Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - October 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLAND WINTER Sep14 Aug23 Aug10 Jul05 Jun20 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
SCR  MANHATTAN LADY Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 Jul06 Jun20 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 ★    
3  WHOVILLE Sep22 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  TUFFIAN Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 123 4.50 ★    
5  LADY PREACH Sep12 Aug26 Jul21 Jul01 Jun10 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  IMMACULATE HEART Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 (atala )SALAZAR VICTOR 123 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-2   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING SCORE Aug30 Jul27 Jun30 Jun21 May17 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 ★    
2  MCGRAW Sep16 Aug30 Jul28 Jul21 Jul05 (fadlovich megan)LEBRON VICTOR 115 6.00 ★    
3  DOUGS MORNING PICK Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 119 4.00    
4  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jan19         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  MUTINY Sep13 Aug09 Jul05 May30 May06 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 ★    
6  WOLFINE Sep15 Aug30 Aug13 Jul13 Jun25 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-3   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR MABEE Sep01 Aug09 Jul25 Jun30 May17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★    
2  ULTRA RAYS Aug17 Jul27 Jul20 Jun22 May30 (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 18% 4.40    
3  CARMEN OHIO Aug13 Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May18 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 14% 6.40    
4  SOLE FACTOR Sep01 Aug01 Jul20 Jun02 May17 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
5  MOBIL MEISTER Sep23 Aug25 Aug09 Jul25 Jul13 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  A SMILE A DAY Sep21 Sep01 Aug09 Jun08 May03 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-4   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDEMNATION Aug26 Aug09 Jul14 Jul01 May30 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 4.50 16% 5.10    
2  DUKE OF DARKNESS Aug16 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (galloway khad)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
3  MR LOOOCH Aug30 Jul28 Jul05 Jun25 Jun03 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 14% 6.40    
4  WILDCAT BILL Aug30 Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.00 ★    
5  SCORZA Aug25 Aug09 Jul01 Jun21 May12 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  TEAM LEYENDECKER Aug30 Aug23 Jun28 May30   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   10/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITEBLUEJEANS Jan19         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
2  KISS THE RED HEAD Sep14 Jul26 Jun27 Jun11 Jan19 (maddox racha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  SWEET DREAMS LUCIA         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00 19% 4.20    
4  LEONA'S PROMISE May11 Apr13 Jan19 Jan04   (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 ★    
SCR  KENZIE'S SONG Sep14         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
6  ETTA Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jun27 Jun11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 2.50 ★    
7  HEART OF RUBY Sep14 Jan04       (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
8  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jul26         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 15.00    
9  QUIET LADY Sep14 Jul26 Jun27     (zielinski ri)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
10  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Sep14         (cane)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-6   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISCOTTINI Sep06 Jul26 Jun27 May07   (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  SUNDRENCHED Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul06 Jun20 (poole a)AVILES YAN 118 10.00 ★    
3  ADULTING Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jun27 Jun07 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
4  PLATINUM SKY Sep14 Jul26 May23 May02 Mar11 (huffman m)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
5  TIZ THIRSTY Sep20 Aug24 Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 (canegata jam)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
6  OPULENT WAYS Sep22 Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 5.00 7% 14.10    
7  TURN TO ME SUCREE Sep20 Aug28       (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
8  LUCKY ROAD Sep22         (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
9  MISS OVER THERE Sep07 Aug24 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 (manning c)VELEZ J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY DIVISION Sep22 Aug23 Jun02 May12 Mar22 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 Jul07 Mar22 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
3  COWTOWN BOSS Sep12 Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 Jun14 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  MOESTER Sep14 Aug12 Jun23 Jun11 May21 (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 6.00    
5  ZAKARIA Aug30 Aug08 Jul04 May26 Apr04 (yoder d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.50 10% 8.70    
6  CATMAN JACK Sep14 Jun25 May26 May11 Mar14 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 ★    
7  BABA LOOEY Sep14 Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-8   10/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPLE TITAN Sep15 Aug31 Aug15 May21   (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  UNCLEJACKOMO Sep15 Aug29 Aug18 Jul19 Jun29 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
3  DRIFTER Aug31 Aug15 Feb11 Jan09   (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 ★    
4  CHACO SPIRIT Aug31 Aug15 Jul05 Jun16 May17 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
5  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Sep15 Aug30 Aug17     (schuster rob)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 10.00    
6  PRACTICAL MAN Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 Jun22 Jun02 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.