Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME LOUIE Aug02 Jun27 Jun07     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  GASCONADE Jul31 Jul04 May19 May07   (lafond e)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 ★    
3  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 ★    
4  OVERBEARING Jul19 Jun28 Jun13 May31 Mar05 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  SUMMER RETREAT Jul26 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 Jun07 (adamo anthon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
FE-2   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUMLIN JET Aug09 Jul17       (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 ★    
2  HALTON Aug01 Jul17       (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  VERMONT HOLIDAY Aug08 Jul19 Jun30 Jun12 May26 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 1.40 ★    
4  WICKED LITTLE GIRL         (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  LAPIDARY Aug08 Jul05       (ayres l)RAMSAMMY E 120 20.00    
6  LUNATICA         (wieczore)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 5% 17.50    
 
FE-3   08/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE HARDER Aug14 Jul26 Jul19 Jul01 Jun19 (hoad lindsey)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 ★    
2  DOODLE DANDY Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 Jun19   (hoad lindse)WENC C 115 5.00    
3  CINNAMONJAWBREAKER Aug08 Aug01 Jul10 Jun23 May26 (loescher paul)HERNANDEZ K 118 2.00 ★    
4  CONQUER THE BREEZE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 May31 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 9% 10.00    
5  HEY MICKEY Aug04 Jun23 Jun03     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  BOCELLI (IRE) Aug14 Jul25 Jun19 May22   (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABSTEMIOUS         (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 8.00 6% 15.70    
2  ARTIE MY BOY Jul25 Jul05       (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART Aug08 Jul12 Jun18 Jun10 May20 (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 120 12.00    
4  TRINITY THUNDAH Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 (powell a)HEIN NICOLE 115 5.00 29% 2.40    
5  KATZ THE MUSIC May16 Apr25 Apr15     (sullivan e)KING MARIE 120 3.00 6% 15.50    
6  READY AT DAWN Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jul04 Jun21 (ezra daryl)MORENO OMAR 118 6.00 ★    
7  WONNEFRAC Aug09 Jul26 Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 (ceccato sharo)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
 
FE-5   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANGHAI KIMMY Aug09 Jul25 Jun14 May07 Feb26 (siddo barrington)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  J M R BOLD VISION Jul25 Jul17 Jun27 Jun07 May07 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 ★    
3  ROSIEJEWEL DANCER Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 May31   (raghun)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 ★    
4  SUBZERO PLUS Aug08 Jul11 Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 (powell a)GOBAY WILBERT 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
5  MISS TEA BLONDE Aug09 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00    
6  MARTINI SUE Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun27 Jun14 (powell)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 10.00    
7  MISS SURPRISE Jul25 Jun28 Jun14 May16 Apr09 (sull)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
FE-6   08/22/2022 1320ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MAPLE Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14 May31 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
2  PERFECT GENTLEMAN Aug08 Jul26 Jul17 Jun19 Jun07 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 ★    
3  BIG BAND BENNY Jul26 Jul17 Jun21 Jun07   (jolin chri)KING MARIE 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  GIZMO FLASH Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27   (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 115 6.00 ★    
5  MY FINAL TRICK Jul28 Jul08 Jun28 Jun10 May08 (hasmatali daryl)HOYTE JASON 115 5.00    
6  STERLING ICE Jul26 Jul17 Jun19 May31   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
FE-7   08/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT A GOOD REASON Aug09 Jun25 Jun04 May13 Apr09 (mcmu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00    
2  SWEET FINALE Aug08 Jul12 Jun27     (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  LOADED ONCE MORE Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun07 (meli salvatore)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00    
SCR  FOR KICKS Aug08 Jul12 Jun14     (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 10.00    
5  MS. P'S BELLA Aug02 Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 Jun13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 7% 14.30    
6  CEEBETT'S BOW Aug01 Jul17 Jun13     (neubauer mich)HERNANDEZ K 118 8.00    
SCR  SPEAK ENGLISH Aug04 Jul14 Jun09 May26 Mar06 (holder renal)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  REIGN BY REIN Jul17 Jun18 May26     (ezra d)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 8% 11.60    
9  FUN COOL Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun30 May26 (voyce jeff)HEIN NICOLE 113 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
FE-8   08/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSHING RIVER Jul26         (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 20.00    
2  BLACK SUN Aug05 Jul14       (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 120 1.00 72% 0.40    
3  GUS'S GAMBLE Jul26 Jul19 Jun28     (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 3.00 ★    
4  SHOOT FORTHE MONEY Jul26         (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 6.00 ★    
5  LETS SAY THIS Jul26         (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.50 ★    
6  HIGH RESERVE Aug01 Jun28 Jun14     (williams noel)JOHNSON DEVON 118 15.00 ★    
 
FE-9   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.522K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LAST DREAM Aug16 Jul26 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 6.00    
2  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Aug09 Jul19 Jun12 May15   (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
3  FLEEKA Aug09 Aug01 Jul21 Jun25   (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 5.00    
4  SMART IRENE Aug08 Jul19 Jul09     (albu ken)WENC C 118 8.00    
5  SHE AINT NO JOKE Aug01 Jul25 Jun13 May31   (rabste)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 4.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  SILENT BUT VIOLENT Aug09 Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (wills daniel)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  WICKEN CENTS Aug09 Jun27 Jun14 May31   (bennett d)SINGH S 118 10.00    
8  ONLY BELIEVE Jul26 Jul19 Jun27 May31   (corbett br)MANGALEE RICHARD 120 15.00    
SCR  HIPPIE CHICK Aug14 Jul19 Jul09 Jun14 May31 (tomlin)ALDERSON IAN 120 15.00 5% 18.00    
10  PRINCESS LAVENDER Aug11 Jul19 Jun27 May31   (rabstein claudi)MORENO OMAR 118 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.