Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:221 :454       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIGH SOCIETY GIRL 6 5 3½ 2½   21 1¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.30 W
3  CRUMLIN EXPRESS 3 4 1½ 1½   11 2¾ (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 31% 2.30 4.75 P
5  FUN COOL 5 6 53 33½   32½ 33¼ (voyce jeff)MORENO OMAR 118 2.00 ★ 2.20 S
1  EVER SO D'WILD 1 2 64 67   54 43¼ (jennings alison)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 ★ 4.50  
4  KOZY KAT 4 3 42 55   64½ 55 (newlan)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 17.75  
2  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA 2 1 2½ 43½   44 66½ (loescher paula)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 9% 9.70 16.45  
 
FE-2   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:223 :453 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAO DE QUEIJO 1 3 1nk 1nk   11½ 13¼ (sullivan)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 22% 3.60 3.45 W
3  GIMBALA 3 1 3½ 2nk   21½ 23¼ (simms c)CRAWFORD J 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.05 P
2  LOUEMMA 2 2 2nk 3.2   32½ 35 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 15% 5.50 3.30 S
4  SHOW SOME SKIN 4 4 41½ 43¾   46½ 410½ (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 ★ 6.05  
5  GOLDEN GARTER 5 5 53 55¼   58 515¾ (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.00 ★ 6.90  
 
FE-3   08/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.756K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:123 1:394   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BREATHLESSNTHESAND 2 2 12 11½ 11½ 11 11 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 ★ 3.35  
3  FOUR KNIGHTS 3 3 22 21½ 21½ 21 21 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 ★ 4.00 P
1  JEGOS FIRE 1 4 33 32½ 33 32 31¼ (holder tedston)HEIN NICOLE 113 2.50 14% 5.90 3.40 S
5  MALIBU MAX 5 5 55 52¾ 43½ 44½ 410¼ (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 4.50 53% 0.90 1.10  
6  FEDERAL LAW 6 1 43 42½ 55 57½ 516¾ (warner k)MAILHOT P 118 5.00 ★ 18.65  
4  GIANT MINE 4 6 67 66¾ 68½ 611 629¾ (hoad lindsey)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 35.65  
 
FE-4   08/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:122     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE NO MISTAKE (IRE) 1 6 5½ 2nk   1nk 12¼ (krczmar zelko)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 48% 1.10 3.10 W
2  PINO IN A PURSE 2 5 4¼ 1nk   2nk 22¼ (griffith)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 8% 12.00 14.10 P
4  HASN'T HIT ME YET 4 3 62½ 53   41¾ 33¼ (maynard desm)KING MARIE 120 12.00 30.80  
8  DREAMINOFPASSION 6 4 3.2 3½   3.2 43¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 6.00 4.80  
3  APPOINTED 3 2 1nk 41   53¾ 512½ (newland george)HEIN NICOLE 115 3.00 21% 3.90 0.75  
6  GRAND PRIZE 5 1 2nk 65   66¼ 617½ (sulliv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 6.35  
SCR  CAPOEIRA               (ezra daryl)WENC C 118 15.00 ★    
SCR  FRERET               (fournier mark)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 ★    
 
FE-5   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.168K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHROMA 3 7 23 23   2½ 11¾ (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 118 6.00 15% 5.50 3.20 W
1  SEAQUELLE 1 1 13 13   1½ 21¾ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 26% 2.80 2.80 P
5  PAPA'S SILVER 5 4 54½ 35½   32½ 36¾ (maynard desmond)JOHNSON DEVON 120 4.00 5% 17.20 4.75 S
2  PICTUREDAY JESSICA 2 2 76½ 69½   67 414¼ (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 118 12.00 7.45  
4  LIGHTS AND SIRENS 4 3 33 46½   46 514¼ (wieczorek kendra)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 26% 2.80 18.25  
6  PRINCESS SOLITAIRE 6 6 44 56½   56 615 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 118 2.50 ★ 3.20  
7  MY LAST DREAM 7 5 65 710½   710½ 719½ (maynard desm)KING MARIE 120 5.00 6.95  
 
FE-6   08/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :452 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JACK BEANSTALK 5 1 21 1nk   11½ 11 (maynard desm)KING MARIE 120 8.00 ★ 4.65  
5  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 4 5 44 33½   21½ 21 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 8% 12.30 2.15 P
2  FAFA FOOEY 1 4 57½ 57   53¼ 35 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 31% 2.20 1.55 S
4  GLITTER MOUNTAIN 3 2 33½ 44½   43 45 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 11.85  
3  TORPEDO MAX 2 3 11 2nk   31½ 56¼ (keen howard)MORENO OMAR 120 4.00 36% 1.70 3.05  
SCR  ARI GOLD SPEEDWAGN               (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.60 ★    
 
FE-7   08/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:53
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:121     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LETTING LOOSE 3 3 44 45½   1nk 11½ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 3.40  
2  CLASSY MISTRESS 2 6 710 715   73¾ 21½ (meli salvato)KING MARIE 115 10.00 14.50  
7  ENGLISH CLASSIC 6 5 69 612   53 34½ (carter d)ALDERSON IAN 120 6.00 11% 8.30 24.20 S
8  ANTE UP ALEX 7 1 55½ 57   42 45 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 17% 5.00 1.45  
5  ORPHAN HALLIE 4 7 32½ 22   31½ 56 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 6% 15.70 4.30  
6  BAHAMIAN DUDE 5 2 1nk 12   2nk 67½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 44% 1.30 8.05  
1  COMMANDER TOM 1 4 2nk 33   63½ 710½ (raghunat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 ★ 4.90  
SCR  MOBILIZER               (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 10.00    
 
FE-8   08/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($20.874K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:13     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ARTIE'S ALL IN 4 4 1½ 13   11½ 12 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 118 20.00 9% 10.40 22.35 W
3  MR. DYNAMIC 1 7 56 33   21½ 22 (raghunath ravendra)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 2.25  
4  INNUENDO (IRE) 2 6 77 610¼   44 32¾ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 5.00 ★ 2.25 S
8  OMEGNA 5 3 33½ 23   33 46¾ (bird alan)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 9.35  
6  MISS D'S PRIDE 3 5 2½ 43¼   55 513½ (albu ken)WENC C 118 12.00 36.10  
10  SUMMER HARRY 7 2 45½ 56¾   66 614½ (villeneu)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 16% 5.10 2.85  
9  DYNAMIC MISSION 6 1 67 711¼   78 715½ (rabstein claudi)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 15% 5.80 4.85  
SCR  BEAUFORT               (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  GOGO GABRIEL               (chudobiak gary)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00    
SCR  SANTIAGO SALSA               (capi m)JOHNSON KIRK 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.