Handicappers' Race Results

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Belterra Park
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:012     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAREFOOT BEACH 1 3 22 2   1nk 11 (radosevich jeff)FELIX E 120 3.00 15% 5.80 1.00 W
LADY ABRIL 4 1 12 1   2nk 21 (shanyfelt valer)BRACHO A 120 2.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
NANA ROZE 3 2 3 3   3 311½ (morelos mat)BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 8.00 26.90 S
RUNAWAY BELLE 5 4 4 4   4 412¼ (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 3.50 17% 4.90 5.90  
ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE 2 5 5 5   510 516¼ (hernandez debbi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00 19.70  
SCR  TREASURE WILBURNYA               (haehn r)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.50    
 
BTP-2   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:001     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 4 1 31 1   1 11 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 4.00 6.10  
THE LAST APPLE 3 2 2½ 5   3 21 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 3.00 12% 7.50 3.30 P
BALI BEAR 5 4 53 2   2 3 (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 1.80 59% 0.70 0.50 S
DIAL AGAIN 1 5 42 4   4 44 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00 23.20  
MAYBE FRANKY 2 3 1½ 33   5 5 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 5.80  
 
BTP-3   09/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:141     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANIBEL 6 1 21 1nk   11 1 (murillo rodrig)HALDAR J 123 3.00 15% 5.60 2.80 W
DEVIL'S ADVOCATE 3 3 11 2nk   21 2 (danner doug)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.50 0.60 P
LA LA ANGEL 1 6 4 32   4 3 (jordan rick)BUSH V 121 4.00 11.00 S
SCOOBY ROO 2 5 5 43   3 4 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 3.50 50% 1.00 3.50  
APPEALING SENORITA 4 4 32 5   56 5 (salcedo ramon)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 20.30  
WACKER'S GIRL 5 2 6 6   6 6 (rodak geraldine)BRYAN KERRY 121 12.00 5% 17.20 56.60  
 
BTP-4   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY BALL 4 1 2½ 11   1 1 (murillo rodrig)HALDAR J 121 1.80 30% 2.30 1.20 W
BRINK POINT 5 4 32 21   2 2 (smith larry)REYES R 123 5.00 7.20 P
WILLIE JONES 1 3 42 43   3 3 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00 28% 2.50 2.00 S
SHANGHAI PRINCE 2 2 1½ 32   4 411¾ (cline c)BRACHO A 121 4.00 9.40  
MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 3 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (radosevich jeff)FELIX E 121 3.50 15% 5.90 3.30  
 
BTP-5   09/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:254 :51 1:163 1:441   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTREALLYNOTREALLY 4 4 31 31 11 16 1 (grubbs l)FELIX E 123 3.50 10% 8.70 1.60 W
WILMORE 1 2 4 42 42 26 2 (begley greg)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00 4.70  
MISS MARPLE 3 3 1½ 1nk 32 37 3 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00 13% 6.80 1.00 S
WARIS 2 1 2½ 2nk 21 48 416¼ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 12.00 40.40  
10  LA TAPATIA 7 6 6 6 5 510 517¼ (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 123 20.00 15.70  
BOURBON RUNNER 5 5 53 5 65 613 619¾ (castillo richa)ROMERO GREGORY 119 10.00 10.50  
ON STRIKE 6 7 7 7 78 716 721½ (monday kevin)JIMENEZ J 123 30.00 40.70  
SCR  LUCKY SHORE               (sturgeon robe)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  REVELING               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TIZ PENNEY               (pasley iii)MCKEE J 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
BTP-6   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PEJE 6 3 5 3.2   14 15 (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 120 2.50 1.10  
DROP IT 3 4 21 2nk   24 25 (edwards wil)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 8.00 23% 3.40 18.00 P
DUDLEY 1 6 6 4   34 3 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 120 3.00 44% 1.30 3.10 S
THEJIGISUP 4 2 4 5   56 4 (torres r)FELIX E 120 4.50 6.80  
KEEN ON YOU 2 5 11 1nk   45 511 (esquivel jesus)HALDAR J 122 3.50 4.50  
MASTER LEA 5 1 3 6   611 622¾ (bahena ismael)REYES R 120 5.00 5.70  
 
BTP-7   09/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:143 1:422   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD FIRST 8 7 1nk 1 1 1 1 (anderson l)FELIX E 123 5.00 12% 7.50 4.30 W
MIGHTY CRAIC 9 9 5 3 2 2 2 (deegan joseph)STERRITT KENDAL 119 6.00 15% 5.70 8.90 P
FATHER PATRICK 2 2 6 76 67 4 34 (newton troy)MCKEE J 121 3.50 5% 19.00 2.10 S
MECHANICVILLE 4 4 8 911 7 3 45 (salcedo ramon)RIVERA BRYAN 118 20.00 19.00  
TRADEOFF 1 1 7 6 810 8 5 (cline c)OUZTS W 123 8.00 12.20  
EARLY WAGER 7 8 4 53 5 7 611½ (cowans d)MOJICA JR 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.90  
RICKI TORNADO 5 5 31 42 35 57 712 (beck rowena)LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00 41.60  
NICE KAZ 6 6 2nk 2 46 67 812¼ (hester haley)DE AZAEL 123 4.50 7% 13.40 9.40  
BODIE CODY 3 3 9 810 915 915¼ 930 (torres r)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 31.50  
 
BTP-8   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'MONEY HONEY 1 5 43 3   2 13 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.00 69% 0.40 1.30 W
TOPPING 4 4 1 1   1 23 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 123 2.50 2.10  
CALL WEST 7 1 5 67   5 34 (nocero carmino)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 5.00 10.20 S
CHROMIUM 2 8 8 810½   6 4 (rodak geraldine)FELIX E 123 30.00 5% 19.00 49.40  
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK 8 7 6 5   4 5 (torres r)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00 8.30  
FAIRWAY LANE 5 3 2 2   3 66 (watkins m)OUZTS W 123 4.50 18.00  
COLOMBIANO 3 6 76 78   810¾ 7 (helmbrecht )BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 6.00 16.20  
O CIGANO 6 2 33 4   710½ 810½ (roberson dennis)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 5.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.