Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - July 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :452       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JARA 2 2 2½ 23   22 12 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 17% 4.80 2.65 W
1  DETERMINED LOVE 1 1 1½ 13   12 22 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 1.40 ★ 0.75 P
4  HOLD THE APPLAUSE 4 3 33 35½   33½ 32 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 ★ 4.10 S
3  ZOYSIA 3 5 57 410½   47 48 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 16% 5.20 21.80  
5  POLAR APPEAL 5 4 46 511½   58½ 59½ (mileni nick)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 37% 1.70 6.90  
 
FE-2   07/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TORPEDO MAX 2 3 1nk 12   12 15¼ (voyce jeff)KING MARIE 120 1.20 47% 1.10 0.30 W
3  LOQUACIOUS 3 5 58 57   44 25¼ (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 26% 2.90 4.60 P
1  CAPTAIN SIDNEY 1 2 2nk 22   22 35¼ (carter doug)MORENO OMAR 120 6.00 ★ 7.60 S
5  NIGHT WATCHMAN 5 1 42½ 43½   34 49¼ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 ★ 7.45  
4  GASCONADE 4 4 31½ 33   56½ 520¼ (lafond e)SALLES LEO 118 10.00 ★ 18.75  
 
FE-3   07/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUN FORESTER 1 5 77¾ 710¼ 76¼ 3.2 11½ (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50 38% 1.60 3.70 W
2  SAMUEL H 2 2 23½ 24 21½ 1nk 21½ (wills daniel)CRAWFORD J 120 2.00 17% 5.00 2.30 P
5  SYNCHROMESH 5 7 54¼ 56 45 4¼ 31¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 ★ 2.20 S
3  PARTY OF NO 3 4 44 46 33 2nk 41¾ (bailey j)SALLES LEO 118 12.00 9% 10.10 10.95  
7  TRINITY THUNDAH 7 6 64¼ 66¼ 55 51¾ 56½ (powell a)SINGH S 120 10.00 8% 11.30 10.15  
4  READY AT DAWN 4 1 13½ 14 11½ 62¾ 617¾ (ezra daryl)DAVID MICHAEL 115 4.00 4.55  
6  EXECUTIVE HOLIDAY 6 3 33½ 34½ 65¼ 77¾ 723 (albu ken)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 30.70  
 
FE-4   07/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:134     1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GLITTER MOUNTAIN 3 4 1nk 1½   11 1¼ (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 ★ 1.90  
1  JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH 1 3 41¼ 63¼   41¼ 2¼ (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 ★ 11.20 P
5  RAYO COLORADO 5 1 2nk 32   31 33 (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 3.00 18% 4.50 3.35 S
4  KEEP GOING 4 5 61¾ 52¼   52¾ 45 (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 120 6.00 7.15  
2  FRAT PARTY 2 6 51¼ 42   21 55¾ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 120 10.00 11% 7.90 35.20  
6  ITMAKESMEWONDER 6 2 3.2 2½   64¼ 614 (voyce jeff)SINGH S 120 1.80 29% 2.40 1.45  
 
FE-5   07/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DANCE TO THE BEACH 4 3 32 21½   1½ 1½ (fairlie h)SINGH S 122 1.60 38% 1.60 0.20 W
1  DAZZLING DIVA 1 5 44½ 31½   2½ 2½ (albu k)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 2.50 ★ 5.65 P
5  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 5 1 12 11½   33½ 35½ (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 27% 2.70 4.95 S
3  GRAZARION 3 2 22 44½   47 48¾ (steer tom)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 10% 8.90 22.25  
2  DOODLE DANDY 2 4 55 58   510 512¾ (hoad lindsey)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 ★ 44.80  
 
FE-6   07/04/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROYAL BIZ 3 2 32 22   1nk 1nk (siddo barrington)HEIN NICOLE 115 20.00 5% 19.00 2.90 W
8  WONNEFRAC 7 4 43½ 33½   31½ 2nk (raghunath raven)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00 ★ 8.90 P
1  LOVE THAT MADISON 1 3 12 12   2nk 31¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 13% 6.50 1.00 S
4  CLIFF LANDING 4 7 58½ 58½   56½ 45 (wills daniel)SINGH S 120 8.00 ★ 18.10  
6  SON OF MY FATHER 5 1 22 43½   43½ 55½ (lafond renico )NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 15.00 3.20  
2  SPIRIT SOUL BODY 2 6 712½ 713   610½ 68¾ (williams a)GOBAY WILBERT 118 15.00 20.40  
7  I'M SO FLY 6 5 69½ 612   712 713¼ (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 116 20.00 40.25  
SCR  STORMY STELLA               (goldenberg jame)DAVID MICHAEL 108 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  TARASUS               (parente pat)SALLES LEO 116 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.