Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIP SHEET 3 1 3 43 3½ 11 13 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 21% 3.70 2.00 W
ZALINSKY 4 5 56 57 5 54 23 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.00 3.40 P
PROFESSIONAL 2 3 2 2½ 1nk 21 3 (rini anthony)VELEZ J 123 3.50 16% 5.30 1.30 S
WILLY'S CASTLE 6 4 43 3 4 3 4 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 6.00  
TENTWELVEFOURTEEN 5 6 67 610½ 610½ 68 5 (genovese richa)DIAZ I 123 8.00 16.70  
SOUL OF DISCRETION 1 2 1 1½ 2nk 43 615½ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 12.00 13% 6.60 20.50  
SCR  THIRTYSILVERPIECES               (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-2   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:12 1:383   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST SIDE GIRL 1 3 11 2nk 1nk 1nk 1½ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 5.00 2.70 DQ↓2
R THREE ANGELS 5 1 21 1nk 2nk 2nk 2½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 117 2.50 54% 0.90 0.40 W
RIGHT TRAPPE 4 2 5 42 31 4 3 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 13.40 S
BLAZING ZENNA 2 4 4 5 5 31 4 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50 10.00  
WINDY LU WHO 3 5 3 3½ 4 5 510½ (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 19% 4.40 8.80  
SCR  HAMPTON DANCER               (anderson l)AVILES YAN 114 8.00    
 
TDN-3   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICE ICE 1 7 6 4   1 1 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 2.50  
TALE OF THE LYON 7 1 3 3   3 2 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.60 P
TIZ MORNING LIGHT 2 5 11 1   2 3 (howard joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 3.20  
SIREN CALL 3 4 4 5   55 4 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 30.30  
TRUST THE FIRE 4 6 5 66   45 511 (faulkner )CORREA L 119 15.00 15.00  
I'M JAC'D 5 2 7 77   7 613¾ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 27% 2.60 7.10  
THE BOOK OF RUTH 6 3 21 2   6 715 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 7.80  
 
TDN-4   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAPAKONETA PHIL 2 5 1nk 1nk   1 1 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 7.50  
ROYAL'D 5 6 2nk 2nk   2 2 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 33% 2.00 4.70 P
1A  COINCIDENTALLY 4 7 5 4   4 3 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 39% 1.60 2.40  
CLASSIC MO 1 4 3.2 34   34 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 3.50 2.40  
10  SHOW SLIDING HOME 9 1 7 7   6 57 (johnson g)CORREA L 121 8.00 13.70  
ARMADA 7 3 6 5   5 67 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.50 1.50  
MISTER MOBIL 6 9 910¼ 910¼   8 79 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00 12.50  
FU ROO 8 2 8 8   9 8 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
SPEEDY MOBILE 3 8 4 6   7 911¼ (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 26.50  
SCR  OHIO PLAYER               (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 20.00    
SCR  PAT'S KARMA               (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL BEACH 4 1 21 2½ 1½ 1 1¾ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.00 6.50  
COURTLY 2 3 32 3 4 34 2¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 15% 5.50 1.00 P
1A  RADIANTRITHYM 6 4 5 52 3 2 3 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 7.70 S
LITTLE MATILDA 1 5 65 6 63 55 4 (bird danny)DIAZ I 121 3.50 54% 0.90 1.80  
CLOSE TO ME 5 6 4 42 52 6 516¼ (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 17.90  
LADY VALENTINA 3 2 11 1½ 2½ 4 616¼ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 10.80  
SCR  SHELLEY'S GEM               (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-6   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL'S ROYALTY 6 1 1nk 1nk   12 1 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.50 24% 3.20 1.90 W
COOL IRIS 1 6 4 3   22 2 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 37% 1.70 2.50 P
WOLF EYES 2 5 53 6   6 34 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 12.60 S
UNWRITTEN 4 3 3 4   4 4 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 3.00  
Z U IN MY DREAMS 3 4 6 5   5 55 (skerrett )CORREA L 121 3.00 13% 6.90 4.30  
PROUD MAID MARIAN 5 2 2nk 2nk   32 65 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 10.10  
 
TDN-7   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLISTON WAY 3 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00 5.70  
MORESTRIDE 6 3 42 5   5 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 2.50 P
ALTISSIMO 1 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 26% 2.80 6.00 S
CHANNEL FURY 4 7 7 7   6 4 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 4.00 7.30  
DOUGIE D ORO 8 2 31 3.2   3.2 53 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 45% 1.20 1.90  
KADRI 5 6 8 6   7 6 (cash l)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 9.70  
AHIMELECH 2 8 5 4   4 7 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 12.00 12.70  
CHIEF RANDEL 7 1 63 8   8 812½ (romero )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 20.00 35.10  
 
TDN-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUGHTY PRINCE 5 3 2 2   2nk 1½ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 3.00 42% 1.40 0.80 W
CORNER OFFICE 4 5 5 54   4 2½ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 23% 3.30 3.20 P
FAHRENHEIT 1 4 44 43   3.2 31 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 121 8.00 14.80 S
DAD'S YANKEES 6 1 1 1   1nk 41 (sweeting c)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 10.20  
KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 7 2 3 3   5 5 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 6.70  
ROCK ON KITTEN 2 7 6 65   62 6 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 30.00  
SUMMER RETREAT 3 6 7 7   78 713¼ (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 9% 9.60 6.80  
SCR  THRU THE VINE               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.