Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/10/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER G T O Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 Jun30 Jun14 (huffman candace)FELICIANO R 121 5.00 ★    
2  ELGAR Sep12 Aug11 Jul04 May21 Mar31 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
3  FRONTLINER Sep19 Sep01 Aug03 Jul19 Jun30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.50 9% 9.90    
4  KHALFANI Sep22 Sep12 Aug18 Jul07 Jun16 (pattah sh)CORREA L 119 6.00    
5  LADY'S BOY Sep15 Aug22 Aug02 Jun13 May25 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 ★    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Sep12 Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 Jun07 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-2   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT FOR FUN Sep23 Aug30 Jul01 Jun02 Apr28 (gorham ro)CORREA L 117 2.50 18% 4.60    
2  JUSTA COWGIRL Sep14 Aug15 Jul13 Jun14 May18 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 6.00 ★    
3  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Sep14 Aug13 Jul19 Jul06 Jun06 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Jul27 (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.50    
5  J J'S FANCY Sep26 Sep08 Aug15 Jun28 Jun11 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 8.00 ★    
6  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Sep14 Aug15 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
TDN-3   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSPLASH Sep27 Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50 ★    
2  CHARGAREE Sep19 Aug15 May31 Apr29 Apr02 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
3  BLUSHING BETTY Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 May30 Feb16 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Sep20 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 May31 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  SHELLEY'S GEM Sep20 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 May31 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 ★    
6  BAREBACK FUN Sep20 Aug16 Aug03 Jan31   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TDN-4   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA SURE BET Sep20 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 Jun16 (genovese ric)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00    
2  TEST YOUR FAITH Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 Jul11 May31 (campbell ant)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00    
3  MISS ENCISO Sep26 Sep07 Aug04 Jul11 Jun25 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  STRAIGHT TO GO Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jul11 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 7% 13.60    
5  ALITA Sep12 Aug24 Aug04 Jul18 Jun25 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 11% 8.50    
6  SCARRAZANO Sep17 Aug14 Jul10 Jun05 May03 (inirio carl)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Aug04 Jul18 Jun25 May24 May10 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 ★    
8  JANES HOPE Sep20 Aug22 Apr09 Mar26   (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY LITES Sep20 Aug06 Jul20 Jul04 May26 (jackson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 ★    
2  CONTESSINA Sep18 Aug26 Jun29     (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  MY DANCING QUEEN Sep26 Sep07 Jul18 Jun25   (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★    
4  KJOS KID Sep26 Sep07 Aug24 Jun05 Feb06 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  KENZIE'S SONG Sep14         (crumley jevon)DIAZ R 119 12.00    
6  SILENCING Sep24 Aug29 Jul11 Jun09 Apr28 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 10% 8.50    
 
TDN-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Sep28 Sep05 Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 8.00 ★    
2  PLATE IT UP Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 20.00    
3  KETTLE KING Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 (romero jo)CORREA L 123 10.00    
4  THE MAN CAN Sep22 Sep07 May23 May07 Apr27 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
SCR  MOBIL AT LAST Sep22 Aug08 Jun20 Jun06 May07 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 30.00    
6  TIGER TRAIL Aug22 Jun14 Mar24 Mar09 Feb19 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 5% 17.60    
7  HONOR THE D Sep20         (bates l)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 8.00 ★    
8  JUST CHESTER Sep22 Sep07       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
9  MUCHO PRIMO Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul05   (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 15.00    
10  BIG OHIO Sep22         (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 68% 0.50    
11  FUNNEL CAKE Sep19 Aug22       (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGA MAN Sep22 Sep06 Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 4.50    
2  WORTHY OPPONENT Sep15 Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 Jul21 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 117 12.00    
3  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Sep27 May21 May02 Apr11 Mar16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★    
4  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Aug30 Jun25 Jun08 May25 May12 (zielinski richa)FELICIANO R 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
5  BLUE MONARCH Sep29 Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 May23 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
6  HITE Sep28 Sep01 Jul21 Jun14 May26 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 12.00    
7  SUSIE'S KID Sep21 Sep06 Aug02 Jul19 Jun25 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
8  QUIET AMIGO Sep06 Aug02 Jul06 Jun08 May10 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
9  MA MOO POWER Sep29 Sep15 Aug13 Aug04 Jul13 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
10  WOLFINE Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 Aug13 Jul13 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 7% 12.60    
11  GONE IN A FLASH Sep06 Jun25 Jun03 May25 May06 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA HANDFUL Aug22 May24       (silva h)FELICIANO R 119 20.00    
2  GOOD IDEA Sep05 Aug17 Jul13 May25 May09 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 115 3.50 ★    
3  FLAT FUN Sep30 Sep14 Aug22 Aug11 Jul21 (dillion jimmy)RIVERA R 119 10.00 ★    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Sep29 Sep15 Sep05 Aug22 Aug04 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
5  AYE AYE SIR Sep15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul18 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  MOTATAABEQ Sep07 Jul26 Jul20 Jun30 Jun19 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
7  SURF AND TURF Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 6% 15.70    
8  SO DIALED IN Sep27 Sep05 Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 114 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.