Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL OF DISCRETION Sep21 Sep12 Aug29 Aug03 Jul27 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  THIRTYSILVERPIECES Sep21         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
3  PROFESSIONAL Sep20 Sep01 Jul27 Jun27 Jun06 (rini anthony)VELEZ J 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  TIP SHEET Sep19 Jun30 Jun20 Jun01 May18 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  ZALINSKY Sep20 Jul12 Jun27 May25   (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.00 ★    
6  TENTWELVEFOURTEEN Sep12 Aug25 Jul18 Jun28 May26 (genovese richa)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
7  WILLY'S CASTLE Sep22 Sep12 Aug25 Jan14   (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
 
TDN-2   10/04/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST SIDE GIRL Aug25 Jun22 Jun06 Apr08 Mar26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 5.00 ★    
2  BLAZING ZENNA Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 Jun02 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 121 4.50    
3  WINDY LU WHO May12 May02 Apr09 Mar07 Feb16 (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  RIGHT TRAPPE Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 May26 May11 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 ★    
5  R THREE ANGELS Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 Jun20 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 117 2.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  HAMPTON DANCER Aug17 Jun21 Jun03 May18 Apr27 (anderson l)AVILES YAN 114 8.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   10/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE ICE Sep15 Aug13 Aug01     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 ★    
2  TIZ MORNING LIGHT Sep21         (howard joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
3  SIREN CALL Sep15 Aug30 Aug08 Jul19   (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 ★    
4  TRUST THE FIRE         (faulkner )CORREA L 119 15.00    
5  I'M JAC'D Sep14 Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 Jun07 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 27% 2.60    
6  THE BOOK OF RUTH         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 ★    
7  TALE OF THE LYON Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 Jul05 May26 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-4   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC MO Sep01 Aug18 Jul19 Jun21 Jun01 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 ★    
1A  COINCIDENTALLY Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 Jun30   (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  WAPAKONETA PHIL Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 Jul06 Feb15 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
3  SPEEDY MOBILE Sep22 Sep01 Aug02 Jul14 Jun30 (zielinski )HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
SCR  OHIO PLAYER Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 20.00    
5  ROYAL'D Aug18 Jul19 Jul05 May21   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  MISTER MOBIL Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jun14 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
SCR  PAT'S KARMA Sep22 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jun25 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
8  ARMADA Sep01 Jul19 Jun21 May03   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 4.50 ★    
9  FU ROO Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHOW SLIDING HOME Sep19 Sep01 Aug22 Aug09 Jul06 (johnson g)CORREA L 121 8.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   10/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RADIANTRITHYM Sep24 Aug31 Aug11 Jul01 Jun21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 ★    
SCR  SHELLEY'S GEM Sep20 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 May31 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
2  LITTLE MATILDA Sep28 Aug29 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 (bird danny)DIAZ I 121 3.50 54% 0.90    
3  COURTLY Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 Jun22 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
4  LADY VALENTINA Sep20 Aug16 Jul05 May25 May15 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 ★    
5  SPECIAL BEACH Aug16 Aug03 Jun30 Jun13 May30 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.00 ★    
6  CLOSE TO ME Aug16 Aug01 Jul13 May11 Apr08 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL IRIS Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
2  WOLF EYES Sep20 Sep06 Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 ★    
3  Z U IN MY DREAMS Sep19 Sep01 Aug10 May04 Mar21 (skerrett )CORREA L 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  UNWRITTEN Sep19 Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 ★    
5  PROUD MAID MARIAN Sep14 Aug30 Aug03 Jun22 May26 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
6  CAROL'S ROYALTY Sep19 Sep01 Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 116 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-7   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTISSIMO Sep06 Aug13 Jul18 Jun03   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  AHIMELECH Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 12.00    
3  WILLISTON WAY Aug23 Aug06 Jul10 May25 May07 (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00 ★    
4  CHANNEL FURY Sep08 Aug23 Jul20 Jun11 May25 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 4.00 ★    
5  KADRI Sep25 Aug26 Aug13 Jul27 Jul03 (cash l)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
6  MORESTRIDE Jul26 Jul14 Jun21 Jun03 May03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 ★    
7  CHIEF RANDEL Sep06 Aug13 Jul10     (romero )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 20.00    
8  DOUGIE D ORO Aug13 Jul26 Jun25 Jun03 May12 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-8   10/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ON KITTEN Sep23 Aug24 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
SCR  THRU THE VINE Sep21 Aug25 Jul17 Jun11 May30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00    
2  FAHRENHEIT Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 121 8.00 ★    
3  SUMMER RETREAT Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 9% 9.60    
4  CORNER OFFICE Sep15 Aug18 Jun25 Jun03 May10 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 2.50 23% 3.30    
5  NAUGHTY PRINCE Sep15 Aug16 Jan12     (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  DAD'S YANKEES Aug30         (sweeting c)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
7  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Sep06 Aug16 Jul06 Jun21   (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.