Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/26/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:214         :214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED LOVE 3 2       11 1 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 2.50 48% 1.10 1.00 W
STERLING ICE 6 1       21 2 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 19.80 P
PERFECT GENTLEMAN 4 3       31 32 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 11.15 S
SUMMER RETREAT 1 6       4 4 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 2.20  
RED MAPLE 5 4       5 5 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 123 3.00 13% 6.90 6.05  
BIG BAND BENNY 2 5       6 6 (jolin )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 121 4.00 19% 4.20 6.85  
 
FE-2   07/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133 1:41   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALMING INFLUENCE 2 2 21 1½ 11 1nk 1nk (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.40 W
MORE HARDER 5 7 715 717½ 611½ 4 2nk (hoad lindsey)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50 6% 14.80 4.15 P
STRONG ATTITUDE 3 3 3 2½ 21 3.2 3 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 7.55  
READY AT DAWN 4 5 44 42 31 2nk 4 (ezra dar)ALDERSON IAN 118 12.00 2.75  
DOODLE DANDY 6 6 57 5 48 5 515½ (hoad lindsey)CRAWFORD J 115 15.00 14.20  
CONQUER THE BREEZE 7 4 611 612½ 715 7 618¾ (simms c)DAVID MICHAEL 113 20.00 11.70  
INTREPID WARRIOR 1 1 11 3½ 5 6 719 (wills daniel)WENC C 118 4.00 26% 2.80 12.30  
 
FE-3   07/26/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:153     1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPULSIVELY 3 4 5 5   1½ 1 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 9.00  
SILENT BUT VIOLENT 2 5 45 22   31 2 (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 118 1.80 63% 0.60 0.85 P
OUR STORMY SOPHIA 1 1 1nk 12   2½ 32 (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 5.00 6.85 S
MY LAST DREAM 6 3 33 32   41 4 (coryat a)HOYTE JASON 118 2.50 6% 16.80 4.35  
DONTCALLMESWEETY 5 2 2nk 4   59 521½ (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 113 15.00 3.70  
ONLY BELIEVE 4 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (corbet)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 21.15  
SCR  WICKEN CENTS               (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   07/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RADCLIFFE 4 3 1nk 11   2nk 1¼ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 12.00 7% 13.40 5.10 W
WONNEFRAC 1 5 31 31   1nk 2¼ (raghunath raven)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00 21% 3.70 3.65 P
NO EASY ROAD 8 1 6 42   31 3¾ (siddo barrington)HEIN NICOLE 115 3.00 1.00 S
SANTIAGO SALSA 5 6 4 53   53 4 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 2.00 31% 2.20 4.00  
SLIGO CALLING 3 8 8 7   6 5 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 23.95  
C BY THE SEA 6 2 2nk 21   4 6 (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 118 5.00 12% 7.00 13.90  
I'M SO FLY 7 7 7 6   7 713½ (humber j)PALMER ALVIN 116 8.00 56.00  
HYPERACTIVE 2 4 5 8   8 815¼ (williams a)DAVID MICHAEL 115 20.00 70.05  
 
FE-5   07/26/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETAWAWA 7 3 35 2   2 12 (giliforte layn)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 2.00 23% 3.30 1.80 W
SHAMBO 1 1 1 1   1 22 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 4.00 3.00  
SUIGU STAR 2 6 1018¼ 914   49 37 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 7% 12.80 6.45 S
DYNAMIC MISSION 5 9 7 6   38 4 (rabstein claudia )HEIN NICOLE 113 5.00 6.75  
STREET MAX 4 4 69 710   611 512¼ (powell a)MORENO OMAR 118 20.00 28.30  
MR. DYNAMIC 6 5 45 5   510 613¾ (raghunath raven)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 11.70  
STORMIN' HUMOR 9 7 5 4   712½ 717 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
10  RUSHING RIVER 10 8 914¾ 812   813½ 817 (mandalfino r)CRAWFORD J 118 20.00 23% 3.30 42.85  
LETS SAY THIS 8 10 814½ 1015   917 920¼ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 18% 4.60 22.95  
SECTION TEN 3 2 2 34   1021 1025¼ (maynard desmond)HOYTE JASON 118 15.00 28.30  
 
FE-6   07/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE WANT ACTION 6 5 47 35   1 18 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 19% 4.40 5.35 W
OMEGNA 2 2 5 5   4 28 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 6.75 P
J AND B IN CRUMLIN 3 3 1½ 12   2 313½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 1.80 55% 0.80 2.10 S
GUS'S GAMBLE 5 4 3 4   3 413¾ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 9.00  
SHOOT FORTHE MONEY 4 6 615½ 617½   6 516 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 16.95  
LOVE THAT MADISON 1 1 2½ 22   5 6100 (goldenberg jame)DAVID MICHAEL 115 5.00 1.20  
 
FE-7   07/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:123 1:412   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREATHLESSNTHESAND 5 5 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 12 (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 17% 4.80 1.95 W
SUN FORESTER 7 7 813 814½ 810¾ 44 22 (wills daniel)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 43% 1.30 6.00 P
PRINCESS MORO 3 3 712½ 713½ 6 54 3 (mcmahon g)RAMSAMMY E 115 15.00 5% 19.00 19.80 S
FINAL STRIKE 2 4 4 4 32 3 4 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 13.80  
THELONIOUS 6 6 610 610½ 7 7 5 (raghunath raven)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 11.65  
UNDEFILED 8 8 59 510 5 6 67 (tharreno)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 10% 8.90 1.85  
DIAMONDBACK 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 710¾ (wieczorek kendr)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 7.60  
JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH 4 2 32 3 4 8 811¾ (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 13.55  
 
FE-8   07/26/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:123     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT'S VISION 1 4 4 31   2 1nk (fairlie h)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.00 1.80  
SAILIN STREET 3 2 2½ 1nk   1 2nk (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5.00  
DEEP EXPLORER 5 5 76 6   33 3 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 10.00 7% 12.40 4.90 S
11  ROBUSTO 7 6 54 54   5 4 (oliverre sylveste)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 16% 5.20 4.95  
HIATUS 4 1 1½ 2nk   44 5 (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 4.00 5.00  
JACK BEANSTALK 6 3 32 4   68 615¼ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 17.95  
CALL ME WALLY 2 7 66 7   710 722½ (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 115 12.00 6.80  
SCR  ACE DESTROYER               (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  AM PREPARED               (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
SCR  CHASING VINNY               (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 120 5.00    
SCR  CORRELATE               (loesch)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00    
SCR  GASCONADE               (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 20.00    
SCR  MALIBU MAX               (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 7% 12.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.