Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - August 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR DOCTOR Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun24 Jun07 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  I'M SO FLY Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 Jun07   (humber)PALMER ALVIN 118 5.00 ★    
3  NO MORE Jul25 Jul11 Jun14     (humber joseph)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 ★    
4  DONTCALLMESWEETY Jul26 Jul08 May26 Apr23   (newland georg)PINTO MELANIE 113 3.50 ★    
5  BEST AND FINAL Aug02 Jul11 Jun07 Jan14   (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 1.80 41% 1.50    
 
FE-2   08/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VERRAZANO LEGACY Aug01         (rabstein clau)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
2  KING OF AWESOME Aug01 Jul12 Jun07     (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 15.00    
3  STRIBLING Jun24 Jun04 Feb03 Jan07   (newland george)SINGH S 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
SCR  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Aug04 Jul12 Jul01 Jun10 May13 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 118 5.00 ★    
5  PAPERBACK HERO Aug01 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07   (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  JOCULARITY Jul25 Jul05 Mar16 Feb15 Feb02 (dixon patrick)HEIN NICOLE 115 8.00 ★    
7  THY KINGDOM Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 Jun07   (albu ken)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00 27% 2.70    
 
FE-3   08/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.404K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRINITY THUNDAH Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 Jun13 Jun07 (powell dal)KING MARIE 120 10.00 6% 15.40    
2  SALT MINE TEDDY Aug01 Jul25 Jul12 Jun13 May31 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 118 6.00    
3  MORE HARDER Jul26 Jul19 Jul01 Jun19 Jun10 (hoad lindse)WENC C 118 8.00    
4  BOCELLI (IRE) Jul25 Jun19 May22     (keen howard)GOBAY WILBERT 118 15.00 8% 11.10    
5  PARTY OF NO Aug08 Jul25 Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 (bailey barbara )MORENO OMAR 120 8.00    
6  SYNCHROMESH Jul25 Jul04 Jun13     (humber joseph)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 ★    
7  SAMUEL H Jul25 Jul04 Jun19     (wills daniel)HEIN NICOLE 113 4.00 50% 1.00    
8  SILENT FIRE (ARG) Aug08 Jun28       (wills daniel)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 8% 10.80    
SCR  HEY MICKEY Aug04 Jun23 Jun03     (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 10.00    
 
FE-4   08/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDBACK Jul26 Jul12 Jun10 May13 Apr24 (wieczorek ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 7% 13.50    
2  UNDEFILED Jul26 Jun23 Mar26 Feb23   (tharre)ALDERSON IAN 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
3  JUSTINTIMEGOSNORTH Jul26 Jul12 Jul04 May31   (ceccato sharon)HEIN NICOLE 115 20.00 ★    
4  THELONIOUS Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 Jun07 May27 (raghun)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
5  CALMING INFLUENCE Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 Jun07   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00    
6  LIVERPOOL MAN Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 May31   (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
7  FINAL STRIKE Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
8  COCOTARA Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 May26   (mc)BOULANGER CHANCE 115 3.00    
 
FE-5   08/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.108K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PESARO Jul21         (oliver)ALDERSON IAN 120 20.00    
SCR  CORA Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May26 May12 (loescher paula)MORENO OMAR 120 20.00 8% 11.60    
3  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Jul04 Jun19 May31 Mar16 Mar02 (siddo barringt)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  DAZZLING DIVA Jul30 Jul04 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (albu ken)WENC C 118 4.00    
5  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ Jun27 Jun13 May31 Mar19 Feb26 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 ★    
6  THE GREEN PLANET Aug01 Jun26 May29     (concessi armand)HEIN NICOLE 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUPER CHIANTI May03 Mar06 Feb12     (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
SCR  CEEBETT'S BOW Aug01 Jul17 Jun13     (neubauer mich)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
9  J M R GEMMA Jul25 Jul16 Jun30 Jun11 May26 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 8.00 19% 4.40    
 
FE-6   08/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.435K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY'S SISTER Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Apr16 (loescher pa)WENC C 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
2  GIZMO'S PRINCESS Aug09 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 Jan04 (fairlie h)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 5% 17.50    
3  BENADETTE'S LADY Jul17 Jun14       (mandal)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  NEW YORK MINT Aug01 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14   (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
6  TIZ MY RIGHT Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 Apr24 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 112 8.00    
7  HIPPIE CHICK Jul19 Jul09 Jun14 May31   (tomlinson nor)JOHNSON DEVON 120 10.00    
SCR  STORMY SUZIE Aug01 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14   (albu ken)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
SCR  STORMY DERBY DAY Jul21 Jul03       (depaul)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.