Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HORNBEAM 5 6 75¼ 73¾ 31 11½ 13 (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.24 W
10  ATOMIC TONE 8 10 109¼ 105½ 107¼ 54 23 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 2.93  
4  THACH 3 5 42½ 42 2½ 21½ 33¾ (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00 8.84  
9  PREDOMINATE 7 9 97¼ 84¼ 64 44 43¾ (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 6% 17.00 4.14  
5  BIG PETE 4 1 31 32 74¼ 65 56½ (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00 ★ 30.40  
11  HEY BOSS 9 8 86¾ 95¼ 95¾ 77½ 67¾ (werre danny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 ★ 18.89  
8  ASHWINS ORB 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 32 78¼ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00 18.41  
3  BLUNDER 2 4 52¾ 52¼ 42 88 819 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 49% 1.00 2.84  
1  A C'S ANALYZER 1 3 64¾ 63¾ 84¼ 911 919¼ (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00 66.38  
12  OLD CHESTER 10 7 21 2½ 52 1018 1043½ (rider dav)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 55.79  
SCR  JACKYS BACK               (matthews randy)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
 
CD-2   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:11 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LE DA VIDA (CHI) 5 4 52½ 42½ 31½ 2nk 13 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00 3.58  
6  POWDER RIVER 6 1 21 21 2nk 1nk 23 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 ★ 2.59 P
4  TAP DANCING LADY 4 6 74 74¾ 56½ 46 37 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 5.00 ★ 8.01 S
2  SMARMY 2 2 11 11 1nk 32 49 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 11% 7.80 2.78  
1  GUANA CAY 1 5 31½ 31½ 44 56½ 511 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50 55% 0.80 5.63  
7  COMPELLING SMILE 7 7 63½ 64½ 67 612 619½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 26.28  
3  TEMPER TIME 3 3 41½ 52½ 78½ 713 720 (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 8% 12.30 5.51  
 
CD-3   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ONE FOR RICHIE 5 2 2½ 11   12 14 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 59% 0.70 1.56 W
4  TETSU 2 3 65 63½   33 24 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.79 P
7  THIRSTY BETRAYAL 4 5 42 42   43 34½ (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50 ★ 2.08 S
11  CRIME SPREE 8 4 53½ 31½   22 45 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 37.21  
6  BIG SPORT 3 1 1½ 21   54½ 511½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 4.00 15% 5.50 7.41  
9  EAGLE PASS 6 7 77 76½   79 611¾ (vance r)LANERIE J 121 15.00 ★ 31.74  
3  TOTALIZER 1 8 89 810½   811½ 717½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.99  
10  HONORARY DEGREE 7 6 31½ 52½   68½ 820¾ (miller f)COURT K 121 30.00 37.05  
SCR  ALL WEST               (hartman c)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  CAN IMAGINE               (bre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00    
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS               (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
 
CD-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:211 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 2 5 45½ 2nk   13 17 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 ★ 15.18  
1  PINE VALLEY 1 6 34 3½   23 27 (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 12.00 8% 11.20 12.42 P
5  SUPREMELY 5 2 77 42½   44½ 310¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 13.64  
10  LUCKY SMILE 9 9 66½ 53   56½ 411½ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.60 6.22  
11  NORGAY 10 3 98¾ 108¾   89¾ 511½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00 12.95  
6  INSOLITO 6 4 1½ 1nk   34½ 612¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 33% 2.10 1.53  
8  FINAL APPROACH 7 8 55½ 65   79½ 714½ (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 12.00 20.27  
4  COBBLESTONE 4 10 119 76   69 814¾ (cowans wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 30.12  
9  SCRATCHOFF 8 7 87¼ 97¼   99¾ 915¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 12.00 7.51  
3  COUGAR JACK 3 12 108¾ 86¼   1010¼ 1020¼ (cline robert)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 51.29  
12  VINTAGE VINYL 11 11 129½ 1211¾   1114¼ 1127¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 59.95  
13  CALIFORNIA EXPRESS 12 1 2½ 1110¼   12100 12100 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 15% 5.60 4.87  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
 
CD-5   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRAFFIC MASTER 5 2 52½ 53¾ 41½ 31 1hd (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 46.86  
5  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 4 7 62¾ 42¾ 11 1½ 2hd (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 23% 3.30 2.12 P
13  RUNGIUS 12 9 31 22½ 51¾ 2½ 3¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 18% 4.60 7.83 S
7  TRACK MATE 6 8 72¾ 64¼ 31 42 43 (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 25% 2.90 4.08  
3  FRANK'S HONOR 2 5 83¾ 85¾ 63¼ 64½ 54 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8% 11.50 2.62  
11  PRINCELY 10 11 1211 1211½ 109¾ 76½ 64½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 18.86  
10  TIZ TWENTY TWENTY 9 3 11 12½ 21 53½ 75½ (mccarthy michael )DIAZ RENE 114 15.00 55.60  
9  HARD TO COME BY 8 4 21 32½ 75¼ 87½ 87¾ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 25.71  
8  CALIFORNIA TWIRL 7 10 104½ 106 86¼ 98½ 98 (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 31.09  
4  HALLOW POINT 3 6 94 95¾ 98¼ 1011 1015½ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 16.64  
12  MR MIDWAY 11 12 117 118½ 1112¼ 1114½ 1121¾ (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 55.90  
2  BLUFF CITY 1 1 41½ 75¼ 1215¾ 1219½ 1231½ (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 12.25  
SCR  FACE VALUE               (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  KICKSANDGIGGLES               (hiles j)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
SCR  WADSWORTH               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
SCR  WELAKA               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  T MAX 5 1 11 11½   15 15 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 4.23  
2  SANTA FE GOLD 1 4 51¼ 53½   25 25 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 13.60 13.46 P
11  FREE DROP MADDY 10 2 72¾ 75   48 39 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00 38% 1.70 2.25 S
1  CRACKALACKING 3 10 41¼ 32½   58 410 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 15.09  
4  KARMA GHIA 4 8 93½ 86   37 510 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 50.02  
6  PACHUCA 6 7 104½ 106½   710¾ 610¼ (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 14% 6.10 1.45  
10  HAPPY CLOUDS 9 3 62¼ 64½   68¼ 714¾ (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00 52.49  
3  HOLIDAY DECISION 2 9 21 21½   812¼ 818½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 9.75  
7  MORNIN' BOSS 7 6 83¼ 96½   913¾ 920 (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00 46.95  
8  B G WARRIOR 8 5 31 43   1014¼ 1020½ (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 120 20.00 40.81  
SCR  BOSS LADY BAILEY               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER               (kenneally )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
CD-7   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:10     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HERE MI SONG 6 5 62½ 64¼   61¾ 1nk (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00 9% 10.20 8.01 W
9  READY TO POUNCE 7 7 76 76¾   3½ 2nk (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00 11.35  
4  SURVEILLANCE 4 1 31½ 31½   2nk 31¼ (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 7.75  
2  TORONTOTORO 2 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 42½ (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00 32.34  
3  HIDDEN SCROLL 3 8 41½ 41¾   41 53¾ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 17% 4.90 5.12  
6  HEART RHYTHM 5 4 52 52¼   72¼ 65 (duncan van)COURT K 121 4.00 18% 4.50 5.64  
10  MAJOR FED 8 6 86¼ 87¼   84¾ 76¼ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 6.33  
1  GUN IT 1 2 1½ 1nk   51½ 87 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 20% 4.10 1.34  
SCR  NIGHT TIME               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  ROBO MAN               (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 7 2 53¼ 31   11 12½ (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 4.50 18% 4.60 2.75 W
4  PONTIFFANY 3 1 43 53½   43½ 22½ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 32.94  
3  TOTAL DISCRETION 2 4 64¾ 75   54½ 34¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 16.23  
11  ECLIPSED 10 6 33 2½   21 45 (fletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 ★ 10.04  
7  CYCOLOGIST 6 7 86¾ 97½   87½ 55¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 10% 9.10 4.10  
1  JERSEY GOLD 1 10 96¾ 108   77 66¼ (pittman bon)STILLION BROOKE 118 30.00 44.27  
9  FORGOT PASSWORD 8 8 107¼ 86   97½ 77¾ (lyster stephen )LANERIE J 121 8.00 9% 9.80 2.79  
10  INSPEIGHTFUL 9 3 11 1½   32 87¾ (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00 9.64  
5  SWEET GINGER 4 5 21 42   66½ 99 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00 27.90  
6  PAPPYSAYSYES 5 9 75¾ 65   1010 1014¾ (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5.32  
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS               (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.