Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/26/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER RETREAT Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 Jun07   (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50    
2  BIG BAND BENNY Jul17 Jun21 Jun07     (joli)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
3  DETERMINED LOVE Jul04 Jun21 May31 Mar18 Feb08 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  PERFECT GENTLEMAN Jul17 Jun19 Jun07     (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 ★    
5  RED MAPLE Jul17 Jul05 Jun14 May31 May06 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 123 3.00 13% 6.90    
6  STERLING ICE Jul17 Jun19 May31     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 ★    
 
FE-2   07/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTREPID WARRIOR Jun21 Jun07 May19     (wills danie)WENC C 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  CALMING INFLUENCE Jul11 Jun28 Jun07     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  STRONG ATTITUDE Jul12 Jun19 May31     (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50    
4  READY AT DAWN Jul12 Jul04 Jun21 Jun13 May26 (ezra d)ALDERSON IAN 118 12.00 ★    
5  MORE HARDER Jul19 Jul01 Jun19 Jun10 May04 (hoad lindsey)MORENO OMAR 118 4.50 6% 14.80    
6  DOODLE DANDY Jul04 Jun19       (hoad lindsey)CRAWFORD J 115 15.00 ★    
7  CONQUER THE BREEZE Jul12 Jun28 May31 Apr24   (simms c)DAVID MICHAEL 113 20.00    
 
FE-3   07/26/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR STORMY SOPHIA Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 May31 Apr16 (shirley lu)KING MARIE 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  WICKEN CENTS Jun27 Jun14 May31     (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SILENT BUT VIOLENT Jun27 Jun14 May31     (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 118 1.80 63% 0.60    
4  IMPULSIVELY Jul07 Jun12 May27     (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50    
5  ONLY BELIEVE Jul19 Jun27 May31     (corb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00    
6  DONTCALLMESWEETY Jul08 May26 Apr23     (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 113 15.00 ★    
7  MY LAST DREAM Jul09 Jun17 May28     (coryat a)HOYTE JASON 118 2.50 6% 16.80    
 
FE-4   07/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WONNEFRAC Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 May31   (raghunath rav)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  HYPERACTIVE Jul11 Jun28       (williams noel)DAVID MICHAEL 115 20.00    
3  SLIGO CALLING Jul11 Jun21 Jun07     (simms )ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00    
4  RADCLIFFE May31         (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 12.00 7% 13.40    
5  SANTIAGO SALSA Feb09         (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  C BY THE SEA Jul12 Jun21 Jun07     (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 118 5.00 12% 7.00    
7  I'M SO FLY Jul04 Jun21 Jun07     (humber)PALMER ALVIN 116 8.00    
8  NO EASY ROAD Jul12 Jan23 Jan07     (siddo barringto)HEIN NICOLE 115 3.00 ★    
 
FE-5   07/26/2022 4620ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMBO Jul11 Jun04       (newland ge)HUSBANDS J 108 4.00    
2  SUIGU STAR Jul11 Jun18 May29     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
3  SECTION TEN Jul14         (maynard desmond)HOYTE JASON 118 15.00    
4  STREET MAX Jul11 Jun28       (powe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 20.00    
5  DYNAMIC MISSION Jul11 Jun28       (rabstein claudi)HEIN NICOLE 113 5.00    
6  MR. DYNAMIC Jul11 Jun28 Jun07     (raghunath rav)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
7  PETAWAWA         (giliforte la)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
8  LETS SAY THIS         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 18% 4.60    
9  STORMIN' HUMOR Jul10 Jun26 Jun09 May27   (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUSHING RIVER         (mandalfino paul )CRAWFORD J 118 20.00 23% 3.30    
 
FE-6   07/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE THAT MADISON Jul04 Jun21       (goldenberg ja)DAVID MICHAEL 115 5.00 ★    
2  OMEGNA Jul19 Jul01 May26     (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 ★    
3  J AND B IN CRUMLIN Jul15 May26       (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 1.80 55% 0.80    
4  SHOOT FORTHE MONEY         (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 ★    
5  GUS'S GAMBLE Jul19 Jun28       (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00    
6  WE WANT ACTION         (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
FE-7   07/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDBACK Jul12 Jun10 May13 Apr24   (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 ★    
2  FINAL STRIKE Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 May20 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00    
3  PRINCESS MORO Jun27 Jun14       (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH Jul12 Jul04 May31     (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00    
5  BREATHLESSNTHESAND Jul10 Jun02 Apr24     (desruisseaux)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
6  THELONIOUS Jul12 Jul01 Jun07 May27 May07 (raghunath rav)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00    
7  SUN FORESTER Jul04 Jun19 Jun13 May26 Apr24 (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  UNDEFILED Jun23 Mar26 Feb23     (tharre)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
 
FE-8   07/26/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOT'S VISION Jul11 Jun07 May27 May06 Apr17 (fairlie s)RAINFORD MICHELLE 120 3.00    
SCR  MALIBU MAX Jul11 Jun19 May22 Apr29 Apr01 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 7% 12.70    
3  CALL ME WALLY Jul11 Jun27       (newland georg)DAVID MICHAEL 115 12.00 ★    
4  SAILIN STREET Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May31   (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00    
5  HIATUS Jul11 Jun19 May07     (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 4.00    
SCR  ACE DESTROYER Jun27 May31 Feb23 Jan29   (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
7  DEEP EXPLORER Jun28 Jun13       (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 10.00 7% 12.40    
8  JACK BEANSTALK Jul11 Jun21 May31 May19 May01 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
SCR  GASCONADE Jul04 May19 May07     (lafond e)SALLES LEO 118 20.00    
SCR  AM PREPARED Jul11 Jun19 May31     (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
11  ROBUSTO Jul11 Jun27 Jun19 May31 May13 (oliverre sylves)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  CORRELATE Jul10 Jun19 Jun07 May05 Mar24 (loes)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00    
SCR  CHASING VINNY Jul15 Jun28 Jun13 May31   (chudobiak gar)HERNANDEZ K 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.