Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORNBEAM 5 6 7 7 31 1 13 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.24 W
10  ATOMIC TONE 8 10 10 10 10 54 23 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 2.93  
THACH 3 5 4 42 2½ 2 3 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 8.84  
PREDOMINATE 7 9 9 8 64 44 4 (catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 6% 17.00 4.14  
BIG PETE 4 1 31 32 7 65 5 (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00 30.40  
11  HEY BOSS 9 8 8 9 9 7 6 (werre danny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 18.89  
ASHWINS ORB 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 32 7 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00 18.41  
BLUNDER 2 4 5 5 42 88 819 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 49% 1.00 2.84  
A C'S ANALYZER 1 3 6 6 8 911 919¼ (lovell michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00 66.38  
12  OLD CHESTER 10 7 21 2½ 52 1018 1043½ (rider david)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 55.79  
SCR  JACKYS BACK               (matthews randy)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
 
CD-2   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:11 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE DA VIDA (CHI) 5 4 5 4 3 2nk 13 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 3.58  
POWDER RIVER 6 1 21 21 2nk 1nk 23 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 2.59 P
TAP DANCING LADY 4 6 74 7 5 46 37 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 5.00 8.01 S
SMARMY 2 2 11 11 1nk 32 49 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 11% 7.80 2.78  
GUANA CAY 1 5 3 3 44 5 511 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50 55% 0.80 5.63  
COMPELLING SMILE 7 7 6 6 67 612 619½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 26.28  
TEMPER TIME 3 3 4 5 7 713 720 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 8% 12.30 5.51  
 
CD-3   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE FOR RICHIE 5 2 2½ 11   12 14 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 59% 0.70 1.56 W
TETSU 2 3 65 6   33 24 (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.79 P
THIRSTY BETRAYAL 4 5 42 42   43 3 (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50 2.08 S
11  CRIME SPREE 8 4 5 3   22 45 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 37.21  
BIG SPORT 3 1 1½ 21   5 511½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 4.00 15% 5.50 7.41  
EAGLE PASS 6 7 77 7   79 611¾ (vance r)LANERIE J 121 15.00 31.74  
TOTALIZER 1 8 89 810½   811½ 717½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.99  
10  HONORARY DEGREE 7 6 3 5   6 820¾ (miller f)COURT K 121 30.00 37.05  
SCR  ALL WEST               (hartman chr)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  CAN IMAGINE               (brenn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00    
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
 
CD-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:211 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 2 5 4 2nk   13 17 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 15.18  
PINE VALLEY 1 6 34 3½   23 27 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 8% 11.20 12.42 P
SUPREMELY 5 2 77 4   4 310¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 13.64  
10  LUCKY SMILE 9 9 6 53   5 411½ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.60 6.22  
11  NORGAY 10 3 9 10   8 511½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 12.95  
INSOLITO 6 4 1½ 1nk   3 612¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 33% 2.10 1.53  
FINAL APPROACH 7 8 5 65   7 714½ (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 12.00 20.27  
COBBLESTONE 4 10 119 76   69 814¾ (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 30.12  
SCRATCHOFF 8 7 8 9   9 915¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 12.00 7.51  
COUGAR JACK 3 12 10 8   1010¼ 1020¼ (cline c)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 51.29  
12  VINTAGE VINYL 11 11 12 1211¾   1114¼ 1127¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 59.95  
13  CALIFORNIA EXPRESS 12 1 2½ 1110¼   12100 12100 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 15% 5.60 4.87  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
 
CD-5   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAFFIC MASTER 5 2 5 5 4 31 1hd (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 46.86  
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 4 7 6 4 11 1½ 2hd (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 23% 3.30 2.12 P
13  RUNGIUS 12 9 31 2 5 2½ 3¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 18% 4.60 7.83 S
TRACK MATE 6 8 7 6 31 42 43 (lukas wayne)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 25% 2.90 4.08  
FRANK'S HONOR 2 5 8 8 6 6 54 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8% 11.50 2.62  
11  PRINCELY 10 11 1211 1211½ 10 7 6 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 18.86  
10  TIZ TWENTY TWENTY 9 3 11 1 21 5 7 (mccarthy w)DIAZ RENE 114 15.00 55.60  
HARD TO COME BY 8 4 21 3 7 8 8 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 25.71  
CALIFORNIA TWIRL 7 10 10 106 8 9 98 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 31.09  
HALLOW POINT 3 6 94 9 9 1011 1015½ (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 16.64  
12  MR MIDWAY 11 12 117 11 1112¼ 1114½ 1121¾ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 55.90  
BLUFF CITY 1 1 4 7 1215¾ 1219½ 1231½ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 12.25  
SCR  FACE VALUE               (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  KICKSANDGIGGLES               (hiles jef)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
SCR  WADSWORTH               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
SCR  WELAKA               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T MAX 5 1 11 1   15 15 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 4.23  
SANTA FE GOLD 1 4 5 5   25 25 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 13.60 13.46 P
11  FREE DROP MADDY 10 2 7 75   48 39 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00 38% 1.70 2.25 S
CRACKALACKING 3 10 4 3   58 410 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 15.09  
KARMA GHIA 4 8 9 86   37 510 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 50.02  
PACHUCA 6 7 10 10   710¾ 610¼ (gutierrez faust)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 14% 6.10 1.45  
10  HAPPY CLOUDS 9 3 6 6   6 714¾ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00 52.49  
HOLIDAY DECISION 2 9 21 2   812¼ 818½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 9.75  
MORNIN' BOSS 7 6 8 9   913¾ 920 (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00 46.95  
B G WARRIOR 8 5 31 43   1014¼ 1020½ (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 120 20.00 40.81  
SCR  BOSS LADY BAILEY               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER               (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
CD-7   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:10     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG 6 5 6 6   6 1nk (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00 9% 10.20 8.01 W
READY TO POUNCE 7 7 76 7   3½ 2nk (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 11.35  
SURVEILLANCE 4 1 3 3   2nk 3 (desormeaux k)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 7.75  
TORONTOTORO 2 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 4 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 32.34  
HIDDEN SCROLL 3 8 4 4   41 5 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 17% 4.90 5.12  
HEART RHYTHM 5 4 52 5   7 65 (duncan vance)COURT K 121 4.00 18% 4.50 5.64  
10  MAJOR FED 8 6 8 8   8 7 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 6.33  
GUN IT 1 2 1½ 1nk   5 87 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.34  
SCR  NIGHT TIME               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  ROBO MAN               (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 7 2 5 31   11 1 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 4.50 18% 4.60 2.75 W
PONTIFFANY 3 1 43 5   4 2 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 32.94  
TOTAL DISCRETION 2 4 6 75   5 3 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 16.23  
11  ECLIPSED 10 6 33 2½   21 45 (fletcher ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 10.04  
CYCOLOGIST 6 7 8 9   8 5 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 10% 9.10 4.10  
JERSEY GOLD 1 10 9 108   77 6 (pittman bonni)STILLION BROOKE 118 30.00 44.27  
FORGOT PASSWORD 8 8 10 86   9 7 (lyster s)LANERIE J 121 8.00 9% 9.80 2.79  
10  INSPEIGHTFUL 9 3 11 1½   32 8 (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00 9.64  
SWEET GINGER 4 5 21 42   6 99 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00 27.90  
PAPPYSAYSYES 5 9 7 65   1010 1014¾ (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5.32  
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS               (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.