Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YORK MINT Jun14         (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 ★    
2  BEARTHESTORM         (mustoe cindy)DAVID MICHAEL 115 4.50 21% 3.80    
3  LAXMI Jun27 Jun07       (jolin chris)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 11% 8.00    
4  WORDS OF GOLD Jun14         (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 ★    
5  SPEEDY FIRE Jun14 May12 Apr23 Jan30   (mitchell m)HEIN NICOLE 115 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
FE-2   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALA FALLS Jun28 Jun13       (warner k)SINGH S 120 4.50 ★    
2  WILEY O'RIELLY Jun13         (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR Jun27 Jun13 May08 Apr25 Apr12 (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
4  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Jun28 Jun14       (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.80 ★    
5  TOBRUK Jun13 May31       (powell)PALMER ALVIN 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
FE-3   07/05/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTY'S PASSION Jun23 May26       (depaulo p)SINGH S 118 4.00    
2  ASHBURY Jun13         (buttigieg kev)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  PICTUREDAY JESSICA Jun23 May15 May06     (powell a)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  LAPIDARY         (ayres l)HEIN NICOLE 115 10.00 11% 8.10    
5  BLACK TAFFY Jun07 May19 Apr23 Apr16   (wieczorek kendr)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 ★    
6  OUR STORMY SOPHIA Jun27 Jun14 May31 Apr16   (shirley luthia)SALLES LEO 118 12.00    
7  BELLE FEMME Jun02         (willia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
 
FE-4   07/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Jun28 Jun14 May31     (davies ronald)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 8% 11.60    
2  MARTINI SUE Jun27 Jun14       (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 122 15.00    
3  BLONDE ATTITUDE Jun27 Jun14 May31     (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 ★    
4  STORMY SUZIE Jun14         (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00    
5  SNELL FLICKA May31         (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  ROSIEJEWEL DANCER Jun13 May31       (raghunath ravend)SALLES LEO 122 2.00 ★    
7  SUBZERO PLUS Jun27 Jun14       (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 117 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
FE-5   07/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD RIVER WOLF Jun21 Jun13 Jun05 May22 May01 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  UNION COLONEL Jun19         (newland george)SINGH S 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SOCIETY JOE Jun19 May06       (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00    
SCR  STRIBLING Jun24 Jun04 Feb03 Jan07   (newland george)HUSBANDS P 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
5  GOLD VENTURE Jun14         (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 ★    
6  ANTE UP ALEX Jun19 May26       (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 122 2.00 ★    
7  FINAL STRIKE Jun28 Jun14 May20     (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
 
FE-6   07/05/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABSTEMIOUS         (warner k)SINGH S 118 10.00    
2  ARTIE MY BOY         (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
3  RED MAPLE Jun14 May31 May06 Apr17   (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  JMR AWESOM SILENCE Jun13         (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00    
5  MAVERICK MAN         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
6  SILENCIUM Jun21 Jun07       (capi m)HEIN NICOLE 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PENNIESFROMABOVE         (steer tom)MAILHOT P 115 10.00    
8  JOCULARITY Mar16 Feb15 Feb02     (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 3.00 7% 12.90    
9  SKILLS TEST Jun21 May31 May07 Apr24   (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 113 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.