LA MUNECA May17 May07 Mar31 Mar23 Feb26 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 123 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOSEY POWER Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 6.00 ★    
2  JUST INSPIRED Sep19 Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 (doering)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 ★    
3  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Sep05 Aug22 Jul21 Jun30 May04 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.60    
4  AFLEET O ME Sep20 Aug22 Jul21 Jul14 May21 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50 11% 8.30    
5  BRILLIANTBENNY Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
6  JOHNS BIG RED Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul28 Jul11 (radcliff donal)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULING EMPIRE Sep13 Sep01 Aug16 Aug02 Jul14 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 3.50 ★    
2  POWER SONG         (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 ★    
3  YO BERBS Sep12 Aug15 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 (brown t)RIVERA R 123 2.50 ★    
SCR  SHADOW TRACER Sep01 Aug16 Jul28 Jul06 May30 (jackson r)AVILES YAN 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  DERBYS MONEYMAKER Sep13 Jun28 Jun02     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
6  POWERFUL MOON Sep13 Aug22 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMUDGE THE CAT Sep14 Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 5.00 ★    
2  RESERVATION May13 Mar11 Feb13     (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 118 4.50 ★    
3  CARRONADE Aug17 Jan08       (kintz matth)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (flores isr)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  ENOUGH ICE Sep14         (pease )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CHARTED         (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  I WANNA WIN Sep07 Aug13 Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  CHANNEL FURY Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun11 May25 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 ★    
2  SO DIALED IN Sep05 Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 Mar24 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 6.00    
3  IRISH UNITY Sep08 Aug06 Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEER CHASER Sep05 Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun25 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 ★    
5  MO DONT NO Sep06 Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 Jun03 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 4.50 11% 8.30    
6  COMPLY (NZ) Sep08 Aug04 Jul18 Jun11 May09 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
7  FAT DADDY Aug16 Jul14 Jun20 Jun08 May24 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 121 12.00    
8  TIME TO SHOOT Sep08 Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 May25 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE CRAZY RIDE Aug06 Mar16 Feb22 Jan15   (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
2  SPIN DOCTOR Sep15 Sep05 Aug18 Aug04 Jul26 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
3  JIMTOWN Aug25 Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 Jun03 (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50 5% 18.20    
4  TWO EAGLES Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 Jul18 Jun21 (londono j)AVILES YAN 114 4.50 ★    
5  QUALITY MAN Sep12 Aug13 Jul18 Jun30 May31 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
6  THIS MAN CAN Sep12 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
7  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 Jul26 Jun30 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
8  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Aug04 Jul13 May31 May03 Apr12 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 12% 7.70    
9  OHIO PLAYER Sep12 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul07 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 5.00 5% 18.60    
 
TDN-7   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLOILEDCAT Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jun29 Jun16 (casalinova)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
2  LADY FORTUNE Sep08 Aug25 Jul26 Jun28 May12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  CRYPTONIC CATWALK Aug10 Jul11 Jun25 Jun08 Apr11 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 ★    
4  DEB'S ALL OUT Sep08 Aug23       (schuster robin)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 15.00 ★    
5  I GOT HOPE Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 Jun16 (pattah shahab )DIAZ I 119 5.00 50% 1.00    
6  PENNIESANDDIMES Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00    
7  COSTUME JEWELRY Sep08 Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jul04 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50    
8  SHADY BABY Sep08 Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jul19 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
9  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 Jul12 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 121 3.50 15% 5.80    
10  SASSY POWER Aug10 Jul07 Jun07 May30 May11 (radosevic)CORREA L 115 6.00    
 
TDN-8   09/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 Jun03 May17 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  ANNMARIA Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Apr11 Mar22 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 8% 11.50    
3  TRUMPET LILLY Aug25 Aug09 Jul05 Jun22 May21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
4  ESTILO ELEGANTE Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun13 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00    
5  MAOILIN Aug24 Aug06 Jul19 Jun30 Jun22 (cash l)AVILES YAN 114 3.00 11% 8.30    
6  BALLROOM BLITZ Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 Jun08 May12 (gorham m)RIVERA R 119 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.