Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 7 2 41½ 1nk   13 12½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 15% 5.60 0.90 W
1  CHARLEE'S MAGIC 3 5 51¾ 4¾   23 22½ (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 43% 1.30 2.40 P
2  JOES A ROCKIN 1 6 61¾ 51¾   45½ 37¼ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 13.40  
3  RIDGE WEST 2 3 1nk 2nk   35 49½ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★ 3.90  
5  TRUST AND OBEY 6 1 31 63¼   68 510 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 20.90  
4  IT'S A MANS WORLD 4 4 2nk 3.2   57½ 612¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 ★ 9.20  
1A  OLE WATASHI 5 7 78¾ 79¼   714 718¾ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 5.00 2.40  
SCR  BOOT LEGGER               (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 12 16¼ (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 16% 5.30 1.20 W
3  KENNEDIE SKY 2 4 43½ 43 31 22 26¼ (johnson g)CORREA L 119 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80 P
4  PUBLICIST 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 32 36¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 34% 1.90 2.30 S
6  NO SNIVELING 5 3 32 32 45 46 49½ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 ★ 4.90  
5  DARING (IRE) 4 5 55½ 56 56½ 510 515 (brown t)AVILES YAN 114 5.00 ★ 8.90  
SCR  CONDUTTORE               (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
 
TDN-3   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIDDEN ACCESS 6 3 34 36½   34½ 1hd (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 21% 3.80 0.90 W
4  ANIMO ROBERTO 4 8 66¼ 47½   44½ 2hd (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.00 6% 16.80 10.70 P
3  HEARDITALLBEFORE 3 1 12½ 13½   11½ 32½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 5.00 6.80  
5  FLAG RAISER 5 2 22½ 23½   21½ 45¾ (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 10.00 ★ 6.80  
7  OVERLOAD 7 6 77¼ 69½   57½ 58½ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 12.00 ★ 14.10  
8  WHO CAN'T WAIT 8 7 87¾ 711   811¾ 613 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00 52.50  
1  WINDING RIVER 1 4 54¼ 812½   711¾ 716 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 25.10  
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 2 5 44 58½   611½ 818¼ (radosev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 51% 1.00 2.90  
 
TDN-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KIST 6 2 41½ 31   1nk 12 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 25.20 W
6  HAPPY AS YOU GO 5 3 2½ 2nk   3.2 22 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 39% 1.60 2.10 P
5  SPEAK LIGHTLY 4 4 3½ 42   43¼ 33¼ (ruberto lo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 2.40  
2  SWEET EVY GRACE 2 6 65½ 64   54¼ 45¼ (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 1.90  
4  OPULENT 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 56 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 ★ 5.50  
1  NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 5 52½ 53   66¼ 610 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.60 11.60  
SCR  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE               (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
 
TDN-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRIMITIVO 2 1 2nk 11   13½ 13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 ★ 10.40  
1  PLAYING FOR KEEPS 1 7 33 31   23½ 23 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 24% 3.20 1.60 P
7  SMOOCHER 7 4 54¼ 41½   45 34½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.10 S
3  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 3 2 1nk 21   33½ 45¾ (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 4.00 ★ 7.10  
6  OKLAHOMA JOE 6 3 44 53½   58 511 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 19% 4.20 9.70  
5  SOMETHING ON TAP 5 6 711¾ 79¾   613 616¼ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00 32.60  
4  MY BUDDY MICAH 4 5 610¼ 69½   713½ 721¾ (bird da)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 25.50  
 
TDN-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EVER WONDER 4 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 11¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 1.80 68% 0.50 0.40 W
5  CAJUN DELIGHT 5 5 42 3½   2nk 21¼ (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 114 4.00 ★ 6.60 P
3  PROSPECTIVE FORUM 3 4 31½ 1nk   3½ 33¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 ★ 3.70 S
2  MARKET SUCCESS 2 6 53 42   43½ 44¼ (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 ★ 7.40  
6  CEVICHE 6 3 65 65   57½ 510¼ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 21.80  
1  SIERRA DIAMOND 1 1 1½ 53   69 615¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 ★ 31.50  
 
TDN-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEEBLEGEE 6 7 65 66¼   54 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 7% 13.70 12.40 W
2  PROPHETESS 2 2 12 2½   11 2¾ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 24% 3.10 0.80 P
5  SWEET EMPIRE 5 5 54 44   43 33¼ (radcliff do)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 ★ 22.00 S
1  CRISTALINDA 1 6 43½ 34   32½ 44¼ (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 2.60  
4  SARAH JANE 4 3 76½ 56   66 54¼ (bates l)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 4.50 4.00  
3  SANIBEL 3 1 22 1½   21 66¾ (murillo rodri)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 ★ 12.00  
8  HIDDEN PRIDE 7 4 33½ 713¼   718 728¼ (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 61.80  
SCR  CUE THE BAND               (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ST. LUKES 5 5 55½ 45½   33 1½ (trevino s)CORREA L 115 2.00 13% 6.60 0.90 W
8  RAMIRIN 8 4 45 610½   66¾ 2½ (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 35.00  
4  HEY SACH 4 2 12 13½   13 3½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 10% 9.20 11.10 S
2  HE'S A BELIEVER 2 7 77 58   53¾ 42¼ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20  
3  STAYIN OR STRAYIN 3 1 22 23½   23 53½ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00 7% 12.90 16.50  
7  DIAMOND MONEY 7 3 33 34   43¼ 65¾ (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 9.20  
6  FLYING GUILLOTINE 6 8 87¼ 712   710¾ 78¼ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00 ★ 11.20  
1  SOAKING WET 1 6 67 813   812¼ 810½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 18.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.