Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DONTCALLMESWEETY 4 3 2½ 11   12 14 (newland georg)PINTO MELANIE 113 3.50 ★ 5.80  
5  BEST AND FINAL 5 2 42 44½   32 24 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 1.80 41% 1.50 1.10 P
3  NO MORE 3 1 3½ 32   22 34 (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 ★ 7.80 S
1  WAR DOCTOR 1 5 1½ 21   42¼ 47¾ (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 34% 1.90 1.35  
2  I'M SO FLY 2 4 54½ 58½   56¼ 513½ (humber)PALMER ALVIN 118 5.00 ★ 19.45  
 
FE-2   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:232 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STRIBLING 2 1 12 11½   1½ 1nk (newland george)SINGH S 120 1.80 43% 1.30 0.95 W
5  PAPERBACK HERO 3 3 22 21½   2½ 2nk (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 ★ 1.45 P
7  THY KINGDOM 4 2 32½ 32½   31 31 (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00 27% 2.70 3.75 S
2  KING OF AWESOME 1 4 46½ 48½   47 411¾ (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 15.00 10.80  
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE               (simms )ALDERSON IAN 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  JOCULARITY               (dixon patrick)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00 ★    
SCR  VERRAZANO LEGACY               (rabstein clau)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
 
FE-3   08/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:26 :494 1:153     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PARTY OF NO 5 2 11 1½   11 11½ (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 3.50  
8  SILENT FIRE (ARG) 8 5 31½ 3½   31½ 21½ (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 8% 10.80 3.05 P
7  SAMUEL H 7 1 21 2½   42½ 31¾ (wills daniel)HEIN NICOLE 113 4.00 50% 1.00 3.20 S
6  SYNCHROMESH 6 8 53 4¾   21 44¼ (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 ★ 2.00  
1  TRINITY THUNDAH 1 7 66 64¼   75 54¼ (powell dal)KING MARIE 120 10.00 6% 15.40 21.35  
4  BOCELLI (IRE) 4 3 42½ 52¼   64½ 65¼ (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 15.00 8% 11.10 27.95  
3  MORE HARDER 3 4 810 89¼   86 75½ (hoad lindse)WENC C 118 8.00 24.90  
2  SALT MINE TEDDY 2 6 77 74¼   54½ 86 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 17.55  
SCR  HEY MICKEY               (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00    
 
FE-4   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:13 1:404   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CALMING INFLUENCE 5 3 32½ 32½ 31 21 11¼ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 4.75  
6  LIVERPOOL MAN 6 4 54 55½ 43 32 21¼ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 17% 4.80 1.90 P
2  UNDEFILED 2 2 21½ 2½ 2½ 42½ 31¼ (tharre)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 38% 1.60 4.15 S
1  DIAMONDBACK 1 1 11½ 1½ 1½ 11 41¾ (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 7% 13.50 6.05  
8  COCOTARA 8 8 89½ 811 89 56 55¼ (mc)BOULANGER CHANCE 115 3.00 10.75  
3  JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH 3 5 65 77 77½ 78 611¾ (ceccato sharon)HEIN NICOLE 115 20.00 ★ 15.40  
4  THELONIOUS 4 6 43 44 53 67 712½ (raghunath ravendr)MAILHOT P 118 6.00 6.60  
7  FINAL STRIKE 7 7 78 66 66½ 8100 8100 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 6% 15.30 12.05  
 
FE-5   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:222 :454       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUPER CHIANTI 6 4 3½ 3.2   11 11 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 1.15  
5  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ 4 3 41½ 5¾   32 21 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 ★ 7.75 P
3  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 2 1 1nk 2nk   21 32 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 48% 1.10 3.00 S
9  J M R GEMMA 7 7 51¾ 4¾   53 43¾ (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 8.00 19% 4.40 5.60  
4  DAZZLING DIVA 3 6 78¾ 79¾   66 55 (albu ken)WENC C 118 4.00 7.30  
6  THE GREEN PLANET 5 5 2nk 1nk   43 69 (concessi armand)HEIN NICOLE 113 15.00 5% 19.00 14.45  
1  PESARO 1 2 62¾ 64¾   76¼ 712¼ (oliver)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00 21.80  
SCR  CEEBETT'S BOW               (neubauer mich)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
SCR  CORA               (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 8% 11.60    
 
FE-6   08/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:14     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY'S SISTER 1 2 11½ 13   12½ 14¼ (loescher pa)WENC C 120 4.50 13% 6.60 1.25 W
3  BENADETTE'S LADY 3 1 43½ 44½   22½ 24¼ (mandal)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 26% 2.90 8.60 P
6  TIZ MY RIGHT 6 6 32½ 34   45 35½ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 8.00 5.40  
2  GIZMO'S PRINCESS 2 5 55 56   66 48 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 5% 17.50 2.10  
4  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 4 3 76½ 710½   56 511 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
5  NEW YORK MINT 5 4 21½ 23   34½ 614¾ (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 14.30  
7  HIPPIE CHICK 7 7 66 69   715 718 (tomlinson nor)JOHNSON DEVON 120 10.00 16.05  
SCR  STORMY DERBY DAY               (depaul)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  STORMY SUZIE               (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.