Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLEE'S MAGIC Sep27 Aug04 Jul13 May31 May03 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 43% 1.30    
1A  OLE WATASHI Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 May24 Apr16 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
2  JOES A ROCKIN Sep26 Aug25 Jul26 Jul14 Jun14 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00    
3  RIDGE WEST Sep26 Aug24 Aug09 Aug02 Jul13 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 4.00 ★    
4  IT'S A MANS WORLD Jul07 Jun06 May10 Mar24 Mar09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 ★    
5  TRUST AND OBEY Sep26 Sep12 Aug25 Aug16 Jul22 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
SCR  BOOT LEGGER Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 Jul25 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
7  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Sep19 Aug17 Jul18 Jun30 Jun06 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
TDN-2   10/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS Oct03 Sep22 Sep06 Aug09 Jul25 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  CONDUTTORE Aug06 Jul20 Jun21 Jun13 May11 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
3  KENNEDIE SKY Sep22 Sep07 Jul18 Jun28 Mar10 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
4  PUBLICIST Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 Jun20 Jun01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  DARING (IRE) Sep20 Aug24 Aug08 Jun28 May21 (brown t)AVILES YAN 114 5.00 ★    
6  NO SNIVELING Sep16 Sep01 Jul13 Jun10 May06 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDING RIVER Sep05         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
2  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Sep22 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 Jul11 (radosev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  HEARDITALLBEFORE Sep05 Aug02       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
4  ANIMO ROBERTO Sep22 Sep05       (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 4.00 6% 16.80    
5  FLAG RAISER         (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 10.00 ★    
6  HIDDEN ACCESS Sep22 Aug25       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  OVERLOAD         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 12.00 ★    
8  WHO CAN'T WAIT Sep05 Aug18 Aug02     (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 12.00    
 
TDN-4   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN JOURNEY Sep07 Aug04 Jun30 Jun01 May13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
2  SWEET EVY GRACE Sep26 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul14 (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
SCR  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Sep22 Aug23 Jul21 Jul06 Jun01 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 12.00 10% 8.70    
4  OPULENT Sep06 Aug22 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 4.50 ★    
5  SPEAK LIGHTLY Sep01 Aug01 Jun28 Jun01 Apr27 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 119 3.00    
6  HAPPY AS YOU GO Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 Apr27 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
7  KIST Sep22 Aug08 Jul14 Jun28 Jun16 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Sep23         (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  PRIMITIVO Sep22 Sep05 Aug02 Jul11   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 ★    
3  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Sep05         (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 4.00 ★    
4  MY BUDDY MICAH Sep22         (bird da)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
5  SOMETHING ON TAP         (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00    
6  OKLAHOMA JOE Sep22 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 Jul11 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  SMOOCHER Sep22         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
TDN-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA DIAMOND Sep27 Sep07 Aug15 Jul05 Jun02 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 ★    
2  MARKET SUCCESS Sep08 Jul21 Jul04 Jun02 May12 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 ★    
3  PROSPECTIVE FORUM Sep08 Aug16 Jul06     (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 3.50 ★    
4  EVER WONDER Sep07 Jul27 Jul07     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
5  CAJUN DELIGHT Sep20 Sep08 Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 114 4.00 ★    
6  CEVICHE Sep20 Sep08 Aug30 Aug14 Jul26 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISTALINDA Sep26 Sep08 Aug29 Jun06 May16 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
2  PROPHETESS Sep12 Aug29 Jul26 Jun25 Jun03 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  SANIBEL Sep27 Sep09 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 (murillo rodri)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 ★    
4  SARAH JANE Sep02 Aug17 Aug04 Jun02 May26 (bates l)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 4.50    
5  SWEET EMPIRE Sep26 Sep08 Aug29 Aug16 Jul21 (radcliff do)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 ★    
6  BEEBLEGEE Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Jan25 Jan08 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  CUE THE BAND Sep26 Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 Jun28 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 44% 1.30    
8  HIDDEN PRIDE Sep26 Sep08 Aug29 Jun21 May24 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
 
TDN-8   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOAKING WET Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 Jul20 Apr29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
2  HE'S A BELIEVER Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Jul25 Jul11 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  STAYIN OR STRAYIN Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jul11 May23 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00 7% 12.90    
4  HEY SACH Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 Jul03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 10% 9.20    
5  ST. LUKES         (trevino s)CORREA L 115 2.00 13% 6.60    
6  FLYING GUILLOTINE Sep26 Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun27 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 8.00 ★    
7  DIAMOND MONEY Sep21 Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 Jun29 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
8  RAMIRIN Sep26 Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 May26 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.