Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOVILLE 2 4 32 2   21 11 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 20% 4.00 1.40 W
LADY PREACH 4 2 1 1   11 21 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 48% 1.10 2.00 P
TUFFIAN 3 3 4 4   35 3 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 123 4.50 3.90 S
ISLAND WINTER 1 5 5 5   5 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 13.90  
IMMACULATE HEART 5 1 2 3   4 518½ (atala )SALAZAR VICTOR 123 3.50 3.60  
SCR  MANHATTAN LADY               (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00    
 
TDN-2   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCGRAW 2 5 4 2nk   1 1nk (fadlovich megan)LEBRON VICTOR 115 6.00 6.10  
EMPIRE'S FIRE 4 4 5 3.2   2 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 P
WOLFINE 6 1 3 4¼   3 3½ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 45% 1.20 1.90 S
MUTINY 5 2 2nk 5½   5 4 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 5.50  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 3 6 6 64   6 5 (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 119 4.00 11.80  
KEEPING SCORE 1 3 1nk 1nk   43 6 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 25.80  
 
TDN-3   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR MABEE 1 1 1½ 12   15 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 1.50  
SOLE FACTOR 4 4 4 4   25 2 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 15.00  
ULTRA RAYS 2 5 3 32   35 3 (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 18% 4.40 2.90 S
MOBIL MEISTER 5 3 2½ 22   4 410¼ (faulkner ro)CORREA L 121 3.00 26% 2.80 1.80  
CARMEN OHIO 3 2 52 5   5 513 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.40 5.10  
SCR  A SMILE A DAY               (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-4   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF DARKNESS 2 3 13 15   1 1 (galloway khad)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00 7.30  
TEAM LEYENDECKER 6 2 6 4   2 2 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 6.00 7.60 P
SCORZA 5 1 54 3   5 3 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 37% 1.70 5.60 S
MR LOOOCH 3 4 3 5   48 4 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 14% 6.40 0.60  
CONDEMNATION 1 5 23 25   38 5 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 4.50 16% 5.10 6.80  
WILDCAT BILL 4 6 4 6   612¼ 614 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.00 7.70  
 
TDN-5   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:01     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETTA 5 5 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 2.00  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 7 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00 22.10  
KISS THE RED HEAD 2 8 7 7   5 3 (maddox racha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 30% 2.30 5.10 S
TITEBLUEJEANS 1 7 3½ 5   33 4 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 15.00 2.20  
QUIET LADY 8 1 6 3   43 5 (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 17.50  
10  SHANGHAI ROYALTY 9 4 8 8   7 6 (canegata james)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.00 24% 3.20 4.90  
HEART OF RUBY 6 3 42 4   6 7 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00 40.60  
LEONA'S PROMISE 4 6 5 6   8 814¾ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 8.30  
SWEET DREAMS LUCIA 3 9 9 914¼   910¼ 915½ (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00 19% 4.20 42.40  
SCR  KENZIE'S SONG               (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADULTING 3 6 31 11   13 1 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 10.60  
BISCOTTINI 1 9 9 7   4 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 52% 0.90 2.20 P
OPULENT WAYS 6 7 7 6   6 3 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 5.00 7% 14.10 3.30 S
PLATINUM SKY 4 5 5 42   33 4 (huffman m)RIVERA R 123 3.00 3.00  
TIZ THIRSTY 5 3 21 32   23 5 (canegata jam)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00 20.80  
TURN TO ME SUCREE 7 4 6 5   7 6 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00 13% 6.90 3.70  
MISS OVER THERE 9 1 11 21   5 711 (manning c)VELEZ J 123 20.00 5% 19.00 48.10  
SUNDRENCHED 2 8 8 9   8 814¼ (poole a)AVILES YAN 118 10.00 19.70  
LUCKY ROAD 8 2 4 8   9 917¼ (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 34.70  
 
TDN-7   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAKARIA 4 1 1 14   13 13 (yoder d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.50 10% 8.70 1.00 W
COWTOWN BOSS 2 3 42 24   23 23 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 37% 1.70 4.50 P
MOESTER 3 5 54 5   5 36 (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 6.00 9.50  
VICTORY DIVISION 1 6 6 610   69 4 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 13.60  
BABA LOOEY 6 4 2 36   38 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
CATMAN JACK 5 2 3 4   4 6 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 12.60  
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER               (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLEJACKOMO 2 5 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 16% 5.10 3.20 W
DRIFTER 3 6 6 5   4 2 (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 6.10 P
PRACTICAL MAN 6 1 4 3   3 33 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 5.10 S
TEMPLE TITAN 1 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 4 (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 31% 2.20 2.70  
CHACO SPIRIT 4 3 5 6   5 5 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 5.00 20% 4.00 1.70  
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM 5 4 3 43   6 614¾ (schuster rob)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 10.00 17.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.