Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CANDY ISLAND 3 1 11 12   14½ 16¼ (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 13% 6.80 1.10 W
8  JOEZINE 6 2 31½ 22   24½ 26¼ (macias adolf)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 8.00 13% 6.90 11.58 P
7  SILENCING 5 4 42 44   36½ 39¼ (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 30% 2.30 2.99 S
1  YELLOW CREEK ROAD 1 5 63½ 66½   49 49½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 6.25  
2  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN 2 6 52 56   59 517 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 16% 5.10 3.22  
5  ISABIS 4 3 21 33½   619 643¼ (miller f)GILLIGAN JACK 124 20.00 29.11  
SCR  BOOTS N' JEANS               (french r)RIQUELME J 124 20.00 ★    
SCR  SHEZ FIRED UP               (lovell miche)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
 
CD-2   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMONGST FRIENDS 1 6 43 42½   1½ 11½ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 34% 1.90 6.89 W
6  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 6 2 65 54½   53½ 21½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 36% 1.80 1.79 P
2  COLD AS HELL 2 3 22 31½   31 31½ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 5.31  
3  SPEND BENJAMINS 3 4 32½ 21½   42 43¾ (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00 25.46  
7  DARK TIMBER 7 1 12 11½   2½ 55 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 ★ 2.92  
4  FLAGS UP 4 5 54½ 65   65 65¼ (baker james)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 ★ 5.97  
5  MASTER OF ARMS 5 7 77½ 79½   710 716 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 6% 15.30 6.46  
 
CD-3   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:22 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LORD GRANTHAM 5 2 31½ 21½   2nk 13 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 35% 1.80 5.02 W
12  SWISS GUARD 9 1 11½ 11½   1nk 23 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 3.15  
10  DIXIE FURY 7 3 21½ 31½   32½ 35¾ (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 119 12.00 8.73  
4  BIG BEEMSTER 2 6 67¼ 56   47 47 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 11.69  
11  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL 8 8 78¼ 68   511 514¾ (jones larry)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 ★ 14.35  
1  WARHORSE WEST 1 7 813¼ 812½   717 618¼ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 6.92  
9  SANTINO'S FANTASY 6 4 53¼ 45½   613½ 722 (sanner e)CASTANON L 119 20.00 33.34  
6  MOBOT 4 9 914¾ 1021¼   924 826¾ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 11.60 2.79  
5  TALK TO TOKEY 3 5 43 78½   817½ 927½ (deville j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 11.43  
13  MY SWEET LORD 10 10 1018¾ 921   1025½ 1031¾ (diodo)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 12.00 15.65  
SCR  FULL MAG               (morey)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  MATARO               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  SHORTLY               (morse l)COURT K 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RADIANTRITHYM 4 2 52½ 32   2½ 1¾ (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00 25% 3.10 13.96 W
2  FUNNYBET 2 5 63½ 52½   3½ 2¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 ★ 11.74 P
7  CADEAU DE PAIX 7 6 21 1½   1½ 32½ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 5.06  
5  AIDANIKE 5 3 41½ 42½   52 46¼ (shirer a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80 46% 1.20 0.81  
6  JILLS PASSION 6 1 11 2½   41½ 57½ (stinson w)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 7% 13.20 18.06  
1  HABOBANERO 1 7 75½ 76¾   76½ 69¼ (gonzalez e)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 ★ 11.93  
3  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN 3 4 31½ 62¾   64½ 79½ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 3.53  
 
CD-5   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PAPA ROCKET 5 4 83¾ 65½   31½ 1¾ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 11% 7.80 3.90 W
9  C J ALL THE WAY 6 1 3½ 1½   11 2¾ (lovell miche)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 8% 11.50 9.67 P
6  APOLLO RISING 3 7 61¾ 54½   43 32¼ (pitts helen)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 12.60  
1  PER DIEM 1 6 51¼ 75½   65½ 46½ (cash l)COURT K 124 4.50 10% 8.70 9.41  
7  GOLDEN LUNA 4 2 2½ 2½   21 56½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 2.12  
4  TOMMY GUN 2 5 1½ 31   53 67¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.30  
11  PAID IN FULL 8 8 41 44   76 79½ (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 15.00 15.35  
10  CAT FIVE 7 3 72¼ 85¾   87½ 811¼ (foley greg)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 29.27  
12  LEFT POCKET MONEY 9 9 910¾ 913¾   915½ 920¼ (pittman b)DE CRUZ 121 30.00 34.44  
SCR  DORMIR               (matthews ra)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 20.00    
SCR  GUIDED ARROW               (mckeever andr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
SCR  STRINGS               (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   09/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIPARINO 5 6 79½ 78½   43 11¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 12.00 ★ 15.01  
12  CARCANO 11 12 1215¾ 812½   65½ 21¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.22 P
10  ZED 9 2 31 2nk   11 32¼ (o'neill doug)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00 23% 3.40 6.15 S
3  SOLAR POWER 2 7 67½ 66½   32½ 42¾ (matthews ra)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00 29.63  
9  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 8 3 2nk 1nk   21 55¼ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 46% 1.20 2.81  
14  CHITWOOD 12 8 45 43   53 66¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.94  
4  SHAKE UP 3 5 810 912¾   910¼ 78½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5.53  
8  COAL BOSS 7 4 1115½ 1116¼   1011¾ 810¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 30.73  
7  SHAKY PANTS 6 10 56 55   77 910¼ (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 15.90  
2  PREMIUM 1 1 1nk 31   87¼ 1012¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 9.16  
11  JOINT VENTURE 10 9 913 1014¾   1114¾ 1114½ (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 43.24  
6  MONBA QUAKE 4 11 1015 1216¾   1216¼ 1216¾ (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 109 20.00 42.56  
SCR  BE RUTHLESS               (jazdzewski j)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  DEVILS RED               (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  MISLEAD               (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:123 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIXTYTHREECALIBER 7 3 32 32½ 3½ 32 1¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 11.46  
3  FALCONET 3 1 11½ 12 1nk 11 2¼ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 54% 0.90 3.11 P
6  SKRATCH KAT 6 7 76½ 76½ 52¾ 53½ 31½ (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 ★ 3.09 S
1  TURNERLOOSE 1 2 21½ 22 2nk 21 41½ (cox h)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 19% 4.20 3.48  
5  COCKTAIL MOMENTS 5 5 65 65 64¾ 64 51¾ (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.00 ★ 2.13  
4  TAKE A STAND 4 4 54 54½ 42½ 42 62 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 14.61  
2  VALENTINA DAY 2 6 43 43 75¾ 79½ 714 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 24.88  
 
CD-8   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:092     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUNITE 7 6 21½ 2½   1½ 13 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 31% 2.20 0.63 W
4  CONAGHER 4 1 11½ 1½   2½ 23 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 1.20 33% 2.00 1.95 P
6  STRAVA 6 2 44 34½   35 35¾ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 14% 6.20 9.76 S
1  FRIAR LAURENCE 1 3 56 78   49 412¼ (colebrook be)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 ★ 33.78  
3  HIPPODROME 3 5 77½ 57½   59½ 512¾ (cash l)COURT K 118 30.00 37.84  
2  DOUBLE THUNDER 2 7 67 67½   610½ 618½ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 ★ 12.29  
5  EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) 5 4 33 45½   716½ 729 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 23.90  
 
CD-9   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($275K) 3 F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:10     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO ZULU 1 2 11 11   13½ 15¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 1.00 52% 0.90 0.51 W
4  TARABI 3 5 41½ 41½   23½ 25¼ (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 ★ 2.75 P
3  COLORFUL MISCHIEF 2 1 31 21   45 36¾ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 11.86  
6  LAST LEAF 5 3 52½ 52½   35 47¼ (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 ★ 9.76  
5  GUNNING 4 4 21 31   510 520 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.82  
SCR  CHASING FIREFLIES               (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  WICKED HALO               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
CD-10   09/24/2022 6270ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:12 1:374   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOME BREW 2 1 2nk 21 32 2nk 1hd (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 33% 2.10 5.70 W
8  CREATIVE MINISTER 8 8 75 64½ 74¼ 3½ 2hd (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 12% 7.70 6.87 P
5  WAR CAMPAIGN 5 3 42 54 42½ 1nk 3nk (sims a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 9.82  
7  GILDED AGE 7 7 811 812½ 89¼ 73¾ 43¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 5% 19.00 4.75  
6  ETHEREAL ROAD 6 4 63½ 75½ 64 42 54½ (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 21.86  
4  WARRIOR JOHNY 4 5 52½ 43½ 52½ 53 65 (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 25% 3.00 2.73  
9  BIG BLUE LINE 9 6 1nk 11 11 63¼ 79¾ (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 24.09  
1  MAXIMUM IMPACT 1 9 913½ 915½ 915¼ 811¾ 814¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 53.85  
3  SAINT TAPIT 3 2 31 31½ 21 914¾ 921¼ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00 2.33  
 
CD-11   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:212 :454 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PIONEER PARADE 12 2 33 33   2nk 1¼ (divito james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 ★ 3.10  
9  BIRDIE ROSE 9 3 77 68   32½ 2¼ (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 35% 1.90 2.28 P
11  HAPPYSECRET 11 8 66½ 43½   1nk 3½ (wohlers laura)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 18% 4.50 10.61 S
6  LADAN 6 1 55 55½   64¼ 43 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 35.66  
7  RING TWICE 7 7 88½ 79½   74¾ 53½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 25.28  
4  DOOIT 4 4 22½ 22½   43½ 64¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 3.92  
3  TRIBAL SPIRIT 3 12 1217 1219½   99¼ 76 (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 30.19  
2  PEACEFUL MOMENT 2 10 1014 914   88¾ 87¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 9.12  
1  FROSTALICIOUS 1 5 12½ 12½   54 910½ (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 15.00 8% 11.50 30.64  
10  BLAZE BEAUTY 10 11 1115 1118½   1011¾ 1011¾ (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 112 20.00 29.26  
8  THROUGH THE CRACKS 8 9 911 1016½   1112¼ 1112¼ (deville j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 19% 4.30 11.36  
5  COSMIC REWIND 5 6 45 813   1217¼ 1225 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 28.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.