Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:141 1:411   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FEDERAL LAW 2 3 36½ 32 21 12 17¼ (warner k)SINGH S 122 4.00 55% 0.80 1.45 W
6  SEAL TEAM TWO 5 1 13½ 11 11 22 27¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 11% 8.50 1.90 P
1  CONQUER THE BREEZE 1 2 57½ 510 510 47½ 39 (simms c)WENC C 122 15.00 29.55  
4  KEEP GOING 4 5 23½ 21 33½ 36½ 412¾ (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 122 2.50 13% 6.60 5.50  
3  GIANT MINE 3 4 47½ 45 46½ 59½ 519 (hoad lindsey)DAVID MICHAEL 117 10.00 ★ 2.75  
SCR  KOZY KAT               (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 112 3.00 ★    
 
FE-2   07/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOUEMMA 2 4 2nk 2nk   11 12½ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.50 15% 5.50 1.60 W
1  SHOW SOME SKIN 1 3 1nk 1nk   21 22½ (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 ★ 11.55 P
4  HASN'T HIT ME YET 4 1 3.2 31   34 36¼ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 ★ 3.70 S
3  PENETANGUISHENE 3 2 43¼ 43   46½ 410½ (agostino geor)HOYTE JASON 120 1.60 53% 0.90 0.85  
SCR  GIMBALA               (simms c)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 ★    
 
FE-3   07/12/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:132     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAILIN STREET 2 2 21½ 2nk   11 12½ (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 ★ 1.45  
4  JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH 4 4 33 32   21 22½ (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 ★ 5.55 P
5  SALT MINE TEDDY 5 6 69 66¼   32½ 32½ (loescher paula)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00 31.30  
3  LIVERPOOL MAN 3 3 44 54¾   43½ 43¼ (fournier)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.80 42% 1.40 2.10  
6  DIAMONDBACK 6 5 55 42¼   54½ 511½ (wieczorek kendra)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 21% 3.80 2.75  
1  AMERICAN DRIVEN 1 1 11½ 1nk   69½ 624¾ (loescher paul)WENC C 118 10.00 13% 6.70 38.00  
 
FE-4   07/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THELONIOUS 2 3 41½ 41½   1nk 12½ (raghunath raven)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 12% 7.10 3.75 W
6  THY KINGDOM 6 1 3½ 11   2nk 22½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 52% 0.90 4.15 P
3  FLEX 3 5 61¾ 62¾   31½ 33 (robillard julie)HEIN NICOLE 113 2.50 7% 12.40 3.60 S
5  STRONG ATTITUDE 5 4 1nk 21   42½ 47¼ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 4.50 ★ 6.60  
1  READY AT DAWN 1 6 51¾ 52½   54 510 (ezra daryl)DAVID MICHAEL 115 6.00 ★ 1.60  
4  KING OF AWESOME 4 2 2nk 31   65½ 612¼ (albu k)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 5.00 12.20  
 
FE-5   07/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:224 :452       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  M V SPEED 5 1 1nk 1nk   11 13½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 ★ 2.55  
2  VOYANT 2 2 2nk 2nk   21 23½ (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 21% 3.80 1.30 P
1  GUNZIG STINGER 1 4 42¾ 34   33½ 36½ (rabste)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 21% 3.90 2.55 S
3  TRINITY THUNDAH 3 6 54¾ 59   46½ 411¾ (powell a)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 17% 4.80 34.40  
6  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 6 5 65¾ 613   610½ 514 (simms jo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 10.65  
4  TWICE AS SMART 4 3 3.2 46   58 618¾ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 ★ 8.95  
 
FE-6   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MOBILIZER 6 3 51¾ 32   1½ 11¾ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 2.00 31% 2.20 3.90 W
3  NO EASY ROAD 3 2 2nk 11   2½ 21¾ (siddo barrington)HEIN NICOLE 115 4.00 ★ 2.05 P
5  C BY THE SEA 5 1 1nk 21   31½ 35 (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 ★ 10.65 S
1  MISS D'S PRIDE 1 6 67¾ 55½   43½ 49¾ (albu k)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 8.00 5% 19.00 18.55  
2  SON OF MY FATHER 2 4 41¼ 65½   56 516½ (lafond r)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.00 41% 1.50 0.95  
4  ZIJJ RUNNER 4 5 3.2 43½   69 622¼ (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 118 6.00 29.20  
SCR  RADCLIFFE               (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 10.00    
 
FE-7   07/12/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:53
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SAVVY'S SISTER 4 3 32 32   11 11¾ (loescher paul)WENC C 120 3.00 35% 1.90 1.00 W
6  SWEET FINALE 6 5 54 55   42½ 21¾ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 16% 5.10 9.05 P
1  FOR KICKS 1 6 68 67   32½ 32 (robillard julie)HEIN NICOLE 113 10.00 9% 10.10 14.10 S
3  LOADED ONCE MORE 3 2 11 1½   21 43½ (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 15.15  
2  MS. P'S BELLA 2 1 43½ 43½   53 54½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 ★ 3.45  
5  JUNGLE GODDESS 5 4 21 2½   68 620 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 ★ 2.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.