Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:14 1:412   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEEBETT'S BOW 5 2 33 3 3 1 1 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 17% 5.00 0.65 W
SHE AINT NO JOKE 1 3 2½ 21 11 2 2 (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 3.40  
FLEEKA 6 6 6 610 610½ 3 310½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 2.50 9.25 S
IF SIX WAS NINE 3 4 4 47 48 45 414 (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 52% 0.90 4.00  
FAIRY 4 5 5 57 58 56 518 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 118 12.00 7% 14.20 52.70  
THE GREEN PLANET 2 1 1½ 11 21 66 635 (concessi a)BUCHANAN Z 118 12.00 13.90  
 
FE-2   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:224 :46 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE MAKES ME TIZZY 1 2 2½ 11   13 13 (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 3.50 2.30  
SEAQUELLE 2 3 43 45   34 23 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 6% 14.70 1.70 P
SASSYWITHATTITUDE 3 1 1½ 21   23 3 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 27% 2.70 1.80 S
VERMONT HOLIDAY 6 4 3 34   4 410¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 21.60  
DREAMINGOF JEANNIE 5 5 5 613   59 513 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 37.60  
LIGHTNING MARIE 4 6 69 512   6 618 (rabs)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 4.50 35% 1.90 8.15  
 
FE-3   09/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:224 :46       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY AT DAWN 1 1 2nk 21   11 1 (ezra dar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 4.25  
MAMMOTH SPRING 5 4 31 32   21 2 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 7% 14.00 4.25 P
ABSTEMIOUS 3 2 42 4   4 3 (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 12.00 6% 15.90 13.00 S
THY KINGDOM 6 5 5 5   5 4 (albu ken)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 2.50 12% 7.30 1.95  
J AND B IN CRUMLIN 4 3 1nk 11   31 5 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 47% 1.10 3.70  
VERRAZANO LEGACY 2 6 6 610½   610¼ 616½ (ceccato sharon)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00 3.80  
SCR  WE WANT ACTION               (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 4.00    
 
FE-4   09/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:124 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIATUS 5 3 32 31 2½ 1 1 (voyce jeff)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 0.55  
DEEP EXPLORER 3 2 45 4 4 32 2 (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 26% 2.80 2.80 P
ROBUSTO 1 1 21 21 1½ 2 3 (oliverre sylveste)HOYTE JASON 118 6.00 11.80 S
DOCTOR UPTOWN 2 5 59 513½ 511½ 5 48 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 10% 8.60 7.85  
HARD N'SWEET 4 4 11 11 3½ 4 513¼ (sullivan elliott)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00 10% 9.30 7.30  
SCR  AM PREPARED               (cathcart steven)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00    
SCR  DOT'S VISION               (fairlie sco)RAINFORD MICHELLE 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
FE-5   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:23 :464 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER RETREAT 1 3 11 11   11 1 (adamo anthony)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 33% 2.00 0.95 W
BIG TIME LOUIE 6 1 21 21   21 2 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 34% 1.90 4.00 P
GOLD VENTURE 4 4 3 3   3 3 (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 3.20  
FEDERAL LAW 2 5 4 5   4 4 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 20.00 40.80  
BLIND TRUST 5 2 5 44   5 5 (rabs)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 3.15  
KEEN SAMURAI 3 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 12.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN SIDNEY               (carter doug)SALLES LEO 120 10.00    
SCR  GLITTER MOUNTAIN               (maynar)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00    
SCR  SOFIA'S SLUGGER               (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   09/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :452       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKILLS TEST 3 2 13 14   14 1 (agostino ge)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 1.85  
YZERMAN 1 5 46 48   4 2 (lister steven)DEFREITAS C 120 10.00 20.50  
THELONIOUS 2 1 35 37   34 3 (raghunat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.50 8% 12.20 3.05 S
WHISKEY VICTOR 4 3 5 58   5 4 (polsinelli dominic)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 21% 3.80 4.25  
ARTIE MY BOY 5 4 23 24   24 5 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 38% 1.70 1.65  
SCR  DEALMAKER               (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
SCR  MAVERICK MAN               (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  PEPPERONI               (sullivan elliott)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00    
 
FE-7   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBZERO PLUS 6 1 43 3   3½ 1nk (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 10.00 11% 8.10 19.65 W
MISS TEA BLONDE 5 4 7 65   5¾ 2nk (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 10.00 9.75  
FLECK 2 7 1010½ 1010¼   6 3.2 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.50 3.60  
MOKSGMOL 8 2 11 11   1½ 4¼ (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 26% 2.90 11.80  
CASSIE'S RAINBOW 7 8 54 4   4¾ 5¼ (davies r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 20.00 13.60  
ERRATIQUE 1 10 32 21   2½ 6 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 2.50 1.95  
STORMY SUZIE 3 6 8 9   105 7 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 122 15.00 44.10  
GOLDEN GARTER 4 5 9 8   7 810½ (simms c)SINGH S 120 5.00 7.00  
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 9 9 6 7   8 914 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 39% 1.60 8.60  
10  KOZY KAT 10 3 21 5   9 1020½ (newland george)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00 7.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.