Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:13 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIZMO'S PRINCESS 2 3 32½ 31 11 12 12¾ (fairlie h)JONES SLADE 122 1.80 32% 2.10 1.00 W
1  FLECK 1 5 510 59½ 44 22 22¾ (simms john)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 ★ 2.40 P
3  TIZ MY RIGHT 3 2 1nk 1nk 21 32 35¼ (keen how)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 24% 3.20 4.80 S
5  MS SUEDOO 5 4 43½ 43 32½ 43 48¼ (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 ★ 15.90  
4  MARTINI SUE 4 1 2nk 2nk 54½ 511½ 531 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 20% 3.90 4.35  
 
FE-2   07/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:23 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOMCAT BLACK 2 4 51¾ 42   1½ 11¼ (tharrenos william)MORENO OMAR 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.65 W
7  HALF LIT 6 2 3.2 1nk   2½ 21¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 4.00 ★ 4.65 P
6  DUKE OF MIAMI 5 5 63¼ 64½   52 33¾ (tharrenos will)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 5.00 ★ 8.80 S
5  WILD RIVER WOLF 4 6 41¾ 53   62¼ 46¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 11% 8.50 3.95  
3  FINAL STRIKE 3 1 2nk 31   42 57½ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 115 6.00 8.65  
1  FRAT PARTY 1 3 1nk 2nk   31½ 67¾ (cohen )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 15.00 33.00  
SCR  ABSTEMIOUS               (warner k)SINGH S 120 12.00 ★    
 
FE-3   07/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HI HONEY 4 4 21 1nk   13 15¾ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 ★ 0.55  
3  RIGHT MATTERS 2 6 63 64½   33½ 25¾ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 67% 0.50 5.65 P
6  TANGERINE TWIST 5 1 11 2nk   23 37½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 9% 9.70 4.45 S
9  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 7 2 52 43   43½ 48¼ (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 118 8.00 6.45  
4  ONLY BELIEVE 3 5 73¼ 53½   55 511½ (corbett bria)MANGALEE RICHARD 120 20.00 20.10  
1  SMART IRENE 1 7 31 32½   68½ 617½ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 12.00 ★ 29.60  
8  BELLE FEMME 6 3 41½ 77½   710 718½ (williams a)JOHNSON DEVON 118 15.00 62.55  
SCR  PICTUREDAY JESSICA               (powell a)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  WICKEN CENTS               (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00    
 
FE-4   07/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:223 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AWESOME MINER 6 2 21 1nk   11 11 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 ★ 3.05  
3  BE THE CHANGE 3 5 43½ 41¾   31½ 21 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 ★ 12.10 P
4  BALA FALLS 4 1 32 31½   21 32 (warner k)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 38.05  
2  OVERBEARING 2 6 63¾ 53¾   53 43¼ (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 3.00 11% 8.00 6.85  
1  SHAKOO MAKOO 1 7 11 2nk   41½ 54 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 ★ 0.95  
5  BRADY O'BRADY 5 4 76¼ 75¼   63¼ 64¾ (siddo ba)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00 18.55  
7  BANGOR RIDGE 7 3 53½ 63¾   75¾ 717½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 62% 0.60 4.60  
 
FE-5   07/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:143 1:423   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIZINGA 5 6 44 57 44 32 1nk (tharreno)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 9.55  
6  PRINCESS LAVENDER 6 1 13½ 13 11 11½ 2nk (rabstein claudia )MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 10.40  
3  MARVEL 3 4 33½ 33 21 21½ 33 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 3.50 ★ 5.25 S
4  MIZZ GEMMA 4 5 23½ 23 32 42 47 (biamonte ralp)WENC C 118 1.80 45% 1.20 0.85  
1  MELROSE STAR 1 2 55½ 45 55 54½ 516 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 27% 2.70 2.45  
2  HIPPIE CHICK 2 3 67 69 610½ 68 616¾ (tomlinso)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 ★ 25.15  
SCR  SILENT BUT VIOLENT               (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 118 5.00 ★    
 
FE-6   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANCE TO THE BEACH 3 3 33 25   1½ 1¼ (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 122 1.80 59% 0.70 0.60 W
5  CLASSY MISTRESS 5 4 58 59   41 2¼ (meli salvato)KING MARIE 120 8.00 10.10  
4  FUN COOL 4 5 43 45½   2½ 31 (voyce jeff)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 118 2.50 ★ 1.50 S
2  EASY ACCESS 2 1 11 15   3½ 49 (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 115 10.00 6% 15.50 17.55  
1  BABY LUNA 1 2 21 35   58 518½ (williams a)JOHNSON DEVON 120 6.00 ★ 17.90  
SCR  FANCYSOUL               (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 ★    
 
FE-7   07/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
See original race card.
:232 :471       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  M C JACKHAMMER 9 3 41¼ 11   11 11¼ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 28% 2.60 3.75 W
8  CORE 8 2 31 31½   21 21¼ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 39% 1.60 0.80 P
6  OMEGNA 6 4 51¼ 42   32 37½ (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 12.00 46.05  
4  ARTIE'S ALL IN 4 7 62¼ 84¼   54 48¾ (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 118 8.00 ★ 19.60  
2  WONNEFRAC 2 1 11 21   42½ 512¾ (raghunath raven)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 9% 10.40 19.35  
5  VERMONT HOLIDAY 5 8 72½ 63   64½ 613 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 113 10.00 6.40  
1  GUS'S GAMBLE 1 9 21 52   74½ 715½ (albu ken)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50 9.65  
3  TATTRAN 3 6 92½ 96¼   98 815¾ (wills daniel)WENC C 118 10.00 19.00  
7  HOLD YOUR LIQUOR 7 5 82½ 74   86 916¾ (buttig)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 6.00 ★ 20.95  
 
FE-8   07/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:131 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WINGS OF VICTORY 4 5 41½ 41¼ 41¼ 11½ 18 (lafond r)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00 7.50  
4  PATIO PARTY 2 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 21½ 28 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 6.00 16% 5.30 11.20 P
5  MAXIMUM DANGER 3 3 3½ 3.2 3.2 31½ 39 (leblanc )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 0.85  
9  PAPERBACK HERO 7 7 68½ 69¾ 66¼ 53½ 410¼ (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
2  PARTY OF NO 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 42 511 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 5% 19.00 12.25  
8  QUIET WYATT 6 4 52½ 51¾ 53¼ 63¾ 612¼ (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 118 3.00 4.00  
7  MORE HARDER 5 6 79½ 714¾ 714¾ 76¾ 712¾ (hoad lindsey)MORENO OMAR 118 20.00 48.30  
SCR  SILENT FIRE (ARG)               (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 10.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  SYNCHROMESH               (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.