Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTCALLMESWEETY 4 3 2½ 11   12 14 (newland george)PINTO MELANIE 113 3.50 5.80  
BEST AND FINAL 5 2 42 4   32 24 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 1.80 41% 1.50 1.10 P
NO MORE 3 1 3½ 32   22 34 (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 7.80 S
WAR DOCTOR 1 5 1½ 21   4 4 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.35  
I'M SO FLY 2 4 5 5   5 513½ (humber j)PALMER ALVIN 118 5.00 19.45  
 
FE-2   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:232 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIBLING 2 1 12 1   1½ 1nk (newland george)SINGH S 120 1.80 43% 1.30 0.95 W
PAPERBACK HERO 3 3 22 2   2½ 2nk (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 1.45 P
THY KINGDOM 4 2 3 3   31 31 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00 27% 2.70 3.75 S
KING OF AWESOME 1 4 4 4   47 411¾ (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 15.00 10.80  
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE               (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 118 5.00    
SCR  JOCULARITY               (dixon patrick)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00    
SCR  VERRAZANO LEGACY               (rabstein claudi)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
 
FE-3   08/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:26 :494 1:153     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY OF NO 5 2 11 1½   11 1 (bailey j)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 3.50  
SILENT FIRE (ARG) 8 5 3 3½   3 2 (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 8% 10.80 3.05 P
SAMUEL H 7 1 21 2½   4 3 (wills daniel)HEIN NICOLE 113 4.00 50% 1.00 3.20 S
SYNCHROMESH 6 8 53 4¾   21 4 (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 2.00  
TRINITY THUNDAH 1 7 66 6   75 5 (powell dale )KING MARIE 120 10.00 6% 15.40 21.35  
BOCELLI (IRE) 4 3 4 5   6 6 (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 15.00 8% 11.10 27.95  
MORE HARDER 3 4 810 8   86 7 (hoad lindsey)WENC C 118 8.00 24.90  
SALT MINE TEDDY 2 6 77 7   5 86 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 17.55  
SCR  HEY MICKEY               (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00    
 
FE-4   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:13 1:404   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALMING INFLUENCE 5 3 3 3 31 21 1 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 4.75  
LIVERPOOL MAN 6 4 54 5 43 32 2 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 17% 4.80 1.90 P
UNDEFILED 2 2 2 2½ 2½ 4 3 (tharreno)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 38% 1.60 4.15 S
DIAMONDBACK 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 4 (wieczorek kendr)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 7% 13.50 6.05  
COCOTARA 8 8 8 811 89 56 5 (mcdo)BOULANGER CHANCE 115 3.00 10.75  
JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH 3 5 65 77 7 78 611¾ (ceccato sharon)HEIN NICOLE 115 20.00 15.40  
THELONIOUS 4 6 43 44 53 67 712½ (raghunath ravendra )MAILHOT P 118 6.00 6.60  
FINAL STRIKE 7 7 78 66 6 8100 8100 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 6% 15.30 12.05  
 
FE-5   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:222 :454       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHIANTI 6 4 3½ 3.2   11 11 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 1.15  
SHES ASTYLISH KATZ 4 3 4 5¾   32 21 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 7.75 P
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 2 1 1nk 2nk   21 32 (siddo barrington)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 48% 1.10 3.00 S
J M R GEMMA 7 7 5 4¾   53 4 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 8.00 19% 4.40 5.60  
DAZZLING DIVA 3 6 7 7   66 55 (albu ken)WENC C 118 4.00 7.30  
THE GREEN PLANET 5 5 2nk 1nk   43 69 (concessi armand)HEIN NICOLE 113 15.00 5% 19.00 14.45  
PESARO 1 2 6 6   7 712¼ (oliverre)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00 21.80  
SCR  CEEBETT'S BOW               (neubauer michae)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
SCR  CORA               (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 8% 11.60    
 
FE-6   08/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY'S SISTER 1 2 1 13   1 1 (loescher paul)WENC C 120 4.50 13% 6.60 1.25 W
BENADETTE'S LADY 3 1 4 4   2 2 (mandalfi)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 26% 2.90 8.60 P
TIZ MY RIGHT 6 6 3 34   45 3 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 8.00 5.40  
GIZMO'S PRINCESS 2 5 55 56   66 48 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 5% 17.50 2.10  
CASSIE'S RAINBOW 4 3 7 710½   56 511 (davies)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
NEW YORK MINT 5 4 2 23   3 614¾ (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 14.30  
HIPPIE CHICK 7 7 66 69   715 718 (tomlinson norma)JOHNSON DEVON 120 10.00 16.05  
SCR  STORMY DERBY DAY               (depaulo )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  STORMY SUZIE               (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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