Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YELLOW CREEK ROAD Aug26 Jul15 Jun19 May19   (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50    
2  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar13 Feb18 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SHEZ FIRED UP Aug22 Aug10 Jul27     (lovell miche)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
4  CANDY ISLAND Aug19 Jul30 Jul10     (jones larry)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  ISABIS Aug16 Jul09       (miller f)GILLIGAN JACK 124 20.00    
SCR  BOOTS N' JEANS Sep06 Jan09       (french r)RIQUELME J 124 20.00 ★    
7  SILENCING Aug29 Jul11 Jun09 Apr28   (catalano m)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 30% 2.30    
8  JOEZINE Sep19 Aug12 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 (macias adolf)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 8.00 13% 6.90    
 
CD-2   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMONGST FRIENDS Aug25 Aug04 Jul01 May29 Apr15 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  COLD AS HELL Aug13 Jul14 Jul04 Mar05 Feb13 (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
3  SPEND BENJAMINS Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 May22 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 15.00    
4  FLAGS UP Aug20 Jun19 May22     (baker james)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 ★    
5  MASTER OF ARMS Jul08 Jun18 Jun05 May07 Apr09 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 6% 15.30    
6  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW Sep15 Mar04 Jan02     (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  DARK TIMBER Jul29 Jul14 Jun19 May22 Apr23 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 ★    
 
CD-3   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARHORSE WEST         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
SCR  FULL MAG         (morey)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  SHORTLY         (morse l)COURT K 119 15.00    
4  BIG BEEMSTER         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
5  TALK TO TOKEY         (deville j)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
6  MOBOT         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 8% 11.60    
7  LORD GRANTHAM Aug27 Jul16       (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  MATARO Aug22 Aug05 Jun26 Jun10   (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80    
9  SANTINO'S FANTASY         (sanner e)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
10  DIXIE FURY Sep18         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
11  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL         (jones larry)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 ★    
12  SWISS GUARD Sep03 Jul30       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
13  MY SWEET LORD         (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HABOBANERO Sep08 Sep01 Jul29 Apr30 Apr16 (gonzalez e)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 ★    
2  FUNNYBET May03 Feb12       (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00 ★    
3  CATCHUSIFYOUCAN Aug29 Aug06 Jul24 Jun30 Jun11 (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00    
4  RADIANTRITHYM Aug31 Aug11 Jul01 Jun21 May27 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00 25% 3.10    
5  AIDANIKE Sep05 Jul21 Jun11 May06 Apr03 (shirer a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
6  JILLS PASSION Sep01 Jul29 May26 Apr26   (stinson w)DE CRUZ 121 8.00 7% 13.20    
7  CADEAU DE PAIX Aug14 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 Mar31 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
 
CD-5   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PER DIEM Aug17 Aug10 Jul30 Jul15 May22 (cash l)COURT K 124 4.50 10% 8.70    
SCR  STRINGS Jul23 Jul01 Apr16 Feb23   (demeritte la)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DORMIR         (matthews ra)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 20.00    
4  TOMMY GUN Aug24 Jul14 Jun09 Apr23 Mar31 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  GUIDED ARROW Aug24 Jun29       (mckeever andr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00    
6  APOLLO RISING         (pitts helen)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00    
7  GOLDEN LUNA Jul31 Jun19 May22     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
8  PAPA ROCKET Jun08 May07 Mar19 Feb12   (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
9  C J ALL THE WAY May28 May04       (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 8% 11.50    
10  CAT FIVE Aug12         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
11  PAID IN FULL Apr02 Jan29 Jan15     (hartlage g)JOHNSON M 121 15.00    
12  LEFT POCKET MONEY         (pittman b)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
 
CD-6   09/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIPARINO         (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  DEVILS RED         (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
2  PREMIUM Aug19         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
3  SOLAR POWER         (matthews ra)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00    
4  SHAKE UP         (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  MISLEAD         (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00    
6  MONBA QUAKE         (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 109 20.00    
7  SHAKY PANTS         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
8  COAL BOSS         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
9  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS Aug12         (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  ZED Sep11         (o'neill doug)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
11  JOINT VENTURE         (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
12  CARCANO         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE RUTHLESS Aug30         (jazdzewski j)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00    
14  CHITWOOD         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   09/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 3 F PT- 9:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNERLOOSE Sep05 Aug07 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (cox h)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  VALENTINA DAY Aug14 Jul23 Jan16     (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
3  FALCONET Jul09 Jun03 Apr21 Mar05   (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 54% 0.90    
4  TAKE A STAND Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Apr30 Apr10 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★    
5  COCKTAIL MOMENTS Sep05 Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar05 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.00 ★    
6  SKRATCH KAT Aug20 Jul01 May06 Apr08 Mar10 (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 ★    
7  SIXTYTHREECALIBER Aug09 Jul09 Jun11 Apr27 Mar23 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
CD-8   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT- 9:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIAR LAURENCE Aug14 Jul17 Jan22     (colebrook be)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 ★    
2  DOUBLE THUNDER Aug26         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 ★    
3  HIPPODROME Aug22 Aug13 Aug01 Jul02 Jun17 (cash l)COURT K 118 30.00    
4  CONAGHER Aug27 Aug01 Jul09 Jun03 Apr13 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 1.20 33% 2.00    
5  EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) Aug14         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
6  STRAVA Aug14 Jun04 Apr16 Feb19 Jan15 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  GUNITE Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 Jun03   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 31% 2.20    
 
CD-9   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($275K) 3 F PT-10:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO ZULU May06 Mar26       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 1.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  CHASING FIREFLIES Aug08 Jul09 Jun09     (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
3  COLORFUL MISCHIEF Aug07 Jul01 Jun04 May06   (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
4  TARABI Jul14 Jun18       (devaux cherie)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 ★    
5  GUNNING Aug14 Jul02 Jun04     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAST LEAF Aug14 Jul16 Jun18 May14 Mar26 (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  WICKED HALO Sep02 Jul02 Jun12 May06 Mar26 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
 
CD-10   09/24/2022 6270ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT-10:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM IMPACT Aug19 Aug07 Jul30 Jul08 Jun22 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
2  HOME BREW Aug06 Jun18 Apr23 Jan01   (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
3  SAINT TAPIT Aug06 Jun26       (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  WARRIOR JOHNY Aug18 Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr14 (bauer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  WAR CAMPAIGN Aug20 Jul04 May28 Apr29   (sims a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
6  ETHEREAL ROAD Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr16 (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
7  GILDED AGE Aug27 Jul29 Jul04 Feb05   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
8  CREATIVE MINISTER Aug23 Jul29 Jun11 May21 May07 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 12% 7.70    
9  BIG BLUE LINE Aug20 Jul09 Jun09 May05 Apr09 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT-11:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTALICIOUS Aug18         (mason ingrid)BAILEY CHEL-C 114 15.00 8% 11.50    
2  PEACEFUL MOMENT         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
3  TRIBAL SPIRIT         (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
4  DOOIT         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
5  COSMIC REWIND         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
6  LADAN Jul31 Jun29       (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
7  RING TWICE         (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
8  THROUGH THE CRACKS Aug15 Jul23       (deville j)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
9  BIRDIE ROSE         (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
10  BLAZE BEAUTY         (bentler don)HUGHES CARLY 112 20.00    
11  HAPPYSECRET         (wohlers laura)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
12  PIONEER PARADE         (divito james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.