Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUMMER RETREAT 5 1 1nk 11½   11½ 12¼ (adamo anthony)PINTO MELANIE 122 1.60 33% 2.00 1.05 W
3  SOFIA'S SLUGGER 3 2 2nk 21½   21½ 22¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 ★ 5.95 P
4  OVERBEARING 4 3 56½ 59   57 33¾ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 20% 4.00 4.15 S
1  BIG TIME LOUIE 1 5 45½ 34½   33 44½ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.75  
2  GASCONADE 2 4 33 45   45 56¼ (lafond e)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 ★ 30.30  
 
FE-2   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LUNATICA 6 4 21 21   1nk 11 (wieczore)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 5% 17.50 32.40 W
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY 3 3 11 11   2nk 21 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 1.40 ★ 0.65 P
1  CRUMLIN JET 1 2 44 34½   32½ 33 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 ★ 5.55 S
2  HALTON 2 5 55½ 56½   45 46½ (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 28% 2.60 3.80  
4  WICKED LITTLE GIRL 4 6 68½ 611   610 515¼ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 43% 1.30 4.85  
5  LAPIDARY 5 1 33 46½   58½ 616¼ (ayres l)RAMSAMMY E 120 20.00 18.15  
 
FE-3   08/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:401   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CONQUER THE BREEZE 4 3 21 2½ 1½ 11 1½ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 9% 10.00 23.05 W
3  CINNAMONJAWBREAKER 3 1 11 1½ 2½ 21 2½ (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 2.00 ★ 1.00 P
6  BOCELLI (IRE) 6 2 45 31½ 34 33 32 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 8.00 20% 4.00 6.10 S
2  DOODLE DANDY 2 5 511 58½ 57 45½ 45¾ (hoad lindse)WENC C 115 5.00 14.50  
1  MORE HARDER 1 6 614½ 610 69½ 56 56½ (hoad lindsey)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 ★ 2.10  
5  HEY MICKEY 5 4 34 41½ 47 617 623 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.50 39% 1.60 5.75  
 
FE-4   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:223 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WONNEFRAC 5 1 1nk 1½   12 12¾ (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 2.10  
6  READY AT DAWN 4 2 42½ 34½   34 22¾ (ezra daryl)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 ★ 4.20 P
2  ARTIE MY BOY 1 4 2nk 2½   22 33¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 32% 2.10 1.55 S
4  TRINITY THUNDAH 2 5 57 57½   46½ 44½ (powell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 115 5.00 29% 2.40 4.60  
5  KATZ THE MUSIC 3 3 32 45½   58½ 513¼ (sullivan e)KING MARIE 120 3.00 6% 15.50 6.85  
SCR  ABSTEMIOUS               (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART               (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 120 12.00    
 
FE-5   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:223 :452 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI KIMMY 1 3 1½ 11½   12 12 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 25% 3.00 0.85 W
5  MISS TEA BLONDE 5 7 77 68½   43½ 22 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 13.00  
6  MARTINI SUE 6 6 66 78½   65 34¾ (powell)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 10.00 27.40  
7  MISS SURPRISE 7 2 2½ 21½   22 45¼ (sull)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 39% 1.60 3.95  
2  J M R BOLD VISION 2 4 44 46   54 55¾ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 ★ 24.75  
3  ROSIEJEWEL DANCER 3 1 33 35   33 66¼ (raghun)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★ 3.00  
4  SUBZERO PLUS 4 5 55 57½   75 78½ (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 122 4.00 11% 8.00 11.80  
 
FE-6   08/22/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221         :221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PERFECT GENTLEMAN 2 1       1nk 1hd (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 ★ 2.05  
1  RED MAPLE 1 5       2nk 2hd (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 16% 5.30 3.75 P
3  BIG BAND BENNY 3 2       3.2 3½ (jolin chri)KING MARIE 118 3.00 24% 3.20 2.80 S
6  STERLING ICE 6 3       4¾ 41¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 36% 1.80 3.55  
4  GIZMO FLASH 4 4       51¼ 52½ (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 115 6.00 ★ 21.85  
5  MY FINAL TRICK 5 6       62¾ 63¾ (hasmatali dary)JOHNSON KIRK 115 5.00 5.90  
 
FE-7   08/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOADED ONCE MORE 3 3 23½ 25   1nk 12 (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 1.75  
6  CEEBETT'S BOW 5 1 47 513½   54 22 (neubauer mich)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00 17.90  
5  MS. P'S BELLA 4 5 57 410½   43 33 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 7% 14.30 7.00 S
2  SWEET FINALE 2 4 34 36   31½ 43¾ (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.85  
9  FUN COOL 6 2 13½ 15   2nk 53¾ (voyce )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 3.50 36% 1.80 2.85  
1  GOT A GOOD REASON 1 6 611 615½   67 6100 (mcmu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00 15.00  
SCR  FOR KICKS               (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00    
SCR  REIGN BY REIN               (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  SPEAK ENGLISH               (holder renal)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 8.00 ★    
 
FE-8   08/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLACK SUN 2 4 56¾ 34½   2½ 1nk (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 120 1.00 72% 0.40 0.25 W
3  GUS'S GAMBLE 3 1 12 11½   1½ 2nk (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 ★ 5.50 P
5  LETS SAY THIS 5 3 22 21½   31½ 34¼ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.50 ★ 9.00 S
6  HIGH RESERVE 6 2 46½ 510½   45 412 (williams noel)JOHNSON DEVON 118 15.00 ★ 22.05  
1  RUSHING RIVER 1 6 612¾ 614½   57½ 518¾ (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 20.00 11.85  
4  SHOOT FORTHE MONEY 4 5 36½ 48   68½ 638½ (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 ★ 19.50  
 
FE-9   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:153 1:433   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLEEKA 3 7 78½ 66 21½ 12 15½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00 8.55  
5  SHE AINT NO JOKE 5 3 4¼ 1½ 11½ 22 25½ (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 6% 17.10 3.20 P
2  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 2 1 53¼ 55 46 35 38¼ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 3.50 11% 8.10 3.05 S
4  SMART IRENE 4 6 68¼ 76¼ 68½ 47½ 412¼ (albu ken)WENC C 118 8.00 18.20  
8  ONLY BELIEVE 6 4 2nk 2½ 33½ 58 518¾ (co)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 6.20  
10  PRINCESS LAVENDER 7 5 3.2 3½ 56 69 620¾ (rabstein claudi)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 ★ 2.00  
1  MY LAST DREAM 1 2 1nk 42 78¾ 719 739 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 6.00 9.45  
SCR  HIPPIE CHICK               (tomlin)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  SILENT BUT VIOLENT               (wills daniel)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  WICKEN CENTS               (bennett d)SINGH S 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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