Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A C'S ANALYZER Aug23         (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER Aug27 Jul31       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
3  BLUNDER Aug27 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 49% 1.00    
4  THACH Aug05 Jul03 Jun12     (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 120 6.00    
5  BIG PETE Aug25 Jul16 Jul03 May26 Mar25 (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00 ★    
6  HORNBEAM Aug22 Jul20 Jun24 Jun09 Feb10 (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  JACKYS BACK Aug25 Jun19 May13 Apr16 Apr01 (matthews randy)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
8  ASHWINS ORB Sep06 Aug25 Aug09 Jul07 May16 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00    
9  PREDOMINATE Sep05 Aug12 Jul01 May20   (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 6% 17.00    
10  ATOMIC TONE Jul01         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00    
11  HEY BOSS Aug24 Jul31 Jun29 Jun08 Apr01 (werre danny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 ★    
12  OLD CHESTER Aug08         (rider dav)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
 
CD-2   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUANA CAY Aug21 Jul18 May11 Apr08 Mar19 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
2  SMARMY Jul12 Jun23 May07 Mar23 Mar11 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
3  TEMPER TIME Aug14 Jul09 Jun04 May06 Apr09 (romans dal)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 8% 12.30    
4  TAP DANCING LADY Jul08 Jun18 May06 Apr02 Mar05 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 5.00 ★    
5  LE DA VIDA (CHI)         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 8.00    
6  POWDER RIVER Jun30 Jun04 May06     (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 ★    
7  COMPELLING SMILE Aug07 May06       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
 
CD-3   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAN IMAGINE Jul31 May27 Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 (bre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 30.00    
SCR  ALL WEST Aug25 Aug02 Jun29 Jun18 Apr16 (hartman c)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
3  TOTALIZER Aug27 Jul24 Apr07 Mar11 Feb26 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
4  TETSU Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPEND BENJAMINS Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun19 May22 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
6  BIG SPORT Aug21 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Apr24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
7  THIRSTY BETRAYAL Jul31 Jul08 Jun18 May27 Apr14 (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 3.50 ★    
8  ONE FOR RICHIE Jul31 Jul06 Jun11 Apr27 Mar05 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
9  EAGLE PASS Jun29 Jun18 Jun08 May27 May15 (vance r)LANERIE J 121 15.00 ★    
10  HONORARY DEGREE Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 May27 Apr23 (miller f)COURT K 121 30.00    
11  CRIME SPREE Jul21 Jul06 Jun18 May27 Apr14 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
CD-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINE VALLEY Aug07 Jul15       (brisset )SANTANA JR 121 12.00 8% 11.20    
2  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW Mar04 Jan02       (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 ★    
3  COUGAR JACK         (cline robert)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
4  COBBLESTONE         (cowans wi)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
5  SUPREMELY Jun09 May22       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
6  INSOLITO Jan29         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.60 33% 2.10    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Aug30 Aug08 Jun19 May22 Apr29 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
8  FINAL APPROACH Aug13         (lukas wayne)COURT K 124 12.00    
9  SCRATCHOFF Aug13 Jul15       (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
10  LUCKY SMILE         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
11  NORGAY Aug13 Jul15       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
12  VINTAGE VINYL Aug08 Apr16 Feb19 Jan22   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
13  CALIFORNIA EXPRESS Jun12         (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
CD-5   09/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FACE VALUE Aug06         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  WADSWORTH Aug06         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
2  BLUFF CITY Aug12 Jul16 Jun23     (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
3  FRANK'S HONOR Aug13         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8% 11.50    
4  HALLOW POINT Aug05 Jul02       (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
5  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 May27   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  TRAFFIC MASTER Aug12         (casse mark)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
7  TRACK MATE Aug27 Aug06       (lukas way)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
8  CALIFORNIA TWIRL Aug13         (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
9  HARD TO COME BY Aug12 Jun30       (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
10  TIZ TWENTY TWENTY         (mccarthy michael )DIAZ RENE 114 15.00    
11  PRINCELY         (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
12  MR MIDWAY         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
13  RUNGIUS Aug05 Jun26       (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  WELAKA Aug10         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KICKSANDGIGGLES Aug06         (hiles j)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
 
CD-6   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRACKALACKING Aug14 Jul04 Apr21     (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY Aug19 Jul31       (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
2  SANTA FE GOLD Jul17 Jun25       (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 7% 13.60    
3  HOLIDAY DECISION Aug14 Jul01 Jun10     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
4  KARMA GHIA Jul14 Jun17 May27     (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
5  T MAX Aug21         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
6  PACHUCA Sep01 Aug14 Jul16     (gutierrez fau)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
7  MORNIN' BOSS Aug18 Jul19 Jun28 Jun02   (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 15.00    
8  B G WARRIOR Aug10 Jul29 Jul04     (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
SCR  SHOPLIFTER Aug14 Jun29 Jun08     (kenneally )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
10  HAPPY CLOUDS Jul16 Jun23       (ennis john)VILLASANA CARLOS 120 20.00    
11  FREE DROP MADDY Jul17 Jun10       (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  BOSS LADY BAILEY Jul23         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 ★    
 
CD-7   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT Jul17 Jun25 May28 May07 Apr02 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  TORONTOTORO Aug16 Jul06 Jun11 May03 Mar04 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00    
3  HIDDEN SCROLL Jun11         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 17% 4.90    
4  SURVEILLANCE Jul24 May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar10 (desormeaux j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00    
SCR  NIGHT TIME Sep13 Jul17 Jun10 May03   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 6% 16.90    
6  HEART RHYTHM Jul02 Jun05 May08 Mar19 Feb20 (duncan van)COURT K 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ROBO MAN Jul24 Jul02       (pierce lacy)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
8  HERE MI SONG Aug26 Jul24 Jul08 Apr16 Mar12 (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00 9% 10.20    
9  READY TO POUNCE Jul03 May30 Mar10 Jan27 Jan02 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
10  MAJOR FED May13 Apr15 Feb19     (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
 
CD-8   09/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY GOLD Jul22 Jun30 Jun01 May12 Apr26 (pittman bon)STILLION BROOKE 118 30.00    
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS Jun24 May26 Apr08 Feb20 Jan28 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  TOTAL DISCRETION Aug11 Jul15 Jun30     (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
4  PONTIFFANY Aug25 Aug04 Jul09 May30 May12 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
5  SWEET GINGER Aug09 May12 Apr20 Mar02 Feb16 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 111 20.00    
6  PAPPYSAYSYES Apr10 Feb11       (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
7  CYCOLOGIST Aug22 Aug10 Jun29 May27 May04 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 10% 9.10    
8  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Aug25 Jun23 May03 Mar27 Mar06 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 116 4.50 18% 4.60    
9  FORGOT PASSWORD Mar24 Feb25       (lyster stephen )LANERIE J 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
10  INSPEIGHTFUL Aug26         (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 5.00    
11  ECLIPSED Aug23 Jun23 May15 Apr10 Mar04 (fletcher )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.