Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:231 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAXMI 3 1 13 15   14 1 (jolin chris)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 11% 8.00 2.05 W
SPEEDY FIRE 5 4 3 46   24 2 (mitchell m)HEIN NICOLE 115 2.00 39% 1.60 2.35 P
NEW YORK MINT 1 2 56 57   4 3 (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 18.40 S
WORDS OF GOLD 4 5 23 25   3 412¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 3.40  
BEARTHESTORM 2 3 44 35   57 512¾ (mustoe cindy)DAVID MICHAEL 115 4.50 21% 3.80 2.30  
 
FE-2   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFIA'S SLUGGER 3 2 3.2 2   1½ 16 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 0.65  
TOBRUK 4 1 4 45   44 26 (powell d)PALMER ALVIN 122 10.00 19% 4.30 10.65 P
WILEY O'RIELLY 2 3 2nk 33   3 3 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 22% 3.50 2.35 S
BALA FALLS 1 4 1nk 1   2½ 4 (warner k)SINGH S 120 4.50 3.60  
SCR  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR               (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
FE-3   07/05/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:23 :472       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHBURY 2 2 1½ 1   1½ 1½ (buttigieg kevin)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 32% 2.10 0.60 W
BLACK TAFFY 5 1 2½ 2   2½ 2½ (wieczorek kendra)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 5.40 P
PICTUREDAY JESSICA 3 5 44 47   43 3 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.70 S
OUR STORMY SOPHIA 6 3 32 3   33 46 (shirley luth)KING MARIE 118 12.00 49.20  
LAPIDARY 4 6 5 5   57 512 (ayres l)HEIN NICOLE 115 10.00 11% 8.10 26.00  
BELLE FEMME 7 4 6 710½   79 612 (williams)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 11% 8.10 13.70  
BETTY'S PASSION 1 7 7 6   6 715 (depaulo p)SINGH S 118 4.00 21.30  
 
FE-4   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLONDE ATTITUDE 3 7 6 6   21 14 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 22.10  
SUBZERO PLUS 7 3 5 43   31 24 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 4.00 36% 1.80 2.30 P
CASSIE'S RAINBOW 1 5 2nk 2   4 34 (davies ronald)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 8% 11.60 1.70 S
SNELL FLICKA 5 1 1nk 1   11 4 (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 5.00 31% 2.20 4.90  
MARTINI SUE 2 6 4 54   5 5 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00 31.05  
STORMY SUZIE 4 4 7 7   7 6 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 18.90  
ROSIEJEWEL DANCER 6 2 3 3   6 713 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 3.05  
 
FE-5   07/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD VENTURE 3 4 3½ 1nk   1 1½ (wills da)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 1.00  
ANTE UP ALEX 4 1 4 4   2 2½ (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 122 2.00 1.95 P
FINAL STRIKE 5 3 54 32   33 3 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 13.85  
WILD RIVER WOLF 1 5 1nk 2nk   4 412½ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 30% 2.40 5.65  
UNION COLONEL 2 2 2nk 55   513½ 525 (newland george)SINGH S 120 4.00 33% 2.00 5.30  
SCR  SOCIETY JOE               (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00    
SCR  STRIBLING               (newland george)HUSBANDS P 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
 
FE-6   07/05/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:222 :462       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAVERICK MAN 4 7 65 67   4 11 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 3.05  
RED MAPLE 2 1 2½ 2½   1nk 21 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 22% 3.60 2.50 P
ARTIE MY BOY 1 6 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 44% 1.30 6.50 S
PENNIESFROMABOVE 6 3 33 34   3 4 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 115 10.00 21.60  
JOCULARITY 7 4 54 46   53 5 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 3.00 7% 12.90 2.30  
SKILLS TEST 8 8 8 811¼   7 6 (agostino ge)DAVID MICHAEL 113 6.00 8.10  
JMR AWESOM SILENCE 3 2 44 56   6 7 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 120 10.00 37.30  
SILENCIUM 5 5 76 711   810¾ 813¼ (capi m)HEIN NICOLE 113 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
SCR  ABSTEMIOUS               (warner k)SINGH S 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.