The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - October 10, 2022

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PID-1   10/10/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:251 :492 1:134 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PELLETIER 2 3 32 32 3 2nk 1hd (kintz matthew)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 6.00  
MISS CALIFORNIA 5 5 4 4 42 3.2 2hd (guciardo john)MARTINEZ A 118 1.80 25% 3.10 1.80 P
SIGN AND SEAL 3 1 1 1 11 1nk 3(pappada c)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 3.00 14% 6.30 2.90 S
FORGOT PASSWORD 4 2 2 2 21 4¾ 4(lyster s)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 19% 4.10 1.30  
MY DIOR 1 4 64 64 5 555 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 47.90  
TIPARILLO 6 6 54 53 65 611¼ 618½ (buckner h)ALLEN D 122 12.00 37.30  
 
PID-2   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:57
:223 :461 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARGYLL 3 2 4 32   1nk 1(stidham michael)GALLARDO A 121 1.60 44% 1.30 1.30 W
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 6 6 53 4   31 2(hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 4.00 3.50 P
SPIRITED DEBATE 7 1 11 11   2nk 3(fennessy john)ALLEN M 121 10.00 60.20  
PITON 1 5 7 6   42 4(antus lawrence)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 14.80  
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 4 8 8 8   75(russell randall)AYALA J 121 15.00 28.70  
MULETRAIN 2 7 6 7   53 6(connelly teresa)ROMERO RAMON 124 12.00 5% 19.00 54.20  
ROGERS GINGER 5 3 31 5   64 7(kintz matthew)SPIETH S 124 3.50 15% 5.80 2.40  
TAPPED OFF 8 4 21 21   8810½ (saville niall)MORALES PABLO 121 6.00 12% 7.10 5.80  
 
PID-3   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 F PT- 2:24
:22 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT EPISODE 2 5 5 42   2nk 13 (saville niall)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 18% 4.60 3.00 W
MOTOWN MISCHIEF 4 1 3 21   31 23 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 1.40 40% 1.50 1.70 P
CHEAP AND CHEERFUL 3 2 2nk 11   1nk 35 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 120 4.00 17% 5.10 2.00 S
LADY GIULIANA 5 4 4 3   44 4(skerrett jeffrey)STANLEY O 122 8.00 3.60  
LOTTA MOSCATO 1 3 1nk 54   516 531¾ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00 18.70  
SCR  INDIAN SPIDEROO               (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ A 120 2.50    
 
PID-4   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
:222 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF BIRTHDAY 5 4 64 6   34 1½ (kintz matthew)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 2.10  
BLUE GRASS ANNA 1 6 4 4   23 2½ (fletcher kevin)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.50 11% 8.10 5.10 P
ORGANZA 3 8 8 8   53(herrington ann)STANLEY O 122 15.00 11% 8.50 29.10 S
HIGHWAY QUEEN 6 7 7 7   44(klesaris steve)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.00 34% 1.90 1.50  
RAW HONEY 2 3 11 1   13 5(fiesman l)MARTINEZ A 119 8.00 20.20  
COUPLE OF NIKKIS 4 1 21 2   66 6(wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00 10% 9.10 63.90  
CANCAN SAREE 8 2 53 55   7713½ (martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 6.70  
PURCHASE POINT 7 5 32 3   8814¾ (kintz matthew)GALLARDO A 119 8.00 8.80  
 
PID-5   10/10/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:222 :451 1:084     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLIN'S SONG 2 7 53 4   2½ 1hd (hernandez armando)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 5.40  
DIAMOND DUST 6 1 1nk 11   1½ 2hd (davis scooter)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.00 4.40 P
RESIST THE DEVIL 1 5 8 8   43 3(rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 2.60 S
WOODCHUCK 5 4 3 21   32 4(rogers michael)AYALA J 122 8.00 15.70  
COLBALOAF 4 6 6 5   53 55 (salvaggio v)GALLARDO A 122 15.00 26.30  
TWIRLING MAMBA 7 3 42 31   66(martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 70% 0.40 1.60  
GOOD ON YA 3 8 7 7   77(winters michelle)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00 17.80  
CALL ME LATER 8 2 2nk 6   8812¼ (grace john)ROMERO RAMON 124 6.00 13.30  
 
PID-6   10/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:232 :461 1:113 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ULTIMATE BARONESS 3 6 914¾ 813¾ 43 1½ 1(morrell r)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00 22.70  
ANOINT 4 9 814¼ 612¾ 6 2½ 2(brion keri)SPIETH S 122 15.00 3.00  
STRAIGHT MADNESS 2 7 613 915¼ 87 43 3(barron rory)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 17% 5.10 8.90 S
QUARTERFLASH 9 8 714 713¾ 9 54 4(girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 48% 1.10 1.90  
SAILOR'S SALUTE 5 2 5 5 75 9512 (carr-rozantz cathy)AYALA J 122 20.00 16.00  
VACCINA 1 3 1nk 1nk 1 32 612 (judd cassandra)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50 4.50  
ROLLING MO 7 1 4 4 32 8712 (russell randall)STANLEY O 122 8.00 43.80  
MISS INVINCIBLE 8 4 3½ 2nk 2 7812¾ (chichakly amira)DELGADO DAVID 118 3.50 7.40  
MOON CHANT 6 5 2nk 3 53 64 914¾ (kulp l)GALLARDO A 122 20.00 11% 7.90 9.60  
 
PID-7   10/10/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:232 :462 1:102 1:352   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTMAS DIAMOND (GB) 2 5 4 4 22 21 1½ (connelly teresa)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 68% 0.50 1.30 W
MISS MIKAELA 5 3 13 15 12 11 2½ (guciardo john)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 4.50 P
DANA'S BEAUTY 4 1 3 37 3 33(rogers michael)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 3.70 S
ROGUE TOO 3 2 5 58 5 510 412¾ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 10.00 27.20  
GRAYSONSMACHO GAL 1 4 23 25 4 410 514 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.80 1.80  
SCR  LIL KINGS PRINCESS               (ortiz alexander)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00    
 
PID-8   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
:232 :463 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP IN ARMS 3 4 5 4   51¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 24% 3.20 2.50 W
SERENE WARRIOR 4 9 7 5   21 2¼ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 39% 1.50 2.90 P
SWEET MOOCHIE 2 8 9 83   63¼ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5.60  
WILD LOOKER 5 1 1nk 1nk   11 4½ (skawinski a)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 19.40  
TEQUILA MARY 1 3 8 9   75(buckner h)ALLEN D 122 20.00 26.10  
10  CYBERBURG 9 2 4¾ 3.2   36(martin n)STANLEY O 122 6.00 7% 12.90 5.70  
AMAZON LIZZIE 6 7 6 73   87(hogue l)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 7% 13.80 7.10  
SKY DIETY 7 6 3.2 2nk   48(martin n)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 9.90  
YES IT'S ERIE 8 5 2nk 6   99(russell randall)AYALA J 122 10.00 12.70  
SCR  WHISTLER DIXIE               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.