The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Canterbury Downs
Thursday - August 11, 2022

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CBY-1   08/11/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 6:12
:231 :471       :534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING SUN 6 5 3     34 1¾ (raven kerri)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.00 19% 4.20 3.50 W
BIG TIME ROB 4 1 1     1½ 2¾ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 118 5.00 11.80  
TATUM'S JOURNEY 3 3 2     2½ 3(robertson mclean)HARR KELSI 115 4.00 4.40 S
TOP HAT ARISTOCRAT 2 6 6     46 4(wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00 7% 12.80 6.10  
WEST BAY 7 4 4     58 512¾ (livingston jerry)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 8.00 6.00  
SWEET CRYSTAL 1 7 716½     611½ 617½ (robertson mclean)GOODWIN N 115 2.00 39% 1.50 1.40  
UPTOWN DIVA 5 2 55     720½ 723¼ (bethke a)CONNING CRYSTAL 115 12.00 7% 12.80 27.20  
 
CBY-2   08/11/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
:22 :573         :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN PHAROAH 2 2 11 11   115 (russell nathan)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 2.80  
RUSTY CAGE 1 4 31 5   44 25 (rhone bernell)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 4.50 P
TEXAS LONG BOW 4 6 6 67   67 35 (sanderson bruce)FUENTES A 122 6.00 2.80 S
RAY'S ANGEL 3 3 21 21   24(bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 4.30  
BIBLEMAN 6 1 5 3   35(asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 15% 5.80 2.80  
EPIC DRAMA 5 5 4 4   5610 (sanderson bruce)HARR KELSI 122 8.00 9% 10.10 15.90  
SCR  DOCTOR K               (padilla tim)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
CBY-3   08/11/2022 5490ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
:24 :484 1:114     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDALLA MATCH 6 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ (biehler e)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 15% 5.50 2.80 W
LADY HIDEAWAY 5 3 3 32 2½ 2½ 2½ (rengstorf tony)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 4.50 6.20 P
LET'S SKEDADDLE 1 7 7 75 43 33 3(berndt joel)FUENTES A 122 4.00 23% 3.40 1.80 S
BOW BOW GIRL 3 6 6 6 5 45 4(richard chris)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 11.70  
BEACH FLOWER 2 4 4 21 33 55(robertson mclean)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 5.00 10.90  
LATIN NIKKITA 7 5 5 54 7 66(sweere sandra)QUINONEZ ALONSO 117 3.50 30% 2.30 2.70  
MY CRAFTY GAL 4 2 2 4 65 713½ 719¼ (martinez esteban)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 12.00 9% 9.70 36.80  
 
CBY-4   08/11/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
:232 :45 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAP HOT 7 1 1 1   11(rengstorf tony)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00 12% 7.60 2.20 W
JOHNNY UP 3 5 32 3   22(robertson mclean)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 P
BLAME BISHOP 4 4 2 2   33(rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 3.00 15% 5.70 0.70 S
BIG BOY MCCOY 5 2 56 46   4412½ (sweere sandra)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 35.00  
KOVACS 6 3 4 57   510 513¾ (silva miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 5.10  
MARK OF VALOR 1 6 610 6   610 616¾ (lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 10.00 25.50  
K C'S FIRST B M W 2 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (tracy tanner)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 15.00    
SCR  SILVER DASH               (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
CBY-5   08/11/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
:244 :473 1:11     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PAPA RIZZO 8 2 1½ 11   112 (roberts blair)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 28% 2.60 4.60 W
BOB'S ALL IN 7 8 87 65   63 22 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 18% 4.50 6.80 P
SIERRA HOTEL 3 3 31 4   23(broberg karl)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 15% 5.50 3.40 S
THIRTY SECONDS OUT 2 1 2½ 32   344 (silva jr)HARR KELSI 122 12.00 3.80  
THORN HILL CAT 5 5 5 5   45(asprino alfredo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 5.30  
KING NATE 4 6 7 87   76(rarick lynn)FUENTES A 122 12.00 10.30  
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 6 4 4 21   575 (rosin w)EIKLEBERRY RY 117 10.00 5.20  
LOLLY EXPRESS 1 7 66 7   887 (bullene michael)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00 6% 14.90 15.20  
SCR  CHOCOLATEICECREAM               (broberg karl)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  OPTIMAL COURAGE               (riecken bruce)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
 
CBY-6   08/11/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
:232 :464 1:113 1:25   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S SISTER 6 7 7 7 5 23 1¼ (bedford katlin)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 16.00  
10  INDAWIN 9 6 5 3 22 33 2¼ (martinez esteban)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 6.00 13% 6.80 17.80 P
TIZ WONDERFULLY 7 1 32 2nk 12 13 3¾ (garrett j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 22% 3.50 2.40 S
WILDWOOD MAGGIE 2 9 910 9 6 44(campbell joel)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 11% 8.30 7.10  
CSILLA 3 4 4 5 45 55(rengstorf tony)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 12.00 10.20  
SUPERSTAR BEA 4 2 6 6 7 76(robertson mclean)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.00 2.10  
BEYOND BROWN 1 5 11 1nk 3 6712 (richard chris)HARR KELSI 124 12.00 9% 9.80 10.90  
STARLIGHT TWIST 8 8 8 8 913 913¾ 818¼ (wong jonathan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
BONITA RAPIDS 5 3 21 4 810 812¾ 921¾ (woolley l)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 15.00 38.30  
SCR  IKNOWYOURFACE               (wong jonathan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 10.00    
SCR  NOFANSINTHESTANDS               (campbell joel)FUENTES A 124 10.00    
 
CBY-7   08/11/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:12
:214 :434       :554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURTS SO GOOD 9 4 12 1   14 1(robertson mclean)EIKLEBERRY RY 124 4.50 1.10  
REMEMBER THE MAINE 2 8 8 7   72(campbell joel)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 4.00 15% 5.60 6.50 P
LIAM'S PRIDE 6 1 3 4   334 (dixon tim)HARR KELSI 124 12.00 5% 18.90 14.10 S
DAYS OF GLORY 3 7 5 6   46 4(bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 6% 17.10 14.40  
WHERE'S JORDAN 5 6 7 56   68 55 (miller m)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 12.00 28.50  
RAOFTHESUN 8 5 4 3   56 6(kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00 32.80  
MASTER GUNS 1 9 910¼ 912   97(robertson mclean)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.50 10% 9.10 3.20  
TIM'S BUDDY 7 3 22 2   24 8(asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 8.10  
GIANT GAMBLE 4 2 6 810   89 910½ (donlin d)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 14.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.