Handicappers' Racing Form
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Kentucky Downs
Sunday - September 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KD-1   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONUS APPRECIATION Sep01 Jul23 Jul08     (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
2  CREATIVE MIRACLE Aug17 Jul15 May21     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  TWO BIRDS Jul28 Jul01 Apr14     (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
SCR  WINTERWOOD Jul15 Mar04 Jan28     (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
5  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) Aug25         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
6  CAN'T HUSH THIS Sep01 Jul24 Jun29 May20 Mar26 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 ★    
7  WORDS OF WISDOM Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 May15 Apr08 (york keith)LANERIE J 119 30.00    
8  ROMANCER Sep03         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 ★    
9  MUMAYAZ Aug12 Jul04 Jun11 Apr23 Mar26 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
10  NOT YET CHARLIE Aug03 Jun23 May29 Mar25 Feb21 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
11  JUST SAY WHEN Jul14 May19 Feb23     (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
12  B D VALESKI Jul16 Jun05 May04 Mar10 Feb11 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 10% 8.60    
 
KD-2   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGUSTUS BLUE Aug13 Jul30       (pierce lacy)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
2  MR MAJESTIC         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 20.00    
3  ZED         (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
4  RIVER BOY         (mcgaughey c)LEPAROUX R 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
5  PERMAFROST         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
6  THE BOOKKEEPER Aug19 Jul30       (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
7  BLAMETHEGOODTIMES Aug12         (lynch)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 10.00    
8  RETAINED Aug06 Jul08       (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  GHENT Aug27 Jul24 Jun26     (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
10  TASTERFOR THE KING         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
11  I NINETY FIVE         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
12  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Aug19         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)         (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 10.00    
SCR  CURLINS INCHARGE Sep08         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 6% 16.80    
SCR  SPEED INSTITUTE         (o'neill doug)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
SCR  COMMUNICATION MEMO         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
 
KD-3   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYZ LATE Aug04 Jul08 May01     (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  RIDE THE PLAN Jul27 Jun03 Mar19 Feb18   (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 12.00 14% 6.10    
3  ARROBATIC Aug06 May14 Apr10 Feb06   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  FOUZIA Aug14 Jun10 Apr09 Mar10 Jan12 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 20.00    
5  DONTYOUREMEMBER Aug25 Aug03 Jun29 Jun16 May07 (lauer michae)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 30.00    
6  NOTA BENE Jul24 Jul02 May15 Apr22 Mar18 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 7% 13.10    
7  KESTENNA (GB) Aug02 Apr24       (vaughan edw)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
8  SHARP HERO Jun24 Jun04       (ross bradley)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00    
9  SIGNIFY Jul13 May29       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
10  SHES BOUT A MOVER Jul31 Jul09 Feb06 Jan16   (walsh p)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
11  TOUCH OF CLASS (GER) Aug07 Jul13       (flint bernar)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
12  MADRILENA (ARG) Jul09         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
13  KEPT WAITING Jul23 Jun26 May14 Apr09 Feb13 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
14  KITTY'S PROMISE Aug19 Jul15 Jun21 May27 May13 (faircloth aveor)GILLIGAN JACK 122 30.00    
 
KD-4   09/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIR GAME Aug12 Jul17 May19 Apr24 Mar18 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
2  GATHER AS YOU GO May08 Apr23 Mar25 Feb12   (proctor thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
3  LADY FROSTED Aug07 Jul09 Jun04 Apr26 Mar03 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
4  CHAMPAGNE LADY Jun25 May15 Mar25 Jan29   (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 30% 2.40    
5  JEZEBEL'S KITTEN Aug12 May19 Apr24 Mar12 Feb05 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
6  DEMODOG Aug07 Jul17       (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.50    
7  LADY HIDEAWAY Aug11 Jun22       (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
8  SUGAR FIX Jun25 Jun12 Apr02 Mar05 Jan22 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
9  KNEESNHIPS Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar12   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
10  UNDISTURBED Aug07 Jul17 May28 Apr24 Mar20 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
11  VEZPA (BRZ) May19 Apr24       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00 8% 11.20    
12  FLOWN Aug16 Jul11 May29 Apr15   (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 ★    
13  LADY ARSINOE Aug06 Jul16 Jun23 May09 Apr08 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
14  CHAMPAGNE IVY Aug25 Jun05 Apr02 Feb10 Jan13 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 15.00    
15  MILLER'S MAIDEN Aug03 Jun07 Apr22 Mar18   (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
16  DISCREET KITTY Aug16 Jun21 Jun07 May11 Apr24 (jurado luis)COHEN DAVID 122 20.00    
 
KD-5   09/11/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANT BELIEVE IT         (divito p)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
2  AMERICAN STARLET Aug19 Jun05 Apr28 Mar26 Feb23 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
3  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Aug05 Jun03       (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
4  FANTAIL (GB) Aug14         (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 121 8.00    
5  BITTY BOSS Aug19 Jun22 May14 Apr03 Feb13 (walsh brend)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
6  INFINITE POTENTIAL (IRE) Aug10 Jun23 Apr23 Apr09   (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00 7% 13.80    
7  BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE Aug06 Jul02 May06 Apr08 Feb12 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
8  QUEROBIN DOURADA Aug06 Jul16 Jun11 Apr22 Mar26 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
9  PARK ON THE NILE May21 May06 Apr08     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
10  BOXING DAY Jul24 May14 Mar24 Mar04   (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
11  AL QAHIRA (GER) Aug12 Jul22 May04 Apr10 Feb02 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
12  DECREE OF LOVE         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
13  TEQUILERA Aug10 Jul12 May26 Apr03 Mar05 (matz r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
14  ISN'T SHE LOVELY         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
15  BALL GOWN Aug20 Jul16 Jun22     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
16  TOP GUN GIRL Aug08         (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 7% 13.50    
 
KD-6   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYNWYD Jul03 Apr29 Mar12     (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
2  GREYS THE BOY Aug21 Apr22 Mar26     (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00    
3  SHANNONRUN Apr28 Feb26 Jan16     (decker)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 30.00    
4  SUTHERLAND Aug07 Jun30       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 12% 7.70    
5  BALADINE         (poulos dee)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00    
6  MASTER GAME Jun05 May07       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
7  VINCO Aug13 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
8  TRIPLE OPTION Aug21 Jul31       (medina robert)LEZCANO JOSE 121 30.00    
9  ALMANZO Jul03 Mar27 Feb19 Jan22   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  VERITABLE Jul22 Jun25       (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
11  STREET FIGHT Aug01 Jul11 May29 May01   (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00    
12  DOM GERVASIO Aug17 Jul19 Apr23     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 20.00    
13  EDGE OF GLORY Aug05 Jul03 Jun19 May04 Apr09 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 ★    
14  CLEAT         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
15  GO BALI GO Aug16 Aug04       (nance jonath)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 30.00    
16  LISA'S GUY         (french r)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
 
KD-7   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Jun25 May21 May07 Mar18 Feb14 (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
2  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Aug04 Jul04 May29 May12   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
3  MR. HUSTLE Aug07 Jun23 May21 Apr24 Mar09 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
4  BAD BEAT BRIAN Aug07 Jul23 May30 Feb19 Jan30 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 10.00 ★    
5  DYN O MITE Aug21 Jun22 Mar12 Jan30 Jan22 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
6  BAKERS BAY Aug16 Jul27 Apr02 Jan29   (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
7  OUTADORE Aug13 Jul05       (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NIGHT TIME Jul17 Jun10 May03     (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 122 20.00    
9  NEWSWORTHY         (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
10  RUSTLER May29         (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
11  INTO THE SUNRISE Aug07 Jul02 May29 Apr24 Mar02 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
12  AFRICAN HERITAGE Aug16 Jul10 Apr15 Feb04   (mejia maria )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00    
13  MILTON THE MONSTER Aug14 Jun04 Apr30 Apr08 Feb26 (servis john )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 ★    
14  JOYFUL HEART Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 Jun11 May20 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
 
KD-8   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 2 F PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF A CHANCE Jul14 Jun05       (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  DANSE MACABRE Aug21 Jul13 Jun25     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  BLING Aug20 Jul22       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 4.00 ★    
4  RECINTO ROMPERE Jul08         (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50    
5  TIKI BAR Aug16 Jul26       (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  NUMERO SEIS Sep01 Jul20 Jun19     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
7  ALL THE ENVY Aug23         (ricker c)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00    
8  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Aug04         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
KD-9   09/11/2022 4290ft TURF RC2 nongraded Stake Purse ($500K) 3 F PT- 5:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) Aug11         (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
2  SISTER LOU ANN Jul22 Jun11       (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 10.00 7% 14.30    
3  POPPY FLOWER Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May19   (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
4  KOALA PRINCESS Jul22         (delacour arnaud)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  DREAMWORKER Jun22 May18 Mar12 Jan01   (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
6  OEUVRE Jul27 Jun24 Jun11 May15   (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
7  FREEDOM SPEAKS Aug19 Jun18 May12     (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
8  BUBBLE ROCK Apr02 Mar05 Feb12     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 5.00    
9  ROYAL ENGAGEMENT Jul23 Jul02       (lovell michell)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
10  GLENALL (IRE) Aug21 Jul24 May14 Apr09 Mar12 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 118 15.00    
11  MAJESTIC D'ORO Aug08 Jul09 May14 Apr10 Mar18 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00    
12  HAPPY SOUL Jul09 May20 Apr08 Feb19   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00    
13  STATIC FIRE Jul15 May28       (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
14  SEDUCE Aug13 Jun15 May26     (motion gra)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 30.00    
15  SUNDAY GRACE Jul09 May14 May04 Mar05   (hernandez r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 30.00    
 
KD-10   09/11/2022 6930ft TURF RC5 Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($550K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADVENTURING Aug06         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 10% 9.20    
2  LUCK MONEY Jul09 May28 May07     (delacour ar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 ★    
3  OLIVIAOFTHEDESERT Jul08 Jun10 May08     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
4  FLIPPANT Aug13 Jul09 May30     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 35% 1.90    
5  CORE VALUES Jul23 Jun10 Apr29 Apr14   (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 ★    
6  DISAPPEARING ACT Jul16 May28 Apr21 Jan17   (santamaria carlos)BRAVO J 122 10.00    
7  STAND TALL Jul09 May28 May06     (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
8  FAMILY WAY Aug13 Jun10 Apr29 Apr02 Mar05 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.50 35% 1.90    
9  VIBURNUM Sep01 Aug13 Jul11 Jun08 May12 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
 
KD-11   09/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 7:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFEEN         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
2  CHANEL POINT Aug20 Jul31       (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00 7% 13.10    
3  MAD MADAME MIM (IRE) Jul22         (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
4  WORDS OF PRAISE         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  SHE HAS THE LOOK Aug13 Jul09       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 20.00    
6  PEACOCK ALLEY         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
7  PSYCHEDELIC Aug03         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 8.00    
8  LADY SQUARED Aug06 Jul15 Jun17     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
9  ANCIENT RELIC         (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
10  SONG OF STORMS Aug28 Jul14 Jul01     (faircloth aveor)GILLIGAN JACK 119 30.00    
11  QUEENANNE'SREVENGE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
12  SABALENKA Aug03         (beckman whitwo)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
13  MARMO MOON Aug14         (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
14  AUDACIOUSNESS Aug06 Jul04       (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
15  MOON MAGIC CHRISSY Aug06 Jul04 May20 Apr29   (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.50    
16  BECK AND CALL Aug14         (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.