Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELGAR 2 4 3 3   3 11 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 3.00 14% 6.10 2.10 W
LADY'S BOY 5 1 1½ 11   1 21 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 2.40 P
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 2 2½ 21   2 3 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 45% 1.20 4.30 S
FRONTLINER 3 6 57 57   5 4 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50 9% 9.90 3.80  
SILVER G T O 1 5 43 4   44 5 (huffman m)FELICIANO R 121 5.00 9.50  
KHALFANI 4 3 6 6   67 66 (pattah shah)CORREA L 119 6.00 6.80  
 
TDN-2   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 3 5 31 4   22 12 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 24% 3.20 1.40 W
SWEET BETTY JOYCE 6 1 2nk 1nk   12 22 (suarez j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.10 P
J J'S FANCY 5 2 1nk 2nk   32 3 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00 7.00 S
JUSTA COWGIRL 2 6 6 6   6 4 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 6.00 19.60  
OUT FOR FUN 1 4 5 5   4 5 (gorham robe)CORREA L 117 2.50 18% 4.60 3.20  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 4 3 4 31   5 6 (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50 10.30  
 
TDN-3   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHING BETTY 3 2 4 32   2nk 12 (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 36% 1.80 0.50 W
SHELLEY'S GEM 4 3 21 2½   3.2 22 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 6.10 P
BAREBACK FUN 5 1 11 1½   1nk 3 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 28% 2.50 3.10 S
BACKSPLASH 1 5 54 54   4 4 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50 7.90  
CHARGAREE 2 4 3 44   5 5 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 8.00 13.80  
SCR  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL               (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
TDN-4   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARRAZANO 6 1 42 3.2   1 1 (inirio carlos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 43% 1.30 0.70 W
ALITA 5 2 2nk 2nk   3 2 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 11% 8.50 4.40 P
MISS ENCISO 3 4 1nk 1nk   2 3 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 18% 4.50 3.00 S
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 7 6 5 5   45 4 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 9.20  
STRAIGHT TO GO 4 3 31 4   5 59 (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 7% 13.60 27.40  
IMA SURE BET 1 8 7 610¼   610½ 611¾ (genovese richa)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 52.10  
JANES HOPE 8 5 6 714¼   717½ 726½ (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 47.10  
TEST YOUR FAITH 2 7 813 824¼   831½ 849 (campbell antho)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 26.70  
 
TDN-5   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KJOS KID 4 4 1nk 2nk   2½ 1 (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 11% 7.80 2.30 DQ↓2
SILENCING 6 1 3½ 31   31 2 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 10% 8.50 2.80 W
MY DANCING QUEEN 3 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 3 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 6.60 S
INDY LITES 1 5 4 510½   512½ 417¼ (jackson j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 32.00  
CONTESSINA 2 6 6 47   49 520½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00  
KENZIE'S SONG 5 3 5 617   619½ 632 (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 119 12.00 37.80  
 
TDN-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BIG OHIO 8 2 43 4   3.2 1 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 68% 0.50 1.10 W
11  FUNNEL CAKE 9 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 2 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 2.20 P
KETTLE KING 2 6 6 6   5 32 (romero jose)CORREA L 123 10.00 20.10  
MUCHO PRIMO 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 43 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 15.00 30.60  
THE MAN CAN 3 5 77 810¼   6 5 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 6.00 6.00  
TIGER TRAIL 4 8 5 5   4¼ 64 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 5% 17.60 5.40  
HONOR THE D 5 9 9 7   7 75 (bates l)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 29.20  
PLATE IT UP 1 7 8 913¼   9 8 (gonzalez donac)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00 53.40  
JUST CHESTER 6 4 3 3   8 918 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 73.10  
SCR  MOBIL AT LAST               (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 30.00    
SCR  THE GOSPEL OF MARK               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIET AMIGO 8 1 2 1nk   11 1¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 48% 1.10 2.90 W
SUSIE'S KID 7 9 8 6   43 2¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 14.90  
HITE 6 5 6 9   75 3¾ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 12.00 59.20  
11  GONE IN A FLASH 11 2 4 3   3 4 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 15.60  
10  WOLFINE 10 3 7 7   54 5 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 7% 12.60 1.50  
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 3 7 1 2nk   21 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 3.70  
WORTHY OPPONENT 2 10 9 8   64 7 (miller arizon)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 12.00 11.30  
BLUE MONARCH 5 8 10 10   9 8 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 54.80  
MANGA MAN 1 11 1111¼ 1111½   119 9 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50 19.10  
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 4 6 53 4   8 10 (zielinski richard)FELICIANO R 121 5.00 18% 4.50 12.80  
MA MOO POWER 9 4 3 5   10 11 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00 ######  
 
TDN-8   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO DIALED IN 8 2 2 2 22 1nk 1 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 2.50 28% 2.60 1.40 W
FLAT FUN 3 5 6 6 510½ 46 2 (dillion jimmy)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5.40 P
GOOD IDEA 2 3 3 3 39 3 36 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 115 3.50 8.10 S
AYE AYE SIR 5 1 1 1 12 2nk 4 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 44% 1.30 3.20  
SURF AND TURF 7 4 4 5 712 5 59 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 6% 15.70 9.60  
MOTATAABEQ 6 8 56 4 410½ 611½ 611 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 7.50  
LAZARUS PROJECT 4 7 7 7 611½ 712½ 713¾ (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 11.90  
HEZA HANDFUL 1 6 814¾ 819¼ 827 824½ 828 (silva h)FELICIANO R 119 20.00 40.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.