Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DRAKE 4 6 7 7   3 1 (poole a)AVILES YAN 114 6.00 3.40  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 5 2 2 31   2 2 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 8% 11.60 5.70 P
GEHRIG 2 1 1 1nk   1 3 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 38% 1.60 1.40 S
ALL STAR JUSTICE 7 4 5 5   7 4 (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 12.50  
KNIGHTS KEY 8 7 6 2nk   4 53 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 119 2.50 17% 4.80 2.90  
GOD'S WILL BE DONE 3 3 33 4   5 64 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 12.00 33.60  
1A  CLYDE PARK 6 5 43 6   6 7 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 5.70  
SPINSTER ROAD 1 8 8 817¼   8100 8100 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.50 15% 5.50 11.30  
 
TDN-2   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC TONE 6 3 1½ 11   17 1 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 1.60  
STAR ENTERTAINER 1 6 2½ 21   27 2 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.00 13% 6.90 0.90 P
INSACIABLE PRINCE 3 5 6 55   512 313½ (romero jose)CORREA L 118 4.00 16.70  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 4 1 5 4   310½ 414 (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 3.00 52% 0.90 3.70  
RESERVATION 2 4 4¾ 6   613½ 517¾ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00 29.00  
CONSIDER ME 5 2 3½ 31   411½ 618¼ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00 7% 12.60 40.60  
 
TDN-3   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS TURN 3 7 31 2nk   1½ 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 35% 1.90 0.10 W
PENNIESANDDIMES 1 1 11 1nk   2½ 2 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 24.20  
LADY FORTUNE 2 4 4 5   3 3 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 4.50 16.40 S
YOU NAME IT 6 3 52 44   4 46 (gorham robe)CORREA L 115 3.50 26% 2.90 8.90  
COSTUME JEWELRY 5 6 76 6   5 5 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 24.40  
NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 4 5 65 7   7 6 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 23.80  
SEEKING THE MONEY 7 2 21 3   68 710¼ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 115 3.00 15% 5.50 15.80  
 
TDN-4   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K KID 3 7 511½ 410   36 1 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 38% 1.60 7.00 W
CAVALETTO 6 4 2 25   2 2 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 3.00  
BAD BOY BOOGIE 4 2 1 15   1 3 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 118 3.00 10% 9.20 1.70 S
HARSH TRUTH 7 1 612½ 615   512½ 4 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 113 15.00 16.60  
GOOD MUSIC 1 5 3 38   410 510½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 2.00 15% 5.70 2.30  
CONSTITUTION COAL 5 3 4 514   617½ 619¾ (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 12.00 6% 16.10 13.00  
MOONLIGHT MEISTER 2 6 727½ 7100   7100 7100 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 118 10.00 15.40  
 
TDN-5   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMTOWN 6 2 3.2 3   23 11 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 2.50 16% 5.10 3.90 W
THIS MAN CAN 1 1 2nk 1½   13 21 (gonzalez donac)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 20.00 36.90  
SPIN DOCTOR 7 4 6 4   4 3 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 44% 1.30 1.50 S
MUSTANG WILLIE 2 8 86 7   57 4 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 5.20  
JACK BE FAST 5 3 1nk 2½   34 5 (inirio carlos)HALDAR J 121 6.00 7.60  
TWO EAGLES 8 5 4 5   67 6 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 9% 10.00 5.40  
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 4 6 5 6   7 76 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 8.80  
KONTAR 3 7 73 86   811½ 8 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 8% 11.90 13.40  
 
TDN-6   10/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:143     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERVE REVENGE COLD 6 6 42 3½ 13 14 1 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 23% 3.30 0.50 W
DEER CREEK ROAD 7 2 31 2½ 4 24 2 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 8.40  
KARAMEL CORN 3 1 11 1½ 3 34 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 6.00 7.90 S
SAMMY DA BULL 2 7 6 5 23 45 4 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 7.80  
BOOT LEGGER 4 3 21 4 6 6 5 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 12% 7.30 6.20  
MOBIL AT LAST 5 4 5 6 5 5 66 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 119 20.00 67.10  
PRECIOUS JULES 1 5 7 7 7 710¼ 710¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 8.20  
SCR  FU ROO               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-7   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 5 3 3 1½   13 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 1.80 51% 1.00 0.50 W
THE DEVIL'S DREAM 4 4 43 32   23 2 (evans michael)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00 11.70 P
SWEET OUTLOOK 1 1 11 2½   36 3 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 115 12.00 6.80  
FLATTER HER AGAIN 6 6 66 57   4 48 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 4.30  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 3 5 5 4   510½ 512¾ (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 16% 5.10 6.40  
PSYCHOANALYST 2 2 21 611½   622½ 637¼ (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 31.70  
 
TDN-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ZELIG 6 2 4 11   1 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 40% 1.50 5.30 W
FORTUNATE FRIENDS 5 5 54 54   36 2 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 25% 3.00 0.80 P
DYRDEK 4 4 3 21   2 3 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 14% 6.10 4.30 S
PROFESSIONAL 2 6 611 6   512½ 4 (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 13.50  
OHIO MUNNY 1 3 1½ 31   49 513¾ (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 121 6.00 9.40  
SMASH 3 1 2½ 42   612½ 614½ (vecchio cary)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 4.80  
SCR  ICONIC               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50    
SCR  MINE'S DIALED IN               (ray kevin)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.