Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 7 2 4 1nk   13 1 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 15% 5.60 0.90 W
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 3 5 5 4¾   23 2 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 43% 1.30 2.40 P
JOES A ROCKIN 1 6 6 5   4 3 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 13.40  
RIDGE WEST 2 3 1nk 2nk   35 4 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 4.00 3.90  
TRUST AND OBEY 6 1 31 6   68 510 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 20.90  
IT'S A MANS WORLD 4 4 2nk 3.2   5 612¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 9.20  
1A  OLE WATASHI 5 7 7 7   714 718¾ (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 123 5.00 2.40  
SCR  BOOT LEGGER               (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:14     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPULENT WAYS 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 12 1 (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 16% 5.30 1.20 W
KENNEDIE SKY 2 4 4 43 31 22 2 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80 P
PUBLICIST 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 32 3 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 34% 1.90 2.30 S
NO SNIVELING 5 3 32 32 45 46 4 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 4.90  
DARING (IRE) 4 5 5 56 5 510 515 (brown t)AVILES YAN 114 5.00 8.90  
SCR  CONDUTTORE               (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
 
TDN-3   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN ACCESS 6 3 34 3   3 1hd (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 21% 3.80 0.90 W
ANIMO ROBERTO 4 8 6 4   4 2hd (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.00 6% 16.80 10.70 P
HEARDITALLBEFORE 3 1 1 1   1 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 5.00 6.80  
FLAG RAISER 5 2 2 2   2 4 (gorham robe)CORREA L 118 10.00 6.80  
OVERLOAD 7 6 7 6   5 5 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00 14.10  
WHO CAN'T WAIT 8 7 8 711   811¾ 613 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00 52.50  
WINDING RIVER 1 4 5 812½   711¾ 716 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00 25.10  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 2 5 44 5   611½ 818¼ (radosevic)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 51% 1.00 2.90  
 
TDN-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIST 6 2 4 31   1nk 12 (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 25.20 W
HAPPY AS YOU GO 5 3 2½ 2nk   3.2 22 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 39% 1.60 2.10 P
SPEAK LIGHTLY 4 4 3½ 42   4 3 (ruberto loui)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 2.40  
SWEET EVY GRACE 2 6 6 64   5 4 (murillo-rodrigue)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 1.90  
OPULENT 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 56 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 5.50  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 1 5 5 53   6 610 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.60 11.60  
SCR  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE               (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
 
TDN-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMITIVO 2 1 2nk 11   1 13 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 10.40  
PLAYING FOR KEEPS 1 7 33 31   2 23 (ruberto v)HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 24% 3.20 1.60 P
SMOOCHER 7 4 5 4   45 3 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.10 S
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 3 2 1nk 21   3 4 (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 4.00 7.10  
OKLAHOMA JOE 6 3 44 5   58 511 (rado)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 19% 4.20 9.70  
SOMETHING ON TAP 5 6 711¾ 7   613 616¼ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00 32.60  
MY BUDDY MICAH 4 5 610¼ 6   713½ 721¾ (bird dann)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 25.50  
 
TDN-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVER WONDER 4 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 1.80 68% 0.50 0.40 W
CAJUN DELIGHT 5 5 42 3½   2nk 2 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 114 4.00 6.60 P
PROSPECTIVE FORUM 3 4 3 1nk   3½ 3 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 3.70 S
MARKET SUCCESS 2 6 53 42   4 4 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 7.40  
CEVICHE 6 3 65 65   5 510¼ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 21.80  
SIERRA DIAMOND 1 1 1½ 53   69 615¼ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 31.50  
 
TDN-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEEBLEGEE 6 7 65 6   54 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 7% 13.70 12.40 W
PROPHETESS 2 2 12 2½   11 2¾ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 24% 3.10 0.80 P
SWEET EMPIRE 5 5 54 44   43 3 (radcliff dona)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 22.00 S
CRISTALINDA 1 6 4 34   3 4 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 2.60  
SARAH JANE 4 3 7 56   66 5 (bates l)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 4.50 4.00  
SANIBEL 3 1 22 1½   21 6 (murillo rodrigu)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 12.00  
HIDDEN PRIDE 7 4 3 713¼   718 728¼ (gonzalez donac)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 61.80  
SCR  CUE THE BAND               (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. LUKES 5 5 5 4   33 1½ (trevino ste)CORREA L 115 2.00 13% 6.60 0.90 W
RAMIRIN 8 4 45 610½   6 2½ (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 35.00  
HEY SACH 4 2 12 1   13 3½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 10% 9.20 11.10 S
HE'S A BELIEVER 2 7 77 58   5 4 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.20  
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 3 1 22 2   23 5 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 12.00 7% 12.90 16.50  
DIAMOND MONEY 7 3 33 34   4 6 (romero oscar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 9.20  
FLYING GUILLOTINE 6 8 8 712   710¾ 7 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00 11.20  
SOAKING WET 1 6 67 813   812¼ 810½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 18.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.