Handicappers' Race Results
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Kentucky Downs
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
KD-1   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JUST SAY WHEN 10 1 21 21   1nk 11¼ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 31% 2.20 1.46 W
5  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) 4 7 11 11   2nk 21¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5.58  
3  TWO BIRDS 3 9 64½ 54   32½ 32½ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 22.07  
9  MUMAYAZ 8 3 42½ 43   42¾ 42½ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 5.00  
12  B D VALESKI 11 5 97 106¼   65¼ 56 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 10% 8.60 9.02  
2  CREATIVE MIRACLE 2 10 108½ 95¾   75¼ 67½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 34% 1.90 6.86  
1  BONUS APPRECIATION 1 11 119½ 117¾   88¾ 78¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 31.34  
6  CAN'T HUSH THIS 5 6 31½ 32½   53¾ 810 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 ★ 45.72  
7  WORDS OF WISDOM 6 8 75 85¾   99¼ 912 (york keith)LANERIE J 119 30.00 79.17  
10  NOT YET CHARLIE 9 4 85 74¼   1115¼ 1022¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 32.58  
8  ROMANCER 7 2 53½ 64   1014¾ 1122¾ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★ 8.80  
SCR  WINTERWOOD               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
KD-2   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:133     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES 7 5 2nk 3½   1nk 15¼ (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00 8.86  
8  RETAINED 8 1 1nk 1½   2nk 25¼ (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 43% 1.30 3.45 P
9  GHENT 9 2 41¾ 2½   31½ 39¾ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 28.33  
5  PERMAFROST 5 9 75¼ 95¾   89½ 413¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 ★ 9.67  
12  MEANT TO BE LUCKY 12 4 95¾ 74¼   48 513¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 32.25  
10  TASTERFOR THE KING 10 8 63¼ 42   69¼ 617 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5.13  
6  THE BOOKKEEPER 6 7 52¾ 52¼   59 717¼ (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 7.01  
4  RIVER BOY 4 11 109¾ 108¼   79¼ 817½ (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 13% 6.50 13.42  
1  AUGUSTUS BLUE 1 6 3.2 63¾   911 919¾ (pierce lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 66.66  
11  I NINETY FIVE 11 3 85¼ 84¼   1012 1020¼ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00 8.54  
2  MR MAJESTIC 2 12 1115¾ 1114¾   1117½ 1128¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 20.00 19.43  
3  ZED 3 10 1225¾ 1229¾   1237½ 1263¾ (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 17% 4.80 4.52  
SCR  COMMUNICATION MEMO               (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  CURLINS INCHARGE               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 10.00    
SCR  SPEED INSTITUTE               (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.